JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Elessar]

It's a little disheartening that even in her homecountry and with the blessing of its creator it cannot top a comic book movie which aren't that hot in Japan to begin with...

[efialtes76]

28 minutes ago, Elessar said:

It's a little disheartening that even in her homecountry and with the blessing of its creator it cannot top a comic book movie which aren't that hot in Japan to begin with...

But isn't a Japanese movie 

[MrGlass2]

2 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

But isn't a Japanese movie 

The Adventures of Tintin was an American movie but it made $9M in Belgium, $54M in France (far more than SH movies).

[Premium George]

2 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

The Adventures of Tintin was an American movie but it made $9M in Belgium, $54M in France (far more than SH movies).

I have read that live action manga adaptation normally do poor in japan. @Olive

[Olive]

42 minutes ago, Premium George said:

I have read that live action manga adaptation normally do poor in japan. @Olive

OD about 12% lower than Aquaman two weeks ago

[efialtes76]

2 hours ago, MrGlass2 said:

The Adventures of Tintin was an American movie but it made $9M in Belgium, $54M in France (far more than SH movies).

Isn't the same... 

[pepsa]

2 hours ago, MrGlass2 said:

The Adventures of Tintin was an American movie but it made $9M in Belgium, $54M in France (far more than SH movies).

Tintin does originate from Belgium TBH, I mean we made the comic (strip in dutch)

[TimmyRiggins]

Let's hope it opens well enough and has decent legs. There's no reason it shouldn't. 

[SchumacherFTW]

3 hours ago, Premium George said:

I have read that live action manga adaptation normally do poor in japan. @Olive

Last one I remember being a hit was Assassination Classroom. Or maybe Gintama. 

[Elessar]

3 hours ago, Premium George said:

I have read that live action manga adaptation normally do poor in japan. @Olive

Because they sucked?

[KevinPr]

Let's compare Alita with Ghost in the Shell, shall we? How much did GitS make in Japan?

[DeeCee]

@marveldcfox You’ve made your thoughts clear about Alita multiple times across multiple threads. I thinking every one gets it. Please find something else to talk about. 

[Stewart]

Alita Presales for Saturday: 20029 adm. from usual locations (~68% of market)

 

Comparisons I could find:

Aquaman - 18255

The Meg - 13782

MI: Fallout - 48504

Ready Player One - 27598

 

Not really sure what a good comp would be. But based on Saturday presales alone, they predict the following OW (Sat/Sun):

Aquaman - ¥345m

The Meg - ¥420m

MI:Fallout - ¥264m

Ready P.O. - ¥267m

 

From this I'd say around ¥300m looks right. MI is usually a little presale heavy in Japan, and RPO is likely slightly more presale heavy than Alita. 

 

My official estimate, based solely on presales, is ¥250-300m ($2.26-$2.71), the 3-day opening is likely around $3.0-3.5m. Probably looking at $15m total based on that, unless it breaks out or drops unexpectedly. 

 

Again, this is purely based on Saturday presales, which as you can see is non-definitive. Just gives a little perspective.

[salvador-232]

Alita Saturday 25% below RPO. Looking to just over $3m the 3 day IMO

Edited February 23, 2019 by salvador-232

[KP1025]

Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals (02/23-24)
01 (---) ¥259,000,000 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥330,949,400 ($3.0 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) NEW
02 (---) ¥248,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥342,730,000 ($3.1 million), Alita: Battle Angel (Fox) NEW
03 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥201,873,750 ($1.8 million), My Girlfriend is a Mage (Nikkei) NEW
04 (02) ¥139,613,000 ($1.3 million), -24%, ¥623,316,500 ($5.6 million), Fortuna's Eye (Toho) WK2
05 (03) ¥125,669,100 ($1.1 million), -27%, ¥4,039,065,600 ($36.9 million), Masquerade Hotel (Toho) WK6
06 (01) ¥122,814,500 ($1.1 million), -37%, ¥1,267,147,700 ($11.5 million), Aquaman (Warner Bros.) WK2
07 (05) ¥108,153,800 ($976,000), -30%, ¥1,005,602,900 ($9.2 million), City Hunter (Aniplex) WK3
08 (04) ¥106,484,100 ($961,000), -35%, ¥1,780,250,900 ($16.3 million), The Seven Conferences (Toho) WK4
09 (07) ¥x97,046,900 ($876,000), -14%, ¥11,909,825,880 ($106.8 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) WK16
10 (06) ¥x72,309,850 ($652,000), -39%, ¥705,524,950 ($6.3 million), Code Geass: Lelouch of the Rebellion (Showgate) WK3

Very close race for #1 this weekend.

