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Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (06/16-17)
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Weekend Actuals (06/16-17)
01 (01) ¥344,013,900 ($3.1 million), -23%, ¥1,796,654,500 ($16.3 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK2
02 (---) ¥266,027,000 ($2.4 million), 0, ¥335,348,800 ($3.0 million), Recall (Shochiku) NEW
03 (02) ¥126,436,900 ($1.1 million), -47%, ¥1,402,192,400 ($12.7 million), Deadpool 2 (Fox) WK3
04 (03) ¥101,352,100 ($917,000), -23%, ¥714,847,000 ($6.5 million), 50 First Kisses (Sony) WK3
05 (---) ¥75,000,000 ($680,000), 0, ¥97,669,700 ($883,000), Maze Runner: The Death Cure (Fox) NEW
06 (---) ¥70,000,000 ($630,000), 0, ¥90,000,000 ($815,000), Wonder (Kino Films) NEW
07 (04) ¥68,161,500 ($617,000), -33%, ¥8,244,471,700 ($75.5 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK10
08 (06) ¥58,125,100 ($526,000), -33%, ¥286,526,300 ($2.6 million), A Forest of Wool and Steel (Toho) WK2
09 (05) ¥57,337,600 ($519,000), -42%, ¥286,952,800 ($2.6 million), Life in Overtime (Toei) WK2
10 (07) ¥38,014,000 ($344,000), -45%, ¥1,017,462,200 ($9.2 million), Peter Rabbit (Sony) WK5


>Hirokazu Takeba's Shoplifters repeats atop the box-office in its second weekend, selling an additional 270,000 admissions to deliver a satisfying drop following some very strong weekdays (52% greater than its opening weekend), which is sometimes a sign that weekend drops will be harsh. It's still a bit early, but a total north of ¥3 billion ($30 million) has become likely. Takeba has definitely become one of Japan's most reliable directors at the box-office, following several critically acclaimed releases.

>Recall, based on the novel by Jun Ikeido, enjoyed a solid debut in second place, selling 209,841 admissions across 329 screens over the weekend frame, and 266,810 admissions since opening on Friday. It'll easily reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone, and if distributor Shochiku is lucky, might be able to reach ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

>Deadpool 2 fell surprisingly hard in its third weekend, and as a result, it's unlikely to reach the ¥2 billion milestone to match its predecessor now.

>Maze Runner: The Death Cure and Wonder finally reach Japan, and both disappointed. Both films opened below ¥100 million, and unfortunately, their weekend grosses hasn't been released yet (the numbers above are estimates). As usual, I'll update this post when their weekend numbers are available.

>Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer keeps on holding very well, and is coming closer and closer to becoming the highest-grossing domestic, animated franchise film ever (just ¥137 million away). Currently in its tenth week of release, it looks possible that it'll achieve twelve weeks in total in the Top 10.
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Corpse :

 

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Weekend Forecast (06/23-24)
01 (01) ¥241,000,000 ($2.2 million), -30%, ¥2,425,000,000 ($22.0 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK3
02 (02) ¥178,000,000 ($1.6 million), -33%, ¥725,000,000 ($6.5 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK2
03 (03) ¥82,000,000 ($745,000), -35%, ¥1,575,000,000 ($14.3 million), Deadpool 2 (Fox) WK4
04 (04) ¥79,000,000 ($715,000), -21%, ¥875,000,000 ($8.0 million), 50 First Kisses (Sony) WK4
05 (05) ¥56,000,000 ($510,000), -25%, ¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), Wonder (Kino Films) WK2
06 (---) ¥50,000,000 ($455,000), 0, ¥65,000,000 ($590,000), Yakiniku Dragon (Kadokawa/Phantom Film) NEW
07 (07) ¥49,000,000 ($445,000), -27%, ¥8,350,000,000 ($76.4 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK11
08 (06) ¥38,000,000 ($345,000), -49%, ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), Maze Runner: The Death Cure (Fox) WK2
09 (08) ¥35,000,000 ($320,000), -39%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.4 million), A Forest of Wool and Steel (Toho) WK3
10 (---) ¥30,000,000 ($270,000), 0, ¥40,000,000 ($360,000), Only the Brave (Gaga) NEW


No major openers and only a couple solid holdovers from last week is going to make this weekend one of the weakest of the year. That's no unusual for the month of June, but the last three weeks of at least one good debut makes this weekend very boring.

