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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted (edited)

Frozen II

 

Probable Dailies

Day Date Gross % +/- YD / LW* Gross-to-date Weekend Weekly
Fri Nov. 22, 2019 $2,783,000     $2,783,000   $2,783,000
Sat Nov. 23, 2019 $7,710,000 177.04%   $10,493,000    
Sun Nov. 24, 2019 $7,403,000 -3.98%   $17,896,000 $15,113,000  
Mon Nov. 25, 2019 $2,156,000 -70.88%   $20,052,000    
Tue Nov. 26, 2019 $1,316,000 -38.96%   $21,368,000    
Wed Nov. 27, 2019 $2,121,000 61.17%   $23,489,000    
Thu Nov. 28, 2019 $1,229,000 -42.06%   $24,718,000    
Fri Nov. 29, 2019 $1,595,000 29.78% -42.69% $26,313,000   $23,530,000
Sat Nov. 30, 2019 $5,248,000 229.03% -31.93% $31,561,000    
Sun Dec. 1, 2019 $7,934,000 51.18% 7.17% $39,495,000 $13,182,000  
Mon Dec. 2, 2019 $1,703,000 -78.54% -21.01% $41,198,000    
Tue Dec. 3, 2019 $930,000 -45.39% -29.33% $42,128,000    
Wed Dec. 4, 2019 $1,514,000 62.80% -28.62% $43,642,000    
Thu Dec. 5, 2019 $884,000 -41.61% -28.07% $44,526,000    
Fri Dec. 6, 2019 $1,197,000 35.41% -24.95% $45,723,000   $19,410,000
Sat Dec. 7, 2019 $4,090,000 241.69% -22.07% $49,813,000    
Sun Dec. 8, 2019 $5,435,000 32.89% -31.50% $55,248,000 $9,525,000  
Mon Dec. 9, 2019 $1,188,000 -78.14% -30.24% $56,436,000    
Tue Dec. 10, 2019 $778,000 -34.51% -16.34% $57,214,000    
Wed Dec. 11, 2019 $1,273,000 63.62% -15.92% $58,487,000    
Thu Dec. 12, 2019 $762,000 -40.14% -13.80% $59,249,000    
Fri Dec. 13, 2019 $953,000 25.07% -20.38% $60,202,000   $14,479,000
Sat Dec. 14, 2019 $2,948,000 209.34% -27.92% $63,150,000    
Sun Dec. 15, 2019 $4,198,000 42.40% -22.76% $67,348,000 $7,146,000  
Mon Dec. 16, 2019 $900,000 -78.56% -24.24% $68,248,000    
Tue Dec. 17, 2019 $675,000 -25.00% -13.24% $68,923,000    

 

Projections

Spoiler

  Frozen 2 Change
Week 1 $26,313,000  
Week 2 $19,410,000 -26.23%
Week 3 $14,479,000 -25.40%
Week 4 $11,250,000 -22.30%
Week 5 $11,925,000 6.00%
Week 6 $12,402,000 4.00%
Week 7 $8,681,000 -30.00%
Week 8 $6,077,000 -30.00%
Week 9 $3,950,000 -35.00%
Week 10 $2,370,000 -40.00%
Rest $9,500,000  
     
Total $126,357,000  

 

Edited by Jedi Jat
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Mau Indie Sensation

Mau

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

Frozen II

 

Probable Dailies

Day Date Gross % +/- YD / LW* Gross-to-date Weekend Weekly
Fri Nov. 22, 2019 $2,783,000     $2,783,000   $2,783,000
Sat Nov. 23, 2019 $7,710,000 177.04%   $10,493,000    
Sun Nov. 24, 2019 $7,403,000 -3.98%   $17,896,000 $15,113,000  
Mon Nov. 25, 2019 $2,156,000 -70.88%   $20,052,000    
Tue Nov. 26, 2019 $1,316,000 -38.96%   $21,368,000    
Wed Nov. 27, 2019 $2,121,000 61.17%   $23,489,000    
Thu Nov. 28, 2019 $1,229,000 -42.06%   $24,718,000    
Fri Nov. 29, 2019 $1,595,000 29.78% -42.69% $26,313,000   $23,530,000
Sat Nov. 30, 2019 $5,248,000 229.03% -31.93% $31,561,000    
Sun Dec. 1, 2019 $7,934,000 51.18% 7.17% $39,495,000 $13,182,000  
Mon Dec. 2, 2019 $1,703,000 -78.54% -21.01% $41,198,000    
Tue Dec. 3, 2019 $930,000 -45.39% -29.33% $42,128,000    
Wed Dec. 4, 2019 $1,514,000 62.80% -28.62% $43,642,000    
Thu Dec. 5, 2019 $884,000 -41.61% -28.07% $44,526,000    
Fri Dec. 6, 2019 $1,197,000 35.41% -24.95% $45,723,000   $19,410,000
Sat Dec. 7, 2019 $4,090,000 241.69% -22.07% $49,813,000    
Sun Dec. 8, 2019 $5,435,000 32.89% -31.50% $55,248,000 $9,525,000  
Mon Dec. 9, 2019 $1,188,000 -78.14% -30.24% $56,436,000    
Tue Dec. 10, 2019 $778,000 -34.51% -16.34% $57,214,000    
Wed Dec. 11, 2019 $1,273,000 63.62% -15.92% $58,487,000    
Thu Dec. 12, 2019 $762,000 -40.14% -13.80% $59,249,000    
Fri Dec. 13, 2019 $953,000 25.07% -20.38% $60,202,000   $14,479,000
Sat Dec. 14, 2019 $2,948,000 209.34% -27.92% $63,150,000    
Sun Dec. 15, 2019 $4,198,000 42.40% -22.76% $67,348,000 $7,146,000  
Mon Dec. 16, 2019 $900,000 -78.56% -24.24% $68,248,000    
Tue Dec. 17, 2019 $675,000 -25.00% -13.24% $68,923,000    