>Tonde Saitama dashed Alita's hopes of opening at #1, and quite surprisingly, too, since Toei live-action films very rarely open this high. The film sold a solid 191,000 admissions over the weekend on 319 screens, and reached 247,968 admissions since opening on Friday. Solid debut here, and will be a welcome success for Toei. Expect a total around ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

>Alita: Battle Angel had to settle for a very close second place finish, selling 152,000 admissions over the weekend frame across a whopping 880 screens, and reached 212,681 admissions since opening on Friday. It achieved a very high premium (3D, 4D, IMAX, etc.) share of 59.9%, a percentage rarely seen anymore. Overall, this is a mediocre debut, but not unexpected. As I said a couple days ago, this film could have easily bombed, and this opening is high enough to secure a total above ¥1 billion ($10 million) and gives it a chance at ¥1.5 billion.  

>My Girlfriend is a Mage hasn't had its weekend actual released yet, but it debuted in third place. This is a very good start for independent distributor Nikkei. I'll update its weekend actual when its available.

>Masquerade Hotel becomes the first domestic live-action film to exceed the ¥4 billion milestone since Code Blue last July. Masayuki Suzuki's latest is on track for a total around ¥4.5 billion ($41/42 million).

>Aquaman took a a bit of tumble, falling five spots in its third weekend of release. Not much has changed regarding its trajectory, it's still behaving like the average Marvel/DC film, and should finish a bit north of ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

>Bohemian Rhapsody enjoys, you guessed it, another weekend in the Top 10, its sixteenth-consecutive, delivering yet another great hold. It surpassed Alice in Wonderland to crack the Top 20 All-Time Chart. And, having sold 8,610,213 admissions now, it surpasses Finding Nemo to climb to the 24th position on the Most Attended Films Chart. It's likely to see one more boost at the box office following its four Oscar wins on Sunday, so don't expect it to slow down just yet. It'll probably approach ¥13 billion ($116/117 million) with nearly 9.5 million admissions by the end of its run.

 

Edited February 26, 2019 by KP1025

[salvador-232]

Just realized that Alita Opening is lower than Ghost in the Shell... Should have better legs though 

[Giesi]

How big is the hype for Detective Pikachu in the franchises homeland?

Edited February 26, 2019 by Giesi

[KP1025]

1 hour ago, Giesi said:

How big is the hype for Detective Pikachu in the franchises homeland?

According to Corpse, there was no real hype after the first teaser. Not sure if anything has changed with the new trailer.  He had previously predicted the film would likely fall in the ¥3 billion- ¥5 billion range.

[Stewart]

It's official, Bohemian Rhapsody has beaten Frozen to achieve the highest multiplier in the market ever!

 

All-Time Best Multipliers (Wide Releases; ¥1 Billion Earners) [1998-]

01. x33.61 - Bohemian Rhapsody (Nov., 2018) [16 Weeks in Release]
02. x33.34 - Frozen (Mar., 2014) 
03. x30.37 - Spirited Away (July, 2001)
04. x26.99 - Princess Mononoke (July, 1997)
05. x26.92 - Your Name. (Aug., 2016)
06. x26.13 - Avatar (Dec., 2009)
07. x23.21 - Departures (Sept., 2008) 
08. x19.96 - Les Miserables (Dec., 2012) 
09. x17.07 - Zootopia (Apr., 2016) 
10. x16.44 - The Cat Returns (July, 2002)
11. x16.15 - The Eternal Zero (Dec., 2013) 
12. x15.69 - Monsters, Inc. (Mar., 2002)
13. x15.29 - Big Hero 6 (Dec., 2014)
14. x15.25 - The Last Samurai (Dec., 2003)
15. x14.98 - Ponyo (July, 2008)
16. x14.84 - Howl's Moving Castle (Nov., 2004)
17. x14.81 - Always: Sunset on Third Street (Nov., 2005)
18. x14.25 - Confessions (June, 2010)
19. x13.96 - Let Me Eat Your Pancreas (July, 2017)
19. x13.96 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (July, 2003)
21. x13.83 - Thermae Romae (Apr., 2012)
22. x13.64 - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (May, 2004)
23. x13.36 - The Greatest Showman (Feb., 2018)
24. x13.23 - Every Day, A Good Day (Oct., 2018)
25. x13.20 - Shin Godzilla (July, 2016) 
26. x13.09 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Dec., 2001)
27. x12.98 - Summer Wars (Aug., 2009)
28. x12.88 - Ted (Jan., 2013) 
29. x12.51 - The Wind Rises (July, 2013) 
30. x12.50 - The Phantom of the Opera (Jan., 2005)
31. x12.48 - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl (Aug., 2003)
32. x12.24 - Finding Nemo (Dec., 2003)
33. x12.21 - Despicable Me 3 (July, 2017)
34. x12.16 - Wolf Children (July, 2012)

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[KP1025]

For those wondering why Titanic (the juggernaut of legs) isn't on the list, here is Corpse's explanation.

 

Quote

I really wish Titanic's opening weekend was available, but I don't think it'll ever be known. Considering how long it was in the Top 10 [40 weeks] compared to what it grossed, its multiplier (another chart I've been wanting to add it to) is no doubt ridiculous (I would guess over 40, possibly even 50) and easily #1.

 

Edited February 27, 2019 by KP1025