JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Olive]

8 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

This is generally the rule but for some reason, they allowed Bohemian Rhapsody to count as a 2018 film despite making most of its money after December 1. I suspect it was to make the year look better since there was no other 2018 film over ¥10 billion.

Yeah, FB2 was 2019 movie though..

[cannastop]

1 hour ago, The GOAT said:

sequel to Your Name?

Not a sequel, but by the same director.

[cannastop]

corpse

https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2242420#p2242420

They won't drop more than 50%. 40% maybe, but not 50%.

Significant drop-offs aren't unexpected, though, as the only two predecessors to ¥25 billion+ films in history had similar declines:

Avatar (-40.5% off Titanic)
Howl's Moving Castle (-37.4% off Spirited Away)

A 40% decline for Weathering With You and Frozen II from their respective predecessor would put both of them around ¥15 billion. That's basically where they were expected to land, and Weathering With You's debut suggests it'll do something around there.

[meriodejaneiro]

Spoiler

12 hours ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Frozen 2 probably won't count towards 2019 box office. 

11 hours ago, Sunny Max said:

its November 2019 Release ...

11 hours ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Japan's got some funny rules about what year a film comes out. December counts towards 2020, and if a movie makes a certain amount in the following box office year then it counts to the second one. It's weird. 

7 hours ago, Olive said:

If Frozen 2 makes most of its BO after Dec.1, it will be counted as a 2020 film.

It will be.

7 hours ago, KP1025 said:

This is generally the rule but for some reason, they allowed Bohemian Rhapsody to count as a 2018 film despite making most of its money after December 1. I suspect it was to make the year look better since there was no other 2018 film over ¥10 billion.

7 hours ago, Olive said:

Yeah, FB2 was 2019 movie though..

 

 

I thought the rule was "a movie belongs to the year when it makes most of its box office" and since Japan is a leggy country box-office wise, films releasing in Dec. usually make more money from Jan 1st onwards than in Dec. 

 

So if that's the rule, I'd say Frozen could still be considered a 2019 movie, since it releases on Nov. 22nd (i think 40 days in 2019 might accumulate more money than whatever it makes after day 41).

 

Again, I'm not sure about that rule. That's how I understood it.

[Olive]

4 hours ago, meriodejaneiro said:

  Hide contents

 

 

I thought the rule was "a movie belongs to the year when it makes most of its box office" and since Japan is a leggy country box-office wise, films releasing in Dec. usually make more money from Jan 1st onwards than in Dec. 

 

So if that's the rule, I'd say Frozen could still be considered a 2019 movie, since it releases on Nov. 22nd (i think 40 days in 2019 might accumulate more money than whatever it makes after day 41).

 

Again, I'm not sure about that rule. That's how I understood it.

Japanese BO calender year starts on Dec.1st

[ymblcza]

TS4 weekend 855,292,000 (-37.9％), cume 3,985,873,000, WWY weekend 1,184,702,700, cume 1,643,809,400 per 山崎翔太@アニメ宣伝 via twitter.com.

Edited July 22, 2019 by ymblcza

[fastclock]

From eiga.com:

Makoto Shinkai's Weathering With You was released in 448 screens from July 19th.

2-day weekend: 830,000 adm and 1.185 billion yen.

3-day total: 1,159,020 adm and 1,643,809,400 yen.

Will exceed 10 billion and the question is how would it compare to "Your Name".

 

TS4 2-day weekend: 630,000 adm and 855 million yen.

 

Aladdin in 4th place, total: 7.3 million adm and 10.4 billion yen.

 

FFH in 5th place, total: 2.6 billion yen.

[CalifoBoy]

So $120M for Aladdin will happen or not?

[fastclock]

Just wait it out and see.

Prediction is fun and fine, but some people take predictions and run away with it... smh.

[pepsa]

TS4 monday wasn't that bad this week 😛 

[ymblcza]

Summer vacation has started since last Saturday. TS4 made about ¥205m today, for comparsion, Dory made ¥132m on Monday (and ¥686m from Mon to Fri).