 

Projections

  Hide contents

 

  Frozen 2 Change
Week 1 $26,313,000  
Week 2 $19,410,000 -26.23%
Week 3 $14,479,000 -25.40%
Week 4 $11,250,000 -22.30%
Week 5 $11,925,000 6.00%
Week 6 $12,402,000 4.00%
Week 7 $8,681,000 -30.00%
Week 8 $6,077,000 -30.00%
Week 9 $3,950,000 -35.00%
Week 10 $2,370,000 -40.00%
Rest $9,500,000  
     
Total $126,357,000  

 

Can frozen get a sing-a-long version and add 5 to 10 million more?

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Tower Box Office Gold

Tower

Posted
Posted

Image
(C)2019 Disney. All Rights Reserved.

Weekend Actuals (12/07-08)
01 (01) ¥1,032,954,000 ($9.4 million), -29%, ¥6,014,468,600 ($55.0 million), Frozen II (Disney) WK2
02 (---) ¥244,827,850 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥307,395,900 ($2.8 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) NEW
03 (---) ¥144,777,900 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥194,913,000 ($1.8 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) NEW
04 (03) ¥x84,865,000 ($776,000), -35%, ¥981,897,800 ($8.9 million), Sumikko Gurashi: The Pop-Up Book and the Mystery Child (Asmik Ace) WK5
05 (02) ¥x76,717,200 ($701,000), -42%, ¥829,361,300 ($7.6 million), The 47 Ronin in Debt! (Shochiku) WK3
06 (04) ¥x62,824,950 ($574,000), -47%, ¥2,212,089,500 ($20.3 million), Terminator: Dark Fate (Fox) WK5
07 (05) ¥x51,819,150 ($474,000), -45%, ¥255,927,300 ($2.3 million), Doctor Sleep (Warner Bros.) WK2
08 (09) ¥x43,251,500 ($395,000), +32%, ¥667,463,980 ($6.1 million), Saekano: How to Raise a Boring Girlfriend (Aniplex) WK7
09 (06) ¥x42,698,900 ($390,000), -37%, ¥1,756,878,450 ($16.1 million), It: Chapter Two (Warner Bros.) WK6
10 (08) ¥x27,413,200 ($251,000), -23%, ¥109,990,000 ($1.0 million), Nicky Larson et le parfum de Cupidon (Albatros Film) WK2

________________________________________________________

Image
(C)2019 Disney. All Rights Reserved.

Weekend Actuals (12/14-15)
01 (01) ¥780,070,250 ($7.1 million), -26%, ¥7,336,780,250 ($67.1 million), Frozen II (Disney) WK4
02 (---) ¥187,000,000 ($1.7 million), 0, ¥236,886,700 ($2.2 million), Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony) NEW
03 (---) ¥165,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥219,966,550 ($2.0 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) NEW
04 (02) ¥141,045,550 ($1.3 million), -42%, ¥591,379,500 ($5.4 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) WK2
05 (---) ¥132,419,750 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥132,419,750 ($1.2 million), Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho) NEW
06 (03) ¥115,982,200 ($1.1 million), -19%, ¥431,994,800 ($3.9 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) WK2
07 (---) ¥x60,000,000 ($550,000), 0, ¥x78,173,150 ($0.7 million), Taking the Pictures (Toei) NEW
08 (04) ¥x59,093,200 ($540,000), -30%, ¥1,071,269,100 ($9.7 million), Sumikko Gurashi: The Pop-Up Book and the Mystery Child (Asmik Ace) WK6
09 (05) ¥x44,317,650 ($405,000), -42%, ¥958,181,450 ($8.7 million), The 47 Ronin in Debt! (Shochiku) WK4
10 (---) ¥x30,000,000 ($275,000), 0, ¥x30,000,000 ($0.3 million), Shaun the Sheep: Farmageddon (Star Channel Movies) NEW


Double Weekend Analysis:

Nothing very exciting to really report on over the last couple of weekends, unfortunately:

>Frozen II continues to its effortless reign atop the box-office, and while Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker will dethrone it (probably...) next week, it's likely to regain the #1 spot not long after.

