JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Brainbug]

19 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Night totally slowed down, -38% Saturday with holiday help and weekend drop will be over 40%

 

I know Japan is all about crazy legs, but could their be some frontloading even there because SW is a brand with a fanbase that would rush out OW? Or could this be a sign that WOM isnt that good?

[George Parr]

1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

 

I know Japan is all about crazy legs, but could their be some frontloading even there because SW is a brand with a fanbase that would rush out OW? Or could this be a sign that WOM isnt that good?

I don't think it has to do with either of those two.

 

TFA 2nd weekend estimate (can't find any actuals posted by Corpse) was 0.726b, that's down a bit over 40%. It then rose on the third one. The other blockbuster on that weekend - Yo-Kay Watch - even dropped a bit more.

 

Corpse commented back then that it generally isn't a strong weekend, as holidays start afterwards. That time weekend was the 26th/27th though, now it's 23rd/24th, so I don't know if that makes any difference.

[Olive]

TLJ 2nd weekend 696M yen, -38%, 10-day total 3.23B yen(2.12M adm)

[KP1025]

Courtesy of Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals (12/23-24)
01 (01) ¥695,642,400 ($6.1 million), -39%, ¥3,203,047,400 ($28.3 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) WK2
02 (03) ¥245,666,900 ($2.2 million), -07%, ¥849,514,700 ($7.5 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) WK2
03 (04) ¥227,715,900 ($2.0 million), -11%, ¥1,330,606,900 ($11.8 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) WK3
04 (02) ¥226,738,400 ($2.0 million), -43%, ¥689,731,200 ($6.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) WK2
05 (---) ¥137,200,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥137,200,000 ($1.2 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) NEW
06 (05) ¥111,533,500 ($985,000), -39%, ¥810,735,600 ($7.2 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) WK3
07 (06) ¥110,200,400 ($973,000), -21%, ¥937,294,200 ($8.3 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) WK3
08 (---) ¥44,978,000 ($397,000), 0, ¥44,978,000 ($397,000), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) NEW
09 (07) ¥43,377,600 ($383,000), -44%, ¥912,396,950 ($8.1 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) WK4
10 (08) ¥37,058,800 ($327,000), -30%, ¥341,884,380 ($3.0 million), Girls und Panzer: The Finale - Part 1 (Showgate) WK3
11 (09) ¥30,312,400 ($268,000), -37%, ¥633,211,700 ($5.6 million), Detective in the Bar 3 (Toei) WK4
12 (10) ¥23,030,200 ($203,000), -34%, ¥2,048,772,600 ($18.3 million), IT (Warner Bros.) WK8

>Star Wars: The Last Jedi easily retained its position atop the box office; its second weekend of many to come. Episode VIII's 39% second weekend decline is an improvement over Episode VII's 42% decline, and trailed it by just 4%. However, its second weekend total is 17% behind Episode VII's due to the slightly earlier release date and not being able to capitalize on school break as early.

Comparison:
¥726 million ($6.0 million), -42%, ¥3.84 billion ($31.8 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens 
¥696 million ($6.1 million), -39%, ¥3.20 billion ($28.3 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi

I don't expect Episode VIII will be able to catch Episode VII, but the results so far suggest it's going to finish relatively close to it (probably within 10-15%) compared to most other markets, and is aiming for a ¥9.5 billion ($80-85 million) total with a good shot at reaching the ¥10 billion uber-milestone still. Only Episodes I and VII achieved uber-status in the market. 

>Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King falls pretty hard, unsurprisingly, in its second weekend, but once again its an improvement over its predecessor's second weekend hold (this year by 10%). The continued improvement in legs, however, aren't enough to offset the substantial decline each film is having on opening weekend. The fourth film in the franchise will be aiming for ¥2.5 billion ($22/23 million) or so. 

>The 8-Year Engagement enjoys an excellent second weekend, setting itself up for a very healthy run as New Year approaches. It's very likely to exceed ¥2 billion (~$20 million). 

>Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura experienced another very strong hold after a 13% second weekend drop, decling just 11% in its third weekend. Takashi Yamazaki's latest didn't have the most exciting debut three weeks ago, but it's going to have the longevity to certainly make up for that. It's aiming for a total of ¥3 billion ($25 million+).

>Murder on the Orient Express held well in its third weekend of release, and is on track to exceed ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million), perhaps good enough for Japan to become its third strongest overseas market.

>Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders is falling hard each week as every film in the franchise does, but it is holding every so slightly better than most, and it'll soon become the first film in the long-running series to reach the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone in several years.

[Olive]

TLJ -22% from last Saturday

[Stewart]

From Corpse:

New Year Weekday Estimates (01/01-05)

Monday (01/01)
¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), +167%, ¥4,790,000,000 ($42.3 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 18
¥95,000,000 ($840,000), +104%, ¥1,845,000,000 ($16.2 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 24
¥60,000,000 ($530,000), +06%, ¥1,260,000,000 ($11.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), -48%, ¥1,425,000,000 ($12.6 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +103%, ¥1,195,000,000 ($10.5 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 25
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +16%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.8 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 24
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -63%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.3 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 10
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +79%, ¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 11
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +13%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.9 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 31
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +118%, ¥700,000,000 ($6.1 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 30

% Changes Versus Same Day Last Week.

 

So Star Wars still doing amazing numbers, with the biggest increase from Christmas Day among the top 10! Should do big numbers all week as lots of people off work I believe.

[Pypa94]

5 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

From Corpse:

New Year Weekday Estimates (01/01-05)

Monday (01/01)
¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), +167%, ¥4,790,000,000 ($42.3 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 18
¥95,000,000 ($840,000), +104%, ¥1,845,000,000 ($16.2 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 24
¥60,000,000 ($530,000), +06%, ¥1,260,000,000 ($11.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), -48%, ¥1,425,000,000 ($12.6 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +103%, ¥1,195,000,000 ($10.5 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 25
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +16%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.8 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 24
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -63%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.3 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 10
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +79%, ¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 11
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +13%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.9 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 31
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +118%, ¥700,000,000 ($6.1 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 30

% Changes Versus Same Day Last Week.

 

So Star Wars still doing amazing numbers, with the biggest increase from Christmas Day among the top 10! Should do big numbers all week as lots of people off work I believe.

Japan over China it's not common these days

[Stewart]

28 minutes ago, Pypa94 said:

Japan over China it's not common these days

Indeed it isn't. Outside of Horror (generally not released in China) and Pixar (toxicity in China before Coco) of course.

 

Perhaps using the fact that most (maybe all?) Pixar films have grossed more in Japan than China, we can conclude that Coco will gross >$180m in Japan? 

Edited January 2, 2018 by feasby007

[Stewart]

Fresh from Corpse:

New Year Weekday Estimates (01/01-05)

Monday (01/01)
¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), +167%, ¥4,790,000,000 ($42.3 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 18
¥95,000,000 ($840,000), +104%, ¥1,845,000,000 ($16.2 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 24
¥60,000,000 ($530,000), +06%, ¥1,260,000,000 ($11.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), -48%, ¥1,425,000,000 ($12.6 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +103%, ¥1,195,000,000 ($10.5 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 25
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +16%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.8 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 24
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -63%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.3 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 10
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +79%, ¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 11
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +13%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.9 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 31
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +118%, ¥700,000,000 ($6.1 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 30

Tuesday (01/02)
¥275,000,000 ($2.4 million), +150%, ¥5,065,000,000 ($44.7 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 19
¥90,000,000 ($795,000), +152%, ¥1,935,000,000 ($17.0 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 25
¥65,000,000 ($575,000), -01%, ¥1,325,000,000 ($11.7 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 18
¥55,000,000 ($485,000), -04%, ¥1,480,000,000 ($13.1 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 18
¥40,000,000 ($355,000), +129%, ¥1,235,000,000 ($10.9 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 26
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +38%, ¥1,025,000,000 ($9.0 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 25
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -43%, ¥390,000,000 ($3.4 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 11
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +75%, ¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 12
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +31%, ¥1,010,000,000 ($9.0 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 32
¥8,000,000 ($70,000), +134%, ¥708,000,000 ($6.2 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 31

% Changes Versus Same Day Last Week.

