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1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

Its not an inde film. Awards are of no/little value at level it is playing.

 

besides, I don't think it deserves award as well. TS4 FTW. Even TLK better if animation is given preference too. TLK was awesome.

 

Corpse has plenty of data to say otherwise

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1 hour ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Corpse has plenty of data to say otherwise

Of course. Japan. But. I would like to see that data. 😛

Edited by Jedi Jat

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The real question is will Frozen II win Anime Film of the year at the Tokyo Anime Awards like its predecessor.  

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4 hours ago, KP1025 said:

What are the chances of Frozen 2 winning a Golden Globe (competition seems tougher this year)? If it wins, that will be another boost to its legs in January.

I don't see it winning. TS4 has a greater chance of winning than F2.

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47 minutes ago, UserHN said:

I don't see it winning. TS4 has a greater chance of winning than F2.

I only hope for original song award. 

At 7pm local time, Thursday -14% from last week

Edited by PKMLover
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5 hours ago, KP1025 said:

What are the chances of Frozen 2 winning a Golden Globe (competition seems tougher this year)? If it wins, that will be another boost to its legs in January.

You think? I would have thought only Oscars could do that.

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1 hour ago, cannastop said:

You think? I would have thought only Oscars could do that.

 

The Oscars have a bigger boost and can elevate a smaller film to break out status (like the King's Speech or Green Book), but the Golden Globes can help boost an already popular film's late legs (like Bohemian Rhapsody last year).

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On 12/11/2019 at 2:04 AM, danhtruong5 said:

What does "it is stabilizing" mean for a movie?

Softer Week over Week drops after a large Opening Weekend

On 12/11/2019 at 3:13 PM, Jedi Jat said:

$1.25mn today. Another week on week 15% drop. Cume $58.2mn.

 

Let's see if it can manage 15% weekend drop for $8mn weekend and $67.5-68mn by Sunday.

 

6 hours ago, PKMLover said:

I only hope for original song award. 

At 7pm local time, Thursday -14% from last week

So it has a shot to drop 15% this weekend.  I said early on it will be hard to gauge the total until the 3rd to 4th weekend.  -15% shows a sign it could get over $180m.  It will need several 10-15% WoW drops and 1 or 2 near flats to get there.  A couple of 20% drops in the next few weeks will likely mean 150m-ish

 

Something like this.  F1's sweet spot was 7-8m for 10 weeks.  Lets see if it can hold a while there with repeat viewers.

WE

1  15.1m

2  13.3

3    9.5

4    8.1

5    7.3

6    7.2 

7    7

8    6.3

9    6

10  5.1

 

Edited by POTUS 2020
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Japan is one of the biggest SW market, what is your expectations for OW and lifetime run of SW9 in Japan ? And has someone informations about the box office of a French movie named "Nicky Larson" in Japan ?

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After 2-3 days of very tiny drops, friday so far is at 23%. Let us see where it ends and how weekend holds. Anything sub 20% is good. 15% or below is great.

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1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

After 2-3 days of very tiny drops, friday so far is at 23%. Let us see where it ends and how weekend holds. Anything sub 20% is good. 15% or below is great.

 

Looks like today has 6 new releases, including Jumanji 3. Drop will probably be slightly worse than the past few days. 

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14 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

Tomorrow is 14th Dec Sat, discount ticket for Toho theather chain? Can it make today deflated  a little bit? 

 

It probably wouldn't have a big effect. Toho only accounts for about a quarter of the theater chains in Japan. 

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18 hours ago, KP1025 said:

 

It probably wouldn't have a big effect. Toho only accounts for about a quarter of the theater chains in Japan. 

And it seems only member accounts can get the discount tickets.

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Not that surprising considering how the previous film performed in Japan, but it looks like Jumanji 3 is bombing. 

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4 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

Not that surprising considering how the previous film performed in Japan, but it looks like Jumanji 3 is bombing. 

F2 top 3 markets all hate J3, probably why I had such a negative impressive of its prospects. I have been focusing on them particularly recently.

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I haven't looked at this much in the last 5 years, but what I gather is that F2 is holding -13% WoW. Not bad considering 6 new releases.  Toho discount may affect it a couple %.  We'll see tomorrow.  Looks like $8m+ weekend.  We need -10% or better next weekend.

China is adding $70m, it would be nice to see Japan do $180m

 

2019/12/14 20:10更新 最新デイリー詳細速報(約20分毎更新)
順位 販売(前回比) 座席(消化率) 先週比 95分率 全日推定 映画作品タイトル名
*1 182386(+1841) 598972(.904) *86.8% 35.2% 189680 アナと雪の女王2
*2 *42681(+1170) 225541(.837) ****** 43.9% *71092 屍人荘の殺人
*3 *42290(+*854) 215556(.802) ****** 40.1% *63001 ジュマンジ/ネクスト・レベル
*4 *34078(+**54) 269748(1.00) ****** 41.7% *34106 映画 妖怪学園Y 猫はHER…
*5 *29950(+*377) 143745(.809) *59.7% 46.3% *34235 ルパン三世 THE FIRST
*6 *27982(+*235) *85064(.858) *85.6% 50.3% *29892 午前0時、キスしに来てよ
*7 *18422(+***0) *26523(1.00) ****** *0.7% ****** アイドリッシュセブン ファン…
*8 *14916(+***0) *83286(1.00) *72.0% 45.7% *14924 映画 すみっコぐらし とびだ…
*9 *14206(+***0) *14944(.976) ****** *0.1% ****** 宝塚歌劇 星組東京建物 Br…
10 *13610(+*173) 101775(.831) ****** 51.6% *20923 カツベン!
Edited by POTUS 2020
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14 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

I haven't looked at this much in the last 5 years, but what I gather is that F2 is holding -13% WoW. Not bad considering 6 new releases.  Toho discount may affect it a couple %.  We'll see tomorrow.  Looks like $8m+ weekend.  We need -10% or better next weekend.

China is adding $70m, it would be nice to see Japan do $180m

 

2019/12/14 20:10更新 最新デイリー詳細速報(約20分毎更新)
順位 販売(前回比) 座席(消化率) 先週比 95分率 全日推定 映画作品タイトル名
*1 182386(+1841) 598972(.904) *86.8% 35.2% 189680 アナと雪の女王2
*2 *42681(+1170) 225541(.837) ****** 43.9% *71092 屍人荘の殺人
*3 *42290(+*854) 215556(.802) ****** 40.1% *63001 ジュマンジ/ネクスト・レベル
*4 *34078(+**54) 269748(1.00) ****** 41.7% *34106 映画 妖怪学園Y 猫はHER…
*5 *29950(+*377) 143745(.809) *59.7% 46.3% *34235 ルパン三世 THE FIRST
*6 *27982(+*235) *85064(.858) *85.6% 50.3% *29892 午前0時、キスしに来てよ
*7 *18422(+***0) *26523(1.00) ****** *0.7% ****** アイドリッシュセブン ファン…
*8 *14916(+***0) *83286(1.00) *72.0% 45.7% *14924 映画 すみっコぐらし とびだ…
*9 *14206(+***0) *14944(.976) ****** *0.1% ****** 宝塚歌劇 星組東京建物 Br…
10 *13610(+*173) 101775(.831) ****** 51.6% *20923 カツベン!

Yeah. Competition is pretty tough this weekend.  But next week we have SW9 debut and Japan is one of its big market so.....

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