JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[catlover]

8 minutes ago, Geo1500 said:

 

 It dropped about -30 saturday and dropped below -5% Sunday but it was a large amount it sold in sunday which makes the procentage dropped smaller in average over the 2 weekend days thats how we end up at 9.8B 

No, admission-wise it dropped 36% on Sat, 15% on Sun, 25% on Sat+Sun. But since Toho had a discount day on Sunday, it dropped bigger gross-wise, hence the 30% drop.

[Geo1500]

....... @catlover and @Olive were right

Edited July 16, 2019 by Geo1500

[Olive]

8 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Can it break the OW record?

Maybe or maybe not, not enough seats because TS4 will still be strong on 2nd weekend.

 

[CalifoBoy]

Could "Weathering with you" hurt "Aladdin" numbers?

[charlie Jatinder]

If I am right TS4 Sunday + Monday is biggest 2 days of all time 

[Agafin]

9 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

If I am right TS4 Sunday + Monday is biggest 2 days of all time 

Nah, Yokai Watch's Saturday + Sunday was bigger.

[Geo1500]

4 hours ago, catlover said:

No, admission-wise it dropped 36% on Sat, 15% on Sun, 25% on Sat+Sun. But since Toho had a discount day on Sunday, it dropped bigger gross-wise, hence the 30% drop.

 

You could be right tho with the drop reaching overall -30% if you include TOHO discount and also one thing to note is that I included independent theaters

Edited July 16, 2019 by Geo1500

[Sunny Max]

18 minutes ago, CalifoBoy said:

Could "Weathering with you" hurt "Aladdin" numbers?

yes ... but TS4 will still be strong in 2nd weekend as well ..

[catlover]

1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

What the worse possible total for TS4? $ 90M? 

 

I want $ 100M, didn’t care that much about passing TS3. 

Finding Dory wasn't that well received compared to the other Pixar movies, but it still managed more than 9x multiplier. Let's say because of the holiday and discount it had on OW, and harsh competition, TS4 will only get 7x multiplier (which is quite low for a Pixar movie in the summer). Applying that to $12.7m 2-day weekend gets us $88.9m. Adding $3m from OD, it's $91.9m. I would say that's the worst scenario. So $100m is very very likely.

Edited July 16, 2019 by catlover

[keysersoze123]

this weekend drop is critical. With a huge opener taking premium screens it could see bigger than norm drop. So that could limit legs. but with summer weekdays and Obon week ahead, it should have a great run.

 

[CalifoBoy]

1 hour ago, Sunny Max said:

yes ... but TS4 will still be strong in 2nd weekend as well ..

I wasn't talking about TS4. 😛

 

Hope Aladdin can still hit $120M ❤️

[keysersoze123]

Corpse also confirmed the total is as off Monday. So Aladdin should hit 10B sometime before the weekend(May be wednesday)?

[KP1025]

Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals (07/13-14, 15)
01 (---) ¥1,377,000,000 ($12.7 million), 0, ¥2,440,073,000 ($22.6 million), Toy Story 4 (Disney) NEW
02 (---) ¥553,000,000 ($5.1 million), 0, ¥913,873,000 ($8.5 million), Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution (Toho) NEW
03 (01) ¥491,071,500 ($4.5 million), -30%, ¥9,843,940,700 ($90.7 million), Aladdin (Disney) WK6
04 (02) ¥229,105,400 ($2.1 million), -42%, ¥2,470,646,000 ($22.8 million), Spider-Man: Far From Home (Sony) WK3
05 (03) ¥150,896,000 ($1.4 million), -26%, ¥711,753,800 ($6.6 million), The Diner (Warner Bros.) WK2
06 (04) ¥101,095,500 ($936,000), -27%, ¥1,529,700,000 ($14.1 million), The Fable (Toho) WK4
07 (05) ¥x62,610,200 ($580,000), -20%, ¥930,000,000 ($8.7 million), Uta no Prince-sama The Movie: Maji LOVE Kingdom (Shochiku) WK6
08 (06) ¥x57,574,000 ($535,000), -24%, ¥335,388,700 ($3.1 million), Anpanman: Sparkle! Princess Van./Land of Ice Cream (Tokyo Theaters) WK3
09 (08) ¥x41,048,500 ($380,000), -15%, ¥337,151,310 ($3.1 million), The Journalist (Star Sands) WK3
10 (09) ¥x37,030,900 ($343,000), -12%, ¥149,657,800 ($1.4 million), Free! Road to the World - The Dream (Shochiku) WK2
11 (07) ¥x30,671,600 ($284,000), -51%, ¥189,958,000 ($1.7 million), The Documentary of Nogizaka46 - II (Toho Video Division) WK2

NOTE: Cumulative Totals Are As Of Monday, July 15th.