 

Tuesday was expected to be slightly lower than Monday, but everything held remarkable well. Star Wars still with the 2nd highest increase over last week in the top 10!

[MonstersandRoy]

Nice, how is it pacing compared to The Force Awakens now? Could it's final gross end within 15% of TFA?

[Stewart]

19 minutes ago, MonstersandRoy said:

Nice, how is it pacing compared to The Force Awakens now? Could it's final gross end within 15% of TFA?

Well here is the equivalent days for TFA:

Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)

Monday Estimates (01/04)
¥285,000,000 ($2.38 million), +02%, ¥6,686,000,000 ($55.42 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 18
¥165,000,000 ($1.38 million), -27% ¥3,948,000,000 ($32.77 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 17
¥84,000,000 ($701,000), -10%, ¥2,186,000,000 ($18.06 million), Orange (Toho) Day 24
¥39,000,000 ($328,000), +03%, ¥2,601,000,000 ($21.48 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 32
¥36,000,000 ($300,000), +56%, ¥1,315,000,000 ($10.91 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 24

Tuesday Estimates (01/05)
¥160,000,000 ($1.35 million), -55%, ¥6,846,000,000 ($56.77 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 19
¥115,000,000 ($965,000), -57% ¥4,063,000,000 ($33.74 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 18
¥63,000,000 ($529,000), -50%, ¥2,249,000,000 ($18.59 million), Orange (Toho) Day 25
¥30,000,000 ($252,000), -26%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.53 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 15
¥18,000,000 ($151,000), -62%, ¥2,619,000,000 ($21.66 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 33

% changes versus last week.

 

HOWEVER! Due to the calendar configuration, I'm pretty sure that they're not directly comparable as TLJ will have larger Wed-Fri than TFA. However I'd expect it to normalise somewhat after the weekend ends. TFA was at an estimated ¥8.241B after Friday, I reckon TLJ will be at maybe ¥6.2-¥6.7B, So down 18-24%. If it develops strong late legs, it could get within 20% of TFA, but am thinking 15% is a stretch. I also don't know what competition is coming up.

 

Note that Monday-Wednesday are bank holidays, and the weekend was severely down due to New years, with this weekend likely to increase into the double digits! TFA gained ¥619m on it's 4th weekend, but again it's 3rd weekend was the 1st/2nd January so was very large. 

Edited January 2, 2018 by feasby007

[Stewart]

Based on the two-thirds of the market admissions compared to yesterday, TLJ is up 7% in admissions, so that would estimate roughly ¥295m for Wednesday, however I seem to remember that the first wednesday of every month is special in Japan. I may be misremembering that, but at the very least TLJ should be flat from yesterday. 

 

@Olive Skywalker Can you fact check for me whether the first wednesday of each month is a thing? Thanks  

 

EDIT: I misremembered, thanks Olive. TLJ heading for 290-300 today then

Edited January 3, 2018 by feasby007

[Olive]

33 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Based on the two-thirds of the market admissions compared to yesterday, TLJ is up 7% in admissions, so that would estimate roughly ¥295m for Wednesday, however I seem to remember that the first wednesday of every month is special in Japan. I may be misremembering that, but at the very least TLJ should be flat from yesterday. 

 

@Olive Skywalker Can you fact check for me whether the first wednesday of each month is a thing? Thanks  

No, only 1st and 14th has discount tickets

[Stewart]

from Corpse:

Wednesday (01/03)
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +116%, ¥5,345,000,000 ($47.2 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 20
¥110,000,000 ($970,000), +128%, ¥2,045,000,000 ($18.0 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 26
¥80,000,000 ($705,000), -02%, ¥1,405,000,000 ($12.4 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 19
¥75,000,000 ($660,000), +28%, ¥1,555,000,000 ($13.8 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 19
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +86%, ¥1,280,000,000 ($11.3 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 27
¥30,000,000 ($265,000), +34%, ¥1,055,000,000 ($9.3 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 26
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), -15%, ¥415,000,000 ($3.6 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 12
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +53%, ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 13
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +24%, ¥1,025,000,000 ($9.1 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 33
¥9,000,000 ($80,000), +109%, ¥717,000,000 ($6.3 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 32

% Changes Versus Same Day Last Week.