I know it's been out for a month now, but it's still too early, especially with New Year still to come, to give an accurate prediction of where it's headed. The likely range remains between ¥15-20 billion ($140-180 million), but given its good but not great holds recently, a total on the lower-end of that range is looking more likely at the moment, but never rule out the boost that a major holiday week like New Year can provide.

OPENERS:

>Lupin III: The First debuted in second place, though its opening comes in a bit lower than expected. The first 3DCG-animated film featuring the famous Lupin III sold 177,000 admissions over the weekend on 389 screens; and selling 221,454 admissions since opening on Friday. I don't expect legs to be too good either, so a total of ¥1.5 billion ($15 million) could be the ceiling here.

Other than Stand By Me, Doraemon back in 2014, Japanese audiences haven't really taken to seeing their popular animated characters in 3DCG, and Lupin III is just the latest example. Based on the box-office results, and often the critical reception, I'm not seeing this 3DCG trend continuing for much longer (Pokemon is already switching back to 2D next year).

>Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight opened decently in third place, opening with 121,000 admissions sold over the weekend on 255 screens; and selling 159,000 admissions since opening on Friday. This is a fair debut, and romantic films almost always achieve great legs in December, so expect a total above ¥1 billion ($10 million) despite the "low" opening.

>Jumanji: The Next Level debuts in a very distant second place, selling 130,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 655 screens; and selling 164,765 admissions since Friday. This opening is 31% below its predecessor, and it's unlikely to reach the ¥1 billion ($9/10 million) milestone.

>Murder at Shijinso opened in third place, but couldn't generate much interest, selling 125,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 311 screens; and selling 166,684 admissions since Friday. This isn't a bad debut, exactly, and this could be the sort of film that develops strong legs, but it's certainly a slow start. It has the best chance of reaching the ¥1 billion ($9/10 million) milestone among the December 14/15 openers, but it's no guarantee.

>Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? debuted in a disappointing fifth place, selling 117,747 admissions over the weekend on 347 screens. This is the sixth-entry in the Yo-Kai Watch film franchise, and it continues the major downward spiral the series has experienced since it began. This year's film is down a whopping 48% versus last year's film, and will become the first film in the franchise to miss the ¥1 billion ($9/10 million) milestone. The rate at which this franchise has collapsed is something else.

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catlover Box Office Gold

catlover

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Posted

So apparently SW had some kind of previews today (Thursday). It did 14,699 at usual locations (35 theaters and 64 showtimes). Meanwhile Frozen 2 dropped only 9.5% from last week. This weekend's gonna be very interesting. We will see how big SW9 opens and how well Frozen 2 holds.

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Justin4125 Indie Sensation

Justin4125

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, catlover said:

So apparently SW had some kind of previews today (Thursday). It did 14,699 at usual locations (35 theaters and 64 showtimes). Meanwhile Frozen 2 dropped only 9.5% from last week. This weekend's gonna be very interesting. We will see how big SW9 opens and how well Frozen 2 holds.

From what I've heard, Japanese audience reception to TROS has been solid, interested to see how well it does there

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edroger3 Box Office Gold

edroger3

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, catlover said:

So apparently SW had some kind of previews today (Thursday). It did 14,699 at usual locations (35 theaters and 64 showtimes). Meanwhile Frozen 2 dropped only 9.5% from last week. This weekend's gonna be very interesting. We will see how big SW9 opens and how well Frozen 2 holds.

Basing on presales (usual TOHO's by now) SW wins big, especially friday, but some of those on sat-sun could be "anticipated" presales.

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edroger3 Box Office Gold

edroger3

Posted
Posted
25 minutes ago, Bart Allen said:

Wait, are there any numbers from Japan at the moment? Opening day?

There are many soldouts, usually this means great numbers, but japan's great numbers aren't china's great numbers. Maybe 4/5M$. Or some more. We'll see.

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Bart Allen Indie Sensation

Bart Allen

Posted
Posted
28 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Look on here in a couple hours:

https://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/

I will, thanks so much :3

22 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

There are many soldouts, usually this means great numbers, but japan's great numbers aren't china's great numbers. Maybe 4/5M$. Or some more. We'll see.

Should be interesting haha ~

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danhtruong5 Sleeper Hit

danhtruong5

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Posted

It seems Frozen 2 drop 50% show on this weekend FSS (infor from someone one Corpse page)

...........

An animated movie which can work well on holiday and day off, is going to enjoy the fresh air of holiday for the first time since it release 1 month ago..

Lets cut it show time 50%

F2: am I a joke to you

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RJ 95 Sleeper Hit

RJ 95

Posted
Posted
45 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

It seems Frozen 2 drop 50% show on this weekend FSS (infor from someone one Corpse page)

...........

An animated movie which can work well on holiday and day off, is going to enjoy the fresh air of holiday for the first time since it release 1 month ago..

Lets cut it show time 50%

F2: am I a joke to you

Friday hold seems very good so far, if SW doesn't meet theater chain expectation. Surely they will give some of it back to Frozen 2. 

I think even if SW9 doing good in there, seats number from next weekend will stay like this Friday or add 10% of total. They surely know Frozen 2 potential on school holidays.

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