Edited July 22, 2019 by ymblcza

[cannastop]

Corpse

http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2242459#p2242459

Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [REVENUE]
Modern Rank (All-Time Rank)
01 (09) ¥1,628,893,000 - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)
02 (16) ¥1,463,827,700 - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Apr., 2019)
03 (19) ¥1,377,047,900 - Toy Story 4 (July, 2019)
04 (20) ¥1,372,054,050 - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012) 
05 (22) ¥1,316,539,200 - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 
06 (23) ¥1,301,851,375 - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
07 (24) ¥1,295,834,500 - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
08 (25) ¥1,286,928,000 - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
09 (26) ¥1,245,023,900 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 
10 (27) ¥1,225,913,932 - Rookies (May, 2009) 
11 (28) ¥1,216,654,000 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
12 (29) ¥1,209,158,900 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
13 (30) ¥1,205,116,126 - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011) 
14 (32) ¥1,185,000,000 - Weathering With You (July, 2019)
15 (33) ¥1,155,771,000 - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016) 
16 (35) ¥1,133,513,323 - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012) 
17 (36) ¥1,125,800,000 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
18 (37) ¥1,122,000,000 - Aladdin (June, 2019)
19 (38) ¥1,096,150,000 - Code Blue (July, 2018)
20 (39) ¥1,065,362,800 - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
21 (40) ¥1,057,808,800 - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 
22 (41) ¥1,048,271,900 - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
23 (42) ¥1,038,295,232 - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009) 
24 (43) ¥1,034,459,534 - Ponyo (July, 2008) 
25 (45) ¥1,005,428,333 - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008)

Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [ADMISSIONS]
Modern Rank (All-Time Rank)
01 (02) 1,484,916 - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)
02 (13) 1,144,539 - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Apr., 2019)
03 (14) 1,140,081 - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012)
04 (19) 1,031,000 - Toy Story 4 (July, 2019)
05 (20) 1,012,000 - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
06 (21) 987,568 - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
07 (22) 987,387 - Rookies (May, 2009)
08 (24) 974,577 - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
09 (25) 933,781 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
10 (29) 880,697 - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
11 (30) 833,190 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
12 (31) 830,000 - Weathering With You (July, 2019)
13 (32) 828,149 - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 
14 (33) 820,830 - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
15 (34) 819,738 - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009)
16 (35) 812,557 - Ponyo (July, 2008) 
17 (36) 810,918 - Code Blue (July, 2018)
18 (37) 805,350 - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008)
19 (38) 805,297 - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (July, 2009)
20 (39) 800,258 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
21 (40) 773,184 - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011)
22 (41) 771,764 - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012)
23 (42) 771,516 - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
24 (43) 766,633 - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1 (Nov., 2010)
25 (44) 766,000 - Aladdin (June, 2019)
26 (46) 747,451 - The Wind Rises (July, 2013)
27 (48) 737,467 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
28 (49) 729,114 - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
29 (51) 717,958 - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Sept., 2014)
30 (52) 716,629 - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)
31 (54) 715,727 - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
32 (55) 707,339 - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (July, 2010)

*Modern = Post-Previews/Early Showings Era.

[KP1025]

Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals (07/20-21)
01 (---) ¥1,185,000,000 ($11.0 million), 0, ¥1,644,809,400 ($15.2 million), Weathering With You (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥855,292,000 ($7.9 million), -38%, ¥3,985,873,000 ($36.9 million), Toy Story 4 (Disney) WK2
03 (03) ¥287,657,000 ($2.7 million), -41%, ¥10,419,321,700 ($96.0 million), Aladdin (Disney) WK7
04 (02) ¥251,169,800 ($2.3 million), -55%, ¥1,298,496,300 ($12.0 million), Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution (Toho) WK2
05 (04) ¥104,177,400 ($965,000), -55%, ¥2,686,435,700 ($24.8 million), Spider-Man: Far From Home (Sony) WK4
06 (---) ¥x70,000,000 ($648,000), 0, ¥109,708,400 ($1.0 million), Child's Play (Toho-Towa) NEW
07 (---) ¥x65,000,000 ($602,000), 0, ¥112,000,000 ($1.0 million), Tokyo Ghoul S (Shochiku) NEW
08 (05) ¥x79,765,300 ($739,000), -47%, ¥909,304,600 ($8.4 million), The Diner (Warner Bros.) WK3
09 (06) ¥x47,586,800 ($441,000), -53%, ¥1,635,365,600 ($15.1 million), The Fable (Toho) WK5
10 (07) ¥x46,192,800 ($428,000), -26%, ¥1,040,823,600 ($9.7 million), Uta no Prince-sama The Movie: Maji LOVE Kingdom (Shochiku) WK7
11 (10) ¥x33,707,600 ($312,000), -09%, ¥225,129,900 ($2.1 million), Free! Road to the World - The Dream (Shochiku) WK3
12 (08) ¥x28,998,300 ($268,000), -50%, ¥414,589,400 ($3.8 million), Anpanman: Sparkle! Princess Van./Land of Ice Cream (Tokyo Theaters) WK4
13 (09) ¥x21,678,280 ($201,000), -47%, ¥404,321,110 ($3.7 million), The Journalist (Star Sands) WK4

>Weathering With You, director/writer Makoto Shinkai's (Your Name.) latest, debuted atop the box-office, delivering an exceptional opening. Shinkai's much anticipated follow-up to Your Name., the fourth biggest film ever in Japan, sold an excellent 830,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 448 screens. And since opening on Friday, it sold 1,159,020 admissions after three days in release.

This is about as strong as expected (on par/greater than a Miyazaki release), and it does come in 27% higher than the opening weekend of Your Name.. The film is also, quite astonishingly, the fourth ¥1 billion debut this year, after we just had one last weekend. A couple films opening above ¥1 billion in any year is impressive enough, so having four already is incredible.

It is, of course, very difficult to project a film's course at this stage. However, with the strong audience scores and another hit soundtrack, as well as the time of year, we can expect strong legs. Not Your Name. strong (new #1 all-time film if that happens), but multipliers well above 10 and approaching 15 are doable and even fairly common with all of these boxes checked off.  A total around the ¥15 billion ($140 million) milestone is certainly achievable, making it the likely favorite to win the year and allowing it to approach, perhaps even crack, the Top 10 All-Time Films in the market.

>Toy Story 4 enjoyed a strong second weekend, though its hold is on the higher side for a Pixar release. It's actually the biggest second weekend drop for any Pixar sequel. But, it is coming off of a bit of an inflated record opening weekend (holiday), and with its "good, not great" reception, I don't necessarily think this drop is bad. The next couple weeks will give us a clearer picture of where the film is heading, but I don't believe it's going to suddenly change course and begin matching/beating its predecessor's holds. So with that said, a total around ¥11/12 billion ($100/110 million) looks like the most likely scenario.

>Aladdin is beginning to slip a bit, though that's not too surprising now that the Summer box-office season is really kicking-in. This is a common trend for big holdovers from May/June that benefit greatly from the weaker box-office leading up to July. It did exceed the ¥10 billion milestone this past Wednesday, its 41st day in release, though and will continue to post decent numbers throughout the rest of the summer. It's path is becoming more set, and it's on track for a total around ¥12 billion ($110 million). It's going to be very close between it and Toy Story 4.

>Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution experienced the usual 50% drop the franchise always sees over their sophomore frames, though 55% is among the highest. The twenty-second film in the series will probably won't break franchise norms, so expect a finish a little above ¥3 billion (~$30 million).  

>Spider-Man: Far From Home just keeps on continuing its frontloaded ways, and it's too late correct this now. It's going to outgross its predecessor next weekend, but it's barely going to exceed the ¥3 billion (~$30 million), when it should have been aiming for at least ¥3.5 billion (~$35 million). I don't think it's due to poor WOM or anything though (audience scores are good), but rather the frontloaded nature of the Marvel/DC films has attached itself to the Spider-Man series now.

>The weekend number for both Child's Play and Tokyo Ghoul S are estimates. Their respective cumulative totals are actuals though. I'll update them when their numbers are updated in a day or two. You probably see me saying this a lot for smaller openers, but if a film doesn't rank high enough or gross enough (typically ¥100 million), they just aren't reported on time.