 

Pretty good increase, will drop tomorrow as not a bank holiday as opposed to today

Edited January 3, 2018 by feasby007

[Stewart]

Looking at a roughly 40% drop for today based on 2/3 market attendance, going to say about ¥160-180m based on yesterday. Will likely drop again on Friday as I think new year/winter break comes to an end. Will post Corpse's estimates later when they come in.

[Stewart]

Looking at the high end of my estimates per Corpse! Pretty good drop

 

Spoiler

New Year Weekday Estimates (01/01-05)

Monday (01/01)
¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), +167%, ¥4,790,000,000 ($42.3 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 18
¥95,000,000 ($840,000), +104%, ¥1,845,000,000 ($16.2 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 24
¥60,000,000 ($530,000), +06%, ¥1,260,000,000 ($11.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), -48%, ¥1,425,000,000 ($12.6 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +103%, ¥1,195,000,000 ($10.5 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 25
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +16%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.8 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 24
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -63%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.3 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 10
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +79%, ¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 11
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +13%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.9 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 31
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +118%, ¥700,000,000 ($6.1 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 30

Tuesday (01/02)
¥275,000,000 ($2.4 million), +150%, ¥5,065,000,000 ($44.7 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 19
¥90,000,000 ($795,000), +152%, ¥1,935,000,000 ($17.0 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 25
¥65,000,000 ($575,000), -01%, ¥1,325,000,000 ($11.7 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 18
¥55,000,000 ($485,000), -04%, ¥1,480,000,000 ($13.1 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 18
¥40,000,000 ($355,000), +129%, ¥1,235,000,000 ($10.9 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 26
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +38%, ¥1,025,000,000 ($9.0 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 25
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -43%, ¥390,000,000 ($3.4 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 11
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +75%, ¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 12
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +31%, ¥1,010,000,000 ($9.0 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 32
¥8,000,000 ($70,000), +134%, ¥708,000,000 ($6.2 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 31

Wednesday (01/03)
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +116%, ¥5,345,000,000 ($47.2 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 20
¥110,000,000 ($970,000), +128%, ¥2,045,000,000 ($18.0 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 26
¥80,000,000 ($705,000), -02%, ¥1,405,000,000 ($12.4 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 19
¥75,000,000 ($660,000), +28%, ¥1,555,000,000 ($13.8 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 19
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +86%, ¥1,280,000,000 ($11.3 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 27
¥30,000,000 ($265,000), +34%, ¥1,055,000,000 ($9.3 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 26
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), -15%, ¥415,000,000 ($3.6 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 12
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +53%, ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 13
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +24%, ¥1,025,000,000 ($9.1 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 33
¥9,000,000 ($80,000), +109%, ¥717,000,000 ($6.3 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 32

% Changes Versus Same Day Last Week.

 

Thursday (01/04)
¥185,000,000 ($1.6 million), +24%, ¥5,530,000,000 ($48.8 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 21
¥75,000,000 ($665,000), +63%, ¥2,120,000,000 ($18.7 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 27
¥70,000,000 ($620,000), +06%, ¥1,475,000,000 ($13.0 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 20
¥65,000,000 ($575,000), +08%, ¥1,620,000,000 ($14.4 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 20
¥30,000,000 ($265,000), +33%, ¥1,310,000,000 ($11.6 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 28
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), -11%, ¥440,000,000 ($3.8 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 13
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +20%, ¥1,080,000,000 ($9.5 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 27
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), -01%, ¥1,035,000,000 ($9.2 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 34
¥9,000,000 ($80,000), +18%, ¥160,000,000 ($1.4 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 14
¥7,000,000 ($60,000), +43%, ¥725,000,000 ($6.4 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 33

[Stewart]

Full week estimates in - with extra analysis from Corpse himself!

