Jump to content

MERRY CHRISTMAS AND HAPPY HOLIDAYS!

Neo

Captain Marvel | 8 MARCH 2019 | Brie Larson, Samuel L Jackson, Clark Gregg.

Recommended Posts

Just now, AndyK said:

You can't use presales as measure of anything. I'm sure the movie will make a killing but we have been here before with presales and you tube views.

 

The only thing that can be certain is that  all of these metrics are useless as prediction tools.

If you are still talking about Fandango numbers, then yes, those are useless as prediction tools other than to say, it's going to do well.

 

But that's not what I'm talking about.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, AndyK said:

You can't use presales as measure of anything. I'm sure the movie will make a killing but we have been here before with presales and you tube views.

 

The only thing that can be certain is that  all of these metrics are useless as prediction tools.

Still at it, didn't you learn anything from Venom?:Venom:

All those things are not "useless", there is a big difference between being "useless" and not immediately giving a very precise prediction.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 minutes ago, AndyK said:

You can't use presales as measure of anything. I'm sure the movie will make a killing but we have been here before with presales and you tube views.

 

The only thing that can be certain is that  all of these metrics are useless as prediction tools.

But literally both mean A LOT. It has been proven time a time again. 

-

LOL at people trying to use Solo as a comparison, everyone knows that SW presales are a completely different and people here were very worried about how low they were for a SW movie. If you try to extrapolate SW presales to an average movie, even TFA looks like an underperformer.

 

Are people being dense on purpose with this movie?

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

This is a good sign for Disney, which owns Marvel Studios, as "Infinity War" and "Black Panther" collectively brought in more than $1.38 billion at the U.S. box office alone in 2018. Globally, the two films grossed more than $2.2 billion.

 

:thinking:

Edited by TalismanRing
  • Haha 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, AndyK said:

You can't use presales as measure of anything. I'm sure the movie will make a killing but we have been here before with presales and you tube views.

 

The only thing that can be certain is that  all of these metrics are useless as prediction tools.

Take a step back and understand that this data is the most accurate we have (from Deep Wang) so good he had to go into hiding a couple years ago as people kept sharing the accurate information off this site. Remove any blinders you have on and be objective since we arent discussing Fandango here but cold hard cash. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Also those "metrics" have been increadingly useful, even with the occasional hiccup (The Mummy anyone?? Lol). 

 

Views, presales, etc are good barometers outside of the SW franchise (which has its own skew). 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The hiccup with the Mummy and trailer views was because that one trailer with the messed up sound went viral, if I remember right.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

I was hoping tracking would be out today but Box Office Pro still hasn't posted their update for the week.

Are we going to get any tracking this month??? Seems pretty early. BOP might release a forecast soon but that isn’t actually tracking.

Edited by Thanos Legion

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Are we going to get any tracking this month??? Seems pretty early. BOP might release a forecast soon but that isn’t actually tracking.

Well it's their tracking. 

 

Official tracking the trades announce though starts 3 weeks out.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

To be fair, they also said MPR would make $350 million domestic and Aquaman would make under $200 million.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, jedijake said:

To be fair, they also said MPR would make $350 million domestic and Aquaman would make under $200 million.

They do not say it wil be so, its what the usual calculation models per tracking / time tell wat it could be.

If a movie does not fulfill the typical for e.g. genre, franchise,... marks, it will end lower or higher (also see all the other points already mentioned in the thread), hence why it is called 'longe-range-tracking'

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 minutes ago, jedijake said:

To be fair, they also said MPR would make $350 million domestic and Aquaman would make under $200 million.

You can't really pay attention to the final numbers. The OW numbers though while not always accurate are usually somewhere in the ballpark. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It’s been eight months since this report last covered a Marvel Cinematic Universe title, but 2019 promises to be another massive year for the Disney franchise with three more highly anticipated chapters. The first will open March 8.

Captain Marvel
Opening Weekend Range: $140 – $180 million

PROS:

  • Reaching the opening weekend level of past March blockbusters like The Hunger Games($152.5 million), Batman v Superman ($166 million), and Beauty and the Beast ($174.8 million) is in play based on current tracking metrics.
  • Audiences have demanded a female-driven film from the MCU since its inception eleven years ago. Delivering on that promise with the franchise’s most powerful superhero yet has only strengthened interest, and the major success of DC’s Wonder Woman underlines the potential of a strong female character in the lucrative Marvel universe.
  • Casting Oscar-winner Brie Larson alongside the return of series veterans Samuel L. Jackson and Clark Gregg further deepens the connection to past and future Marvel films.
  • On top of representing the first female-led film in the series, the character’s tease at the end of Avengers: Infinity War — as well as the likelihood of connecting the dots between that film and May’s forthcoming Avengers: Endgame — may serve to give this origin story a higher “must see” factor (ala Black Panther) than most origin films.
  • Following advance ticket sales starting earlier this week, Fandango reported it has become the third best pre-seller in MCU history after Infinity War and Black Panther.
  • Early trailer reactions have been very positive, which is par for the Marvel course these days. Two months from release, 89 percent of surveyed audiences in our Trailer Impact report said they are “definitely interested” or “interested” — only 5 percent less than Endgame‘s interest score.
  • Taking place in the 1990s, the nostalgia card could be effectively played with older millennial and Gen-X moviegoers. With strong appeal to women of all ages, four-quadrant potential is notably high.

CONS:

  • In the world of Disney’s MCU, there’s every expectation that the film will be a success even if it performs at the most conservative end of expectations. That being said, reviews and word of mouth — as with any film — will be very important toward opening weekend and long-run potential. For perspective, prior to Black Panther‘s historic $202 million opening, no origin film in the MCU had topped $100 million in its first three days.
  • With films like Dumbo and Shazam! opening late March/early April, plus a seven-week window before Endgame, the film’s opening-to-total multiple could be a little softer than Panther‘s (which opened more than two months ahead of Infinity War last year).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.



×

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.