>Shoplifters, the gem of June this year, will win its third-consecutive weekend atop the box-office, as it nears the ¥2.5 billion mark on its way to exceeding the ¥3 billion (~$30 million) milestone. This will become Hirokazu Takeba's highest-grossing film since 2013's Like Father, Like Son.

>Deadpool 2 will break the ¥1.5 billion mark in its third weekend of release, and while this is a respectable number for a Marvel/DC film, it's still going to fall a bit short of reaching the ¥2 billion (~$20 million) milestone to match it's predecessor.

>Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer will achieve an eleventh-consecutive weekend in the Top 10, and after Sunday, will be less than ¥50 million away from becoming the highest-grossing domestic animated film of all-time.

>Only the Brave finally reaches Japan, 8 months after its initial worldwide release, but it'll expectedly perform poorly and likely barely make the weekend Top 10.
 

 

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If Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer remains in the Top 10 next week (good chance), its twelfth week of release, it'll join the list below for most-consecutive weeks in the Top 10 (12+ weekends). It'll also join Stand By Me, Doraemon on the list as only the second domestic animated franchise film on the list.

Most-Consecutive Weekends in the Top 10 [1997-]
40 - Titanic [Dec. 20-21 to Sept. 19-20] (1997-1998)
29 - Your Name. [Aug. 27-28 to Mar. 11-12] (2016-2017)
26 - Spirited Away [July 21-22 to Jan. 12-13] (2001-2002)
24 - Princess Mononoke [July 12-13 to Dec. 20-21] (1997)
21 - Howl's Moving Castle [Nov. 20-21 to Apr. 09-10] (2004-2005)
20 - Armageddon [Dec. 12-13 to Apr. 24-25] (1998-1999)
19 - Frozen [Mar. 15-16 to July 19-20] (2014)
18 - Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace [July 10-11 to Nov. 06-07] (1999)
18 - Bayside Shakedown [Oct. 31-Nov.1 to Feb. 27-28] (1998-1999)
16 - Avatar [Dec. 26-27 to Apr. 10-11] (2009-2010)
16 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! [July 19-20 to Nov. 01-02] (2003)
16 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone [Dec. 01-02 to Mar. 16-17] (2001-2002)
16 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets [Nov. 23-24 to Mar. 08-09] (2002-2003)
15 - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World [May 08-09 to Aug. 14-15] (2004)
15 - Monsters Inc. [Mar. 02-03 to July 08-09] (2002)
15 - The Green Mile [Mar. 25-26 to July 01-02] (2000)
15 - Deep Impact [June 20-21 to Sept. 26-27] (1998)
14 - The Wind Rises [July 20-21 to Oct. 19-20] (2013)
14 - Ponyo [July 18-19 to Oct. 18-19] (2008)
14 - The Last Samurai [Dec. 06-07 to Mar. 06-07] (2003-2004)
14 - The Matrix [Sept. 11-12 to Dec. 11-12] (1999)
13 - Big Hero 6 [Dec. 20-21 to Mar. 14-15] (2014-2015)
13 - The Eternal Zero [Dec. 21-22 to Mar. 15-16] (2013-2014)
13 - Les Miserables [Dec. 22-23 to Mar. 16-17] (2012-2013)
13 - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King [Feb. 14-15 to May 08-09] (2004)
13 - Finding Nemo [Dec. 06-07 to Feb. 28-29] (2003-2004)
13 - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers [Feb. 22-23 to May 17-18] (2003)
13 - The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring [Mar. 02-03 to May 25-26] (2002)
13 - Mission: Impossible II [July 08-09 to Sept. 30-Oct. 01] (2000)
12 - Beauty and the Beast [Apr. 22-23 to July 08-09] (2017)
12 - Zootopia [Apr. 23-24 to July 07-08] (2016)
12 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens [Dec. 19-20 to Mar. 05-06] (2015-2016)
12 - Stand By Me, Doraemon [Aug. 09-10 to Oct. 25-26] (2014)
12 - Alice in Wonderland [Apr. 17-18 to July 03-04] (2010)
12 - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban [June 26-27 to Sept. 11-12] (2004)
12 - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones [July 13-14 to Sept. 28-29] (2002)
12 - Saving Private Ryan [Sept. 26-27 to Dec. 12-13] (1998)
12+