 

New Year Weekday Estimates (01/01-05)

 

Spoiler

Monday (01/01)
¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), +167%, ¥4,790,000,000 ($42.3 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 18
¥95,000,000 ($840,000), +104%, ¥1,845,000,000 ($16.2 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 24
¥60,000,000 ($530,000), +06%, ¥1,260,000,000 ($11.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), -48%, ¥1,425,000,000 ($12.6 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 17
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +103%, ¥1,195,000,000 ($10.5 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 25
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +16%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.8 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 24
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -63%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.3 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 10
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +79%, ¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 11
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +13%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.9 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 31
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +118%, ¥700,000,000 ($6.1 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 30

Tuesday (01/02)
¥275,000,000 ($2.4 million), +150%, ¥5,065,000,000 ($44.7 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 19
¥90,000,000 ($795,000), +152%, ¥1,935,000,000 ($17.0 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 25
¥65,000,000 ($575,000), -01%, ¥1,325,000,000 ($11.7 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 18
¥55,000,000 ($485,000), -04%, ¥1,480,000,000 ($13.1 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 18
¥40,000,000 ($355,000), +129%, ¥1,235,000,000 ($10.9 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 26
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +38%, ¥1,025,000,000 ($9.0 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 25
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -43%, ¥390,000,000 ($3.4 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 11
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +75%, ¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 12
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), +31%, ¥1,010,000,000 ($9.0 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 32
¥8,000,000 ($70,000), +134%, ¥708,000,000 ($6.2 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 31

Wednesday (01/03)
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +116%, ¥5,345,000,000 ($47.2 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 20
¥110,000,000 ($970,000), +128%, ¥2,045,000,000 ($18.0 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 26
¥80,000,000 ($705,000), -02%, ¥1,405,000,000 ($12.4 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 19
¥75,000,000 ($660,000), +28%, ¥1,555,000,000 ($13.8 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 19
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +86%, ¥1,280,000,000 ($11.3 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 27
¥30,000,000 ($265,000), +34%, ¥1,055,000,000 ($9.3 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 26
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), -15%, ¥415,000,000 ($3.6 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 12
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +53%, ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 13
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), +24%, ¥1,025,000,000 ($9.1 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 33
¥9,000,000 ($80,000), +109%, ¥717,000,000 ($6.3 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 32

Thursday (01/04)
¥185,000,000 ($1.6 million), +24%, ¥5,530,000,000 ($48.8 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 21
¥75,000,000 ($665,000), +63%, ¥2,120,000,000 ($18.7 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 27
¥70,000,000 ($620,000), +06%, ¥1,475,000,000 ($13.0 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 20
¥65,000,000 ($575,000), +08%, ¥1,620,000,000 ($14.4 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 20
¥30,000,000 ($265,000), +33%, ¥1,310,000,000 ($11.6 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 28
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), -11%, ¥440,000,000 ($3.8 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 13
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +20%, ¥1,080,000,000 ($9.5 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 27
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), -01%, ¥1,035,000,000 ($9.2 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 34
¥9,000,000 ($80,000), +18%, ¥160,000,000 ($1.4 million), Kung Fu Yoga (Kadokawa) Day 14
¥7,000,000 ($60,000), +43%, ¥725,000,000 ($6.4 million), Bar in the Detective 3 (Toei) Day 33

% Changes Versus Same Day Last Week.

 

Friday (01/05)
¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox) NEW
¥115,000,000 ($1.0 million), -58%, ¥5,645,000,000 ($49.8 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 22
¥50,000,000 ($445,000), -47%, ¥1,525,000,000 ($13.4 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 21
¥50,000,000 ($445,000), -43%, ¥1,670,000,000 ($14.8 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 21
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), -36%, ¥2,165,000,000 ($19.1 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 28
¥20,000,000 ($175,000), -48%, ¥460,000,000 ($4.0 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 14
¥20,000,000 ($175,000), -54%, ¥1,330,000,000 ($11.8 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 29
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), -61%, ¥1,095,000,000 ($9.6 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 28
¥10,000,000 ($90,000), 0, ¥10,000,000 ($90,000), We Make Antiques (Gaga) NEW
¥6,000,000 ($55,000), -61%, ¥1,040,000,000 ($9.3 million), Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.) Day 35

% Changes Versus Same Day Last Week.