>Toy Story 4... WOW. The fourth entry in the Pixar franchise sold a remarkable 1,031,000 admissions (first imported animated film to do this) over the weekend frame across 556 screens. Further, it sold an astounding 1,850,000 admissions over its long 4-day Marine Day Holiday Weekend (Fri.-Mon.). The film is going to exceed the ¥10 billion ($90 million+) uber-blockbuster milestone without much effort, and should be on track for a ¥12/13 billion ($110-120 million) total.  

If you're reading this, you've probably been keeping track in this thread of how monstrous its opening weekend (and first four days in release) really was. It went into the weekend expected to either fall just shy or just barely break some records, but it shattered the records in question and achieved some truly incredible accomplishments. One ridiculous accomplishment that it achieved was the biggest imported opening weekend, animated or live-action, since 2007's Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End. 

>Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution, while it had to play a very distant second place and be totally overshadowed, actually performed very, very well. The twenty-second film in the long-running Pokemon film franchise sold 454,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 408 screens. It then went on to sell a very nice 752,531 admissions over its long 4-Day Marine Day Holiday Weekend (Fri.-Mon.). The first CGI film in the series, a remake of the original 1998 film, achieved the biggest opening in the franchise since 2010! That's a very impressive result given the series was at franchise lows a three-five years ago. Expect a finish around ¥3.5 billion ($30-35 million).  

>Aladdin fell to third place, and while it experienced its "worst" hold to date, it still held very well despite some harsh screen/showtime cuts. It also became the highest grossing film of 2019 over the weekend, and has sold over 6.9 million admissions after six weeks in release (plus Monday). There are a lot of big films still to come, so the screen/showtime cuts will continue but I don't believe it'll see a noticeable hit (say, 40-50%) until maybe August 9th, so it's going to continue to bring in some impressive numbers. It's still on track for a ¥12/13 billion ($110-120 million) total.

>Spider-Man: Far From Home continues to follow a fairly frontloaded trajectory as its predecessor. Thankfully, it had a much higher opening to make up for the mediocre holds and will outgross Homecoming's ¥2.8 billion total in a couple weeks. Depending on if it can maintain a sufficient enough screen/showtimes going into August, it could reach around ¥3.5 billion, but it'll probably settle closer to ¥3.2 billion ($30 million) or so.

[Sunny Max]

Wednesday

 

TS4 :- 87,968 

 

Aladdin 1st Wednesday :- 124,867 

[jj99]

16 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

Wednesday

 

TS4 :- 87,968 

 

Aladdin 1st Wednesday :- 124,867 

Yeah, not expecting it to hold as well as Aladdin. I'm sure the Holiday it had, which Aladdin didn't have the benefit of zapped some demand.

[pepsa]

12 minutes ago, jj99 said:

Yeah, not expecting it to hold as well as Aladdin. I'm sure the Holiday it had, which Aladdin didn't have the benefit of zapped some demand.

It's also a kids movie so it's normal it won't have the same weekdays as a more adult/YA movie. Look at the drop from pokemon. Do we have the data on FD weekdays? 

 

That said this weekend will see a decently big drop for sure, comming of a Holiday weekend + possibly the biggest movie of the year. 

Edited July 17, 2019 by pepsa

[jj99]

8 minutes ago, pepsa said:

It's also a kids movie so it's normal it won't have the same weekdays as a more adult/YA movie. Look at the drop from pokemon. Do we have the data on FD weekdays? 

 

That said this weekend will see a decently big drop for sure, comming of a Holiday weekend + possibly the biggest movie of the year. 

Yeah, not looking forward to the drops.

 

It will be a disaster.

[superheavysun]

Does any one have a guess or estimate about how much Aladdin is on track to make in US currency this week compared to the last weeks gross.

[MeowwoeM]

40 minutes ago, pepsa said:

It's also a kids movie so it's normal it won't have the same weekdays as a more adult/YA movie. Look at the drop from pokemon. Do we have the data on FD weekdays? 

 

That said this weekend will see a decently big drop for sure, comming of a Holiday weekend + possibly the biggest movie of the year. 

weekend prediction?

[pepsa]

1 minute ago, MeowwoeM said:

weekend prediction?

Honestly my predicition would be wothless because I am not super familier with this market. 

But here's my guess just for fun:

I would asume that if last weekend wasn't a holiday weekend TS4 would have had 278k sat (70% from the market, just the actual number) and a 300k sunday again for 70% of the market) Because the sat was about 5.15m I would guess the sunday would have been $5.56m and a weekend of $10.71m.

 

So now what do I think it will drop from $10.71m, I woudl say with no competition probably about 12% this would be $9.42m but it has huge competition so I would think 28% to about $7.71m. This would mean a 39.3% from last weeks Holiday weekend. I just hope it won't drop over 45%.