RTX Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Dude you have been wrong about this movie at every turn so most people aren't taking your statement seriously. Avengers 3rd weekend hold was rather ordinary, as opposed to extraordinary first 2 weekends. I believe the film will have a normal run from now on, meaning 40-50% drops on average every weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 I'm really not all that thrilled with the drop to be honest with you. I thought it would be closer to 63-64%. 67% is kind of high.It could also have a softer drop today like IM2. It generally is following IM2 more than any other movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Avengers 3rd weekend hold was rather ordinary, as opposed to extraordinary first 2 weekends. I believe the film will have a normal run from now on, meaning 40-50% drops on average every weekend. But not this weekend. And 40% drops from here on out might be "ordinary" but there is nothing ordinary about how the film has performed so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 (edited) I could see TA dropping 40% this weekend (3-day), depending on how much the 3d competition will hurt it. Or maybe it's wishful thinking? Edited May 22, 2012 by Elessar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Avengers 3rd weekend hold was rather ordinary, as opposed to extraordinary first 2 weekends. I believe the film will have a normal run from now on, meaning 40-50% drops on average every weekend. Its not dropping 40% this week. I have low thirties as the drop for 3-day weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Avengers will not drop hard this weekend, because basically it is one of the two films you can go to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 When films have a 5-10% drop on Sunday of Memorial Day weekend, a sub 40% drop is 90% locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 I could see TA dropping 40% this weekend. Or maybe it's wishful thinking? lol, It is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 When films have a 5-10% drop on Sunday of Memorial Day weekend, a sub 40% drop is 90% locked.I am expecting even better number for Sunday.TA on Sunday might drop 1-2% or maybe even stay flat. Might be wishful thinking but I think it will be closer to flat than to 10%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 lol, It is.Low thirties is a little on the optimistic side IMHO.Spiderman: -36.7%Iron Man: -35.8%Iron Man 2: -37.6%Thor: -38.3% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 (edited) Dude you have been wrong about this movie at every turn so most people aren't taking your statement seriously.55.6m =26.8m = 2D28.0m = 3D (with a 52% share)soo...26.8m -39% (MIB will steal some audience)= 16.3m28.0m -65% = 9.8mTotal: 26.1mps: MIB will steal ALL IMAX screens leftHim statement is pretty reasonable Edited May 22, 2012 by Goffe Rises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 I am expecting even better number for Sunday.TA on Sunday might drop 1-2% or maybe even stay flat. Might be wishful thinking but I think it will be closer to flat than to 10%.I don't see how that's possible. Can you find another blockbuster or any film that matter than had kind of hold in the last 10 years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 55.6m =26.8m = 2D28.0m = 3D (with a 52% share)soo...26.8m -45% (MIB will steal some audience)= 14.7m28.0m -65% = 9.8mTotal: 24.5mps: MIB will steal ALL IMAX screens leftHim statement is pretty reasonableYou think it's going to fall 55% this weekend (3 day?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 When films have a 5-10% drop on Sunday of Memorial Day weekend, a sub 40% drop is 90% locked.It should still drop over 40% imo, because Friday increase will be subdued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 It should still drop over 40% imo, because Friday increase will be subdued.Based on what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Avengers will not drop hard this weekend, because basically it is one of the two films you can go to.That's a silly thing to say. Like people who argued that Panda 2 couldn't flop because it was the only option for the families. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Based on what?Based on past performance of 3D films losing screens to new openers. Thor only increased 98% when Pirates opened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 I don't see how that's possible. Can you find another blockbuster or any film that matter than had kind of hold in the last 10 years?Make it 15 years and you have TLW (+6.7%). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 That's a silly thing to say. Like people who argued that Panda 2 couldn't flop because it was the only option for the families.Yeah that's a great argument, except the previous weeks proves you wrong. I can see TA staying at the 1-2 movie to watch for at least the next two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Can you show me other films that have dropped more than 40% on Memorial Day weekend RTX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...