 

"And the New Year boost is over, at least the weekday boost. Most workplaces reopened on Friday, following the New Year and Bank Holidays, so this Friday saw some big drops versus last Friday. However, the first weekend of January tends to be very strong, so expect this weekend to beat last weekend (which full actuals still aren't available yet due to the three consecutive holidays this past week) with likely increases across the board thanks to families/kids/teens flooding theaters before school begins again.

Also, excellent first day for Kingsman: The Golden Circle. I don't think it'll beat Star Wars: The Last Jedi for the weekend (since it should increase, or remain flat at least), but it's going to easily outgross its predecessor. Japan may become one of its five strongest international markets."

[picores]

Great for Kingsman 2. Just the push it needs to fly pass 400m WW.

[Stewart]

Latest from Corpse: Monday was a holiday and still no actuals from last weekend yet!

 

Weekend Estimates (01/06-07)
01 (01) ¥344,000,000 ($3.1 million), -28%, ¥6,000,000,000 ($53.0 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) WK4
02 (---) ¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), 0, ¥460,000,000 ($4.1 million), Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox) NEW
03 (03) ¥165,000,000 ($1.4 million), +19%, ¥2,330,000,000 ($20.5 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) WK5
04 (02) ¥139,000,000 ($1.2 million), -07%, ¥1,810,000,000 ($16.0 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) WK4
05 (04) ¥117,000,000 ($1.0 million), -22%, ¥1,640,000,000 ($14.5 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) WK4
06 (05) ¥62,000,000 ($550,000), -12%, ¥1,390,000,000 ($12.4 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) WK5
07 (---) ¥60,000,000 ($530,000), 0, ¥60,000,000 ($530,000), Chuunibyou demo Koi ga Shitai! -Take on Me (Shochiku) NEW
08 (07) ¥53,000,000 ($470,000), +04%, ¥510,000,000 ($4.5 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) WK3
09 (06) ¥38,000,000 ($335,000), -34%, ¥1,135,000,000 ($10.0 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) WK5
10 (09) ¥37,000,000 ($325,000), +56%, ¥475,000,000 ($4.2 million), Girls und Panzer: The Finale - Part 1 (Showgate) WK5

Monday Estimates (01/08 - Coming-of-Age Day)
¥175,000,000 ($1.5 million), -47%, ¥6,175,000,000 ($54.5 million), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) Day 25
¥140,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥600,000,000 ($5.3 million), Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox) Day 4
¥80,000,000 ($705,000), -16%, ¥2,410,000,000 ($21.2 million), Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho) Day 31
¥70,000,000 ($620,000), +56%, ¥1,880,000,000 ($16.6 million), The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku) Day 24
¥65,000,000 ($575,000), +13%, ¥1,705,000,000 ($15.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho) Day 24
¥30,000,000 ($265,000), -37%, ¥1,420,000,000 ($12.7 million), Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) Day 32
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +95%, ¥535,000,000 ($4.7 million), That Is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho) Day 17
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +21%, ¥1,160,000,000 ($10.2 million), Kamen Rider Generations: Build & Ex-Aid - Legend Riders (Toei) Day 31
¥20,000,000 ($175,000), 0, ¥50,000,000 ($440,000), We Make Antiques (Gaga) Day 4
¥15,000,000 ($130,000), 0, ¥75,000,000 ($660,000), Chuunibyou demo Koi ga Shitai! -Take on Me (Shochiku) Day 3

% changes versus same weekend/day last week.

 

Force Awakens was at about ¥8.3b compared to TLJ's ¥6.2b, running at 25% behind at the moment with stronger competition. At this pace it should finish about ¥8.7b ($76.9m), roughly 75% of TFA's ¥11.58b ($102.4m) total. I'd say the range at the moment is about ¥8b - ¥9b ($70.7m - $79.6m), depending on whether late legs fall apart or it recovers well after a pretty decent opening from Kingsman. All USD are at todays exchange rate.

[Olive]

As of Monday holiday

TLJ stood at  6.154B yen, TFA same point 8.241B