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6 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I seriously think it's ROTK of Avengers trilogy, ignorning AOU.

 

That said, TT and IW are my fav and ROTK and EG I enjoyed just because the first two made me fan.

Instead of Civil War being Avengers 2.5, Ultron was Civil War 0.9 beta

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Usual locations (66-70% of market)

AEg +73% from AIW OD

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20 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I seriously think it's ROTK of Avengers trilogy, ignorning AOU.

 

That said, TT and IW are my fav and ROTK and EG I enjoyed just because the first two made me fan.

Well I liked TT the least :( But hey all film is subjective ;) 

That said TT still way over IW for me. But I am a LOTR fanboy ;) 

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6 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

$7mn OD @Olive ?

Definitely not. 

 

Corpse says around ¥1600 ATP. With 250k at 70% of theatres (not usual 66% as doesn't play well rurally), that gives around ¥570M OD, which is around $5.1m.

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1 minute ago, Stewart said:

Definitely not. 

 

Corpse says around ¥1600 ATP. With 250k at 70% of theatres (not usual 66% as doesn't play well rurally), that gives around ¥570M OD, which is around $5.1m.

Captain Marvel with 64k did $1.65mn, Aquaman 31k did $810k.

 

Endgame is 266k, say with 70%, shall be around $6.5mn. I took 66% as usual.

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4 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Captain Marvel with 64k did $1.65mn, Aquaman 31k did $810k.

 

Endgame is 266k, say with 70%, shall be around $6.5mn. I took 66% as usual.

Endgame is 247k. Don't include independents for 66% for locals. 

 

Range wise, 247k could be between 68-71% of the market, ATP at 1550-1650 lets say. This gets you ¥539-599m. This is $4.8-$5.4m. Still nowhere near $6.5m?

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31 minutes ago, Stewart said:

Endgame is 247k. Don't include independents for 66% for locals. 

 

Range wise, 247k could be between 68-71% of the market, ATP at 1550-1650 lets say. This gets you ¥539-599m. This is $4.8-$5.4m. Still nowhere near $6.5m?

Those Aquaman and CM figure are including individual. nvm. You have better idea of market. 5mn it is.

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2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Those Aquaman and CM figure are including individual. nvm. You have better idea of market. 5mn it is.

Thanks. I have asked Corpse anyway just to confirm.

 

Major problem will be ATP, going by what Corpse predicted around ¥1600, but actuals could be different.

Edited by Stewart
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Saturday 9 am number : 29,155 admissions (up 113% on AIW)

 

The fact that Saturday is down compared to Friday shows just how huge the Friday number was. 

Edited by Cynosure
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16 hours ago, Stewart said:

Endgame is 247k. Don't include independents for 66% for locals. 

 

Range wise, 247k could be between 68-71% of the market, ATP at 1550-1650 lets say. This gets you ¥539-599m. This is $4.8-$5.4m. Still nowhere near $6.5m?

Japan OD is lower limit. I was doing a mistake with my calculations.

Edited by Charlie Jatinder

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1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Japan OD is lower limit.

Damn, so slightly lower than expected ATP then?

 

On the upside though, Sat+Sun are looking to match/ slightly exceed BATB. Which means over SM2 but below SM1 and SM3. Probably around $11m for Sat+Sun, around $16m total for 3-day Weekend as projected. Damn freaking good compared to all other MCU

Edited by Stewart

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5 minutes ago, Olive said:

Saturday will barely increase.

Yep. Thinking Friday = Saturday = Sunday. 

 

Sunday will hold better than usual since Monday is a holiday. Though frontloadedness will prevent an increase.

 

Around $14.5-15m 3-day at this point imo

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57 minutes ago, Stewart said:

Yep. Thinking Friday = Saturday = Sunday. 

 

Sunday will hold better than usual since Monday is a holiday. Though frontloadedness will prevent an increase.

 

Around $14.5-15m 3-day at this point imo

Friday Numbers Are $4.66 M..

 

Saturday is Had Around $3 Million By Local 5 PM Time ... So Day 2 Could Be $5.2 M To $5.5 M ..

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Just now, Sunny Max said:

Friday Numbers Are $4.66 M..

 

Saturday is Had Around $3 Million By Local 5 PM Time ... So Day 2 Could Be $5.2 M To $5.5 M ..

oh wow, Friday came in quite low. Must have had a much lower than expected ATP. 

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The movie plays disproportionately well in urban areas so the number of admissions we get in 2/3 of theaters will generally represent more than 2/3 of the movie's actual admissions. I'm expecting a 3 day total of around $15 million for a final total of $50 million or so. 

Edited by Cynosure
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2 minutes ago, Cynosure said:

The movie plays disproportionately well in urban areas so the number of admissions we get in 2/3 of theaters will generally represent more than 2/3 of the movie's actual admissions. I'm expecting a 3 day total of around $15 million for a final total of $50 million or so. 

Yeah I've been using 70% instead of usual 67%. 

 

I'm same as you though a little higher on end due to 8-day holidays. Thinking 15/55.

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7 minutes ago, Cynosure said:

The movie plays disproportionately well in urban areas so the number of admissions we get in 2/3 of theaters will generally represent more than 2/3 of the movie's actual admissions. I'm expecting a 3 day total of around $15 million for a final total of $50 million or so. 

Yeah $50 Million Should Be The Target ...

 

With The Rating Of 90 ... AEG is The highest Local Rated MCU Movie in Japan ..

 

 

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7 minutes ago, Stewart said:

Yeah I've been using 70% instead of usual 67%. 

 

I'm same as you though a little higher on end due to 8-day holidays. Thinking 15/55.

 

AEG has 90 Local Rating  .. Which is More then All MCU Films in Japan ..

 

So Movie Will Have Long Run .. $50 Million Should Be the Target (Life time Numbers)

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