Official France Box Office Thread

[Linkinitouille]

I will also add some numbers from new releases:

 

LE DERNIER VOYAGE: 56,887 (184)
SLALOM: 40,861 (237)
STARDOG AND TURBOCAT: 38,401 (301)

L'ÉTREINTE: 30,512 (154)
FAUSTINA, LOVE AND MERCY: 13,763 (203)
VIOLET EVERGARDEN THE MOVIE: 6,571 (40)

[LPLC]

On 5/26/2021 at 1:58 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

I was thinking

59
24
27
83
80 // 273

57

15 // 345

13

9

13

35

30 // 445

 

being bit conservative put 425K there, rounding down to nearest 25. I am thinking 64% weekend drop and 67% week drop, unless there is some holiday next week.

Yesterday, Demon Slayer did not add 13k admissions but more than 30k, It was 1st yesterday.

[charlie Jatinder]

Excellent. So ~400K by Thursday. FSS can be 125K (-35%) may be 😛

 

Shame we will never get the actual gross. Mojo will most likely use ATP.

Edited May 27, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[LPLC]

Forecasts for the week of cine-directors :

 

BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 26 mai au 1er juin 2021)
Rang	Titre	Entrées	Variation hebdo	Cumul (Millions)	Budget	Nbre de salles
1	Adieu les cons	385 000	- 25 %	1,618	10,3 M€	854
2	Demon slayer	230 000	- 35 %	0,580	13 M€	438
3	The father	200 000	New	0,200	6 M€	407
4	Tom et Jerry	150 000	- 40 %	0,400	50 M$	502
5	Les Bouchetrous	125 000	New	0,125	- M$	463
6	Envole-moi	85 000	- 45 %	0,243	7,2 M€	589
7	ADN	85 000	- 25 %	0,261	1,2 M€	548
8	Drunk	70 000	- 35 %	0,398	- M€	834
9	Mandibules	50 000	- 40 %	0,205	4,5 M€	382
10	30 jours max	70 000	- 25 %	1,311	13 M€	471
-	Méandre	45 000	New	0,045	2,6 M€	230
-	Promising young womn	45 000	New	0,045	- M$	225
-	100% loup	40 000	- 35 %	0,164	- M$	475
-	Falling	40 000	- 35 %	0,098	- M$	378
-	Sons of Philadelphia	20 000	New	0,020	- M$	143
-	Detective Conan : The scarlet bullet	15 000	New	0,015	- M$	152
-	Balloon	13 000	New	0,013	- M$	117
-	Hospitalité	10 000	New	0,010	- M$	40

 

[PKMLover]

8 hours ago, LPLC said:

Forecasts for the week of cine-directors :

 

BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 26 mai au 1er juin 2021)
Rang	Titre	Entrées	Variation hebdo	Cumul (Millions)	Budget	Nbre de salles
1	Adieu les cons	385 000	- 25 %	1,618	10,3 M€	854
2	Demon slayer	230 000	- 35 %	0,580	13 M€	438
3	The father	200 000	New	0,200	6 M€	407
4	Tom et Jerry	150 000	- 40 %	0,400	50 M$	502
5	Les Bouchetrous	125 000	New	0,125	- M$	463
6	Envole-moi	85 000	- 45 %	0,243	7,2 M€	589
7	ADN	85 000	- 25 %	0,261	1,2 M€	548
8	Drunk	70 000	- 35 %	0,398	- M€	834
9	Mandibules	50 000	- 40 %	0,205	4,5 M€	382
10	30 jours max	70 000	- 25 %	1,311	13 M€	471
-	Méandre	45 000	New	0,045	2,6 M€	230
-	Promising young womn	45 000	New	0,045	- M$	225
-	100% loup	40 000	- 35 %	0,164	- M$	475
-	Falling	40 000	- 35 %	0,098	- M$	378
-	Sons of Philadelphia	20 000	New	0,020	- M$	143
-	Detective Conan : The scarlet bullet	15 000	New	0,015	- M$	152
-	Balloon	13 000	New	0,013	- M$	117
-	Hospitalité	10 000	New	0,010	- M$	40

 

35% weekly drop? Wow

[LPLC]

Yes but we could witness a larger drop because last Monday was a holiday which inflated the numbers. The result of the week could be closer to 50% drop and less than 200k admissions. Let's set 200k admissions for the week.

 

Moreover, the income of BOM for the weekend appeared :

 

Demon Slayer: 273,113 admissions / $2,259,715M

 

ATP : $8.27

 

If Demon Slayer's final box office is around 700k-900k admissions, then a final box office around $5.8M- $7.4M can be expected.

[PKMLover]

12 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Yes but we could witness a larger drop because last Monday was a holiday which inflated the numbers. The result of the week could be closer to 50% drop and less than 200k admissions. Let's set 200k admissions for the week.

 

Moreover, the income of BOM for the weekend appeared :

 

Demon Slayer: 273,113 admissions / $2,259,715M

 

ATP : $8.27

 

If Demon Slayer's final box office is around 700k-900k admissions, then a final box office around $5.8M- $7.4M can be expected.

The ATP is quite low.... sad....I thought it was more than $9

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, LPLC said:

Moreover, the income of BOM for the weekend appeared :

 

Demon Slayer: 273,113 admissions / $2,259,715M

 

ATP : $8.27

That's not actual gross. Mojo is just using €7 ATP for everything. 

[LPLC]

Will we one day know the actual gross of DS ?

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Will we one day know the actual gross of DS ?

nope. never. 

[Linkinitouille]

France - New Releases' Opening Day - May 26, 2021

 

Rank	Titre	Distributor	Admissions (prev.)	Theaters	Showings	Avg/Showing	Avg/Theater
1	THE FATHER	ORANGE STUDIOS	26 471	407	1 260	21	65
2	EXTINCT	SND	24 270	463	1 144	21	52
3	MEANDER	ALBA	7 116 (+399)	230	679	10	31
4	PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN	UNIVERSAL	7 094	225	666	11	32
5	DETECTIVE CONAN THE MOVIE	EUROZOOM	2 681 (+109)	152	363	7	18
6	SONS OF PHILADELPHIA	THE JOKERS	2 630	143	463	6	18
7	SHOULD THE WIND DROP	ARIZONA	1 506	96	125	12	16
8	BALLOON	CONDOR	1 427 (+1 574)	117	199	7	45
9	HOSPITALITY	ART HOUSE	1 270 (+90)	40	80	17	32
10	VERS LA BATAILLE	REZO	289 (+427)	19	35	8	15

[PKMLover]

4 hours ago, LPLC said:

Will we one day know the actual gross of DS ?

Let use $9 ATP

[Linkinitouille]

Demon Slayer 1st on Saturday. Family movies making their usual comeback during weekends.

 

There's a slight but low chance that Demon Slayer could be #1 this week (it will depend of its performance on the next three days). It would be the first time for a Japanese movie since Howl's Moving Castle back in January 2005... But honestly I think Adieu les cons will stay #1 by a small margin as it will perform better on Mon/Thu.

 

However there's a clear, summer weather in France this week until next Wednesday. Pretty much every movie will drop hard (-50% to -60%). But the following week will see the comeback of rain and thunder.

[PKMLover]

25 minutes ago, Linkinitouille said:

Demon Slayer 1st on Saturday. Family movies making their usual comeback during weekends.

 

There's a slight but low chance that Demon Slayer could be #1 this week (it will depend of its performance on the next three days). It would be the first time for a Japanese movie since Howl's Moving Castle back in January 2005... But honestly I think Adieu les cons will stay #1 by a small margin as it will perform better on Mon/Thu.

 

However there's a clear, summer weather in France this week until next Wednesday. Pretty much every movie will drop hard (-50% to -60%). But the following week will see the comeback of rain and thunder.

 

Didn't expect movie with small target audience could comeback no.1 on the 2nd sat.

"However there's a clear, summer weather in France this week until next Wednesday. Pretty much every movie will drop hard (-50% to -60%). But the following week will see the comeback of rain and thunder."

 You mean this week until next wednesday, all movie will drop hard? Until the week after that? 

How long can DS movie stay in the cinema you think? 

[LPLC]

 

[Linkinitouille]

11 hours ago, PKMLover said:

 

Didn't expect movie with small target audience could comeback no.1 on the 2nd sat.

"However there's a clear, summer weather in France this week until next Wednesday. Pretty much every movie will drop hard (-50% to -60%). But the following week will see the comeback of rain and thunder."

 You mean this week until next wednesday, all movie will drop hard? Until the week after that? 

How long can DS movie stay in the cinema you think? 

Most movies will drop -50/-60% this week compared to the previous one and new releases won't start high. However as the weather will worsen next Wednesday, those will maintain pretty well next week.

 

DS will definitely stay in theaters as long as it is in the top 10. Also the offering for teens will be pretty low until at least mid-June. 1M admissions is definitely on the table - didn't happen for a japanese movie in 10+ years.

Edited May 31, 2021 by Linkinitouille

[PKMLover]

5 