>Free! Road to the World - The Dream didn't see a weekend increase, but it did enjoy a single-digit hold. This film was produced by Kyoto Animation, the studio that lost 34 lives due to an arson attack a few days ago, so fans and supporters have been coming out strong since.

 

[Geo1500]

7 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals (07/20-21)
01 (---) ¥1,185,000,000 ($11.0 million), 0, ¥1,644,809,400 ($15.2 million), Weathering With You (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥855,292,000 ($7.9 million), -38%, ¥3,985,873,000 ($36.9 million), Toy Story 4 (Disney) WK2
03 (03) ¥287,657,000 ($2.7 million), -41%, ¥10,419,321,700 ($96.0 million), Aladdin (Disney) WK7
04 (02) ¥251,169,800 ($2.3 million), -55%, ¥1,298,496,300 ($12.0 million), Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution (Toho) WK2
05 (04) ¥104,177,400 ($965,000), -55%, ¥2,686,435,700 ($24.8 million), Spider-Man: Far From Home (Sony) WK4
06 (---) ¥x70,000,000 ($648,000), 0, ¥109,708,400 ($1.0 million), Child's Play (Toho-Towa) NEW
07 (---) ¥x65,000,000 ($602,000), 0, ¥112,000,000 ($1.0 million), Tokyo Ghoul S (Shochiku) NEW
08 (05) ¥x79,765,300 ($739,000), -47%, ¥909,304,600 ($8.4 million), The Diner (Warner Bros.) WK3
09 (06) ¥x47,586,800 ($441,000), -53%, ¥1,635,365,600 ($15.1 million), The Fable (Toho) WK5
10 (07) ¥x46,192,800 ($428,000), -26%, ¥1,040,823,600 ($9.7 million), Uta no Prince-sama The Movie: Maji LOVE Kingdom (Shochiku) WK7
11 (10) ¥x33,707,600 ($312,000), -09%, ¥225,129,900 ($2.1 million), Free! Road to the World - The Dream (Shochiku) WK3
12 (08) ¥x28,998,300 ($268,000), -50%, ¥414,589,400 ($3.8 million), Anpanman: Sparkle! Princess Van./Land of Ice Cream (Tokyo Theaters) WK4
13 (09) ¥x21,678,280 ($201,000), -47%, ¥404,321,110 ($3.7 million), The Journalist (Star Sands) WK4

 

 

This is probably 4-5th time he has made a mathematically error on exchange rates and seems to be persistent in it 

[Tower]

8 minutes ago, Geo1500 said:

 

This is probably 4-5th time he has made a mathematically error on exchange rates and seems to be persistent in it 

It's not an error. He's using each weeks exchange rate, not just the current one.

Edited July 22, 2019 by Tower

[Stewart]

5 minutes ago, Tower said:

It's not an error. He's using each weeks exchange rate, not just the current one.

As it 110% should be done.

[Geo1500]

44 minutes ago, Tower said:

It's not an error. He's using each weeks exchange rate, not just the current one.

 

 Not really. It would be much easier if he provides everything in yen 

Edited July 22, 2019 by Geo1500

[Jiffy]

5 minutes ago, Geo1500 said:

 

 Not really. his just very slow. It would be much easier if he provides everything in yen instead

He provides all the figures in yen? Having the USD figures as well is a very helpful frame of reference. 

[Geo1500]

19 minutes ago, Jiffy said:

He provides all the figures in yen? Having the USD figures as well is a very helpful frame of reference. 

 

I don't find him to be useful. He also goes in rampage just posting stats of 100 pages that nobody asked for? He should just keep it simple and chill with that

Edited July 22, 2019 by Geo1500

[Jiffy]

26 minutes ago, Geo1500 said:

 

I don't find him to be useful. He also goes in rampage just posting stats of 100 pages that nobody asked for? He should just keep it simple and chill with that

He's a great resource and plenty of people find the stats interesting. 

 

I think you're in quite the minority here.