Most Overall Weekends in the Top 10 [1997-]
40 - Titanic (1997)
32 - Spirited Away (2001)
29 - Your Name. (2016)
24 - Princess Mononoke (1997)
21 - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
20 - Armageddon (1998)
19 - Frozen (2014)
18 - Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999)
18 - Bayside Shakedown (1998)
16 - Avatar (2009)
16 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
16 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
16 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
15 - In This Corner of the World (2016)
15 - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
15 - Monsters Inc. (2002)
15 - The Green Mile (2000)
15 - Deep Impact (1998)
14 - The Eternal Zero (2013)
14 - The Wind Rises (2013)
14 - Ponyo (2008)
14 - The Last Samurai (2003)
14 - The Matrix (1999)
13 - Big Hero 6 [(2014)
13 - Les Miserables (2012)
13 - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
13 - Finding Nemo (2003)
13 - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (2003)
13 - The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (2002)
13 - Mission: Impossible II (2000)
12 - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
12 - Zootopia (2016)
12 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
12 - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)
12 - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
12 - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
12 - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002)
12 - Saving Private Ryan (1998)
12+

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Well here's some news for you :

 

Top 10 Japanese animation film of all-time

 

 1. "Spirited Away" (30.8 billion yen/Hayao Miyazaki/2001)

 2. "Your Name." (25.03 billion yen/Makoto Shinkai/2016)

 3. "Howl's Moving Castle" (19.6 billion yen/Hayao Miyazaki/2004)

 4. "Princess Mononoke" (19.3 billion yen/Hayao Miyazaki/1997)

 5. "Ponyo" (15.5 billion yen/Hayao Miyazaki/2008)

 6. "The Wind Rises" (12.02 billion yen/Hayao Miyazaki/2013)

 7. "The Secret World of Arrietty" (9.25 billion yen/Hiromasa Yonebayashi/2010)

 8. "Stand by Me Doraemon" (8.38 billion yen/Ryuichi Yagi & Takashi Yamazaki/2014)

 9. "Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer" (8.2 billion yen/Yuzuru Tachikawa/2018)

 10. "Yo-kai Watch: Tanjo no Himitsu da Nyan!" (7.8 billion yen/Shigeharu Takahashi & Shinji Ushiro/2014)

 

http://www.crunchyroll.com/anime-news/2018/06/19/detective-conan-zero-the-enforcer-now-becomes-9th-top-grossing-anime-film-of-all-time

Edited by Cynosure
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18 hours ago, Rebeccas said:

So will Japan save Solo from absolute sub-400m embarrassment or what?

Everything is mega embarrassment for Solo. 400M is beyond terrible gross too. I mean, this is a movie that was predicted to embarrass itself with 700M! :lol:

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Japan is the last overseas market for Jurassic World to open in.  It comes out in July.  The first one did 70 million.  Any predictions as to what it might do this time?

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1 hour ago, baumer said:

Japan is the last overseas market for Jurassic World to open in.  It comes out in July.  The first one did 70 million.  Any predictions as to what it might do this time?

55-60M likely, 30% drop from 1st one

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On 6/24/2018 at 9:43 PM, baumer said:

I've noticed a lot of the Asian markets were very kind to JWFK.  Hopefully Japan follows that path.

when 1st jurassic park open in 90s, it created a huge phenomenal here in Asia, was the highest grossing film of all time in malaysia, singapore, taiwan, hong kong and many more(almost every asian market).....That is why the nostalgic factor works here for JW

Edited by titanic2187
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Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (06/23-24) CORPSE
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Weekend Actuals (06/23-24)
01 (01) ¥263,692,300 ($2.4 million), -24%, ¥2,515,583,000 ($22.9 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK3
02 (02) ¥193,016,400 ($1.8 million), -27%, ¥771,489,500 ($6.9 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK2
03 (04) ¥89,938,400 ($821,000), -12%, ¥897,710,100 ($8.2 million), 50 First Kisses (Sony) WK4
04 (03) ¥87,794,500 ($802,000), -31%, ¥1,581,880,900 ($14.4 million), Deadpool 2 (Fox) WK4
05 (07) ¥64,482,900 ($589,000), -06%, ¥8,362,393,800 ($76.5 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK11
06 (05) ¥57,387,000 ($524,000), -24%, ¥250,391,200 ($2.2 million), Wonder (Kino Films) WK2
07 (---) ¥51,074,000 ($466,000), 0, ¥66,707,500 ($609,000), Yakiniku Dragon (Kadokawa/Phantom Film) NEW
08 (06) ¥44,179,800 ($403,000), -42%, ¥207,715,900 ($1.9 million), Maze Runner: The Death Cure (Fox) WK2
09 (08) ¥38,282,100 ($350,000), -34%, ¥392,308,000 ($3.5 million), A Forest of Wool and Steel (Toho) WK3
10 (09) ¥36,540,800 ($334,000), -36%, ¥401,009,500 ($3.6 million), Life in Overtime (Toei) WK3


>Shoplifters claims a third-consecutive week atop the box-office, and exceeded the ¥2.5 billion mark in the process. The film's incredible weekday performance (currently accounting for 58.1% of its total), combined with the good weekend holds, is a clear sign that audiences are taking to this film, and that it'll have a long run still to come. ¥3 billion+ ($30 million) would have been a great result following its debut, but it appears poised for a potential ¥4 billion (~$40 million) run.

>50 First Kisses hold very well once again, even notably stronger than most other films in the youth-romance genre. It should get to about ¥1.2 billion ($11 million), and while that's not very exciting, it's very good after its opening weekend, and a more than welcomed success for Sony in the market.

>Deadpool 2 exceeded the ¥1.5 billion mark in its third weekend of release, and while this is a respectable number for a Marvel/DC film, it's still going to fall a bit short of reaching the ¥2 billion (~$20 million) milestone to match it's predecessor.

>Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer not only achieved its eleventh-consecutive weekend in the Top 10, it held so well that it rose back into the Top 5. In just a matter of days, probably on Wednesday, it'll become the highest-grossing animated franchise film of all-time. It looks like the record-breaking twenty-second entry in the series is aiming for a ~¥8.6 billion ($79/80 million) total with 6.5 million+ admissions. It has set a very high bar for the upcoming Summer blockbusters to match.
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Update from Corpse:

 

On Friday, Solo: A Star Wars Story opened about 64% below Star Wars: The Last Jedi and 35% below Rogue One: A Star Wars Story. Star Wars: The Force Awakens didn't receive a full Friday release, so it's not worth using as a comparison.

Rogue One will be the obvious and most fair comparison, so opening with about two-thirds of its audience on the first day, while a pretty significant drop, isn't too bad all things considered. Solo will likely to be a bit backloaded as well, since Sunday is a national discount day. 

If Solo follows a similar trajectory as Rogue One for the entire weekend, it'll be targeting a debut between ¥425-450 million ($3.8-4.0 million) for the weekend frame, and a 3-day total around ¥600 million ($5.5 million). This projected opening weekend would put it on course for a total between ¥2.5-3.0 billion ($25-30 million). I'd say the chance of Japan becoming its #1 overseas market are good.

I'll have some Saturday pre-sale data later this evening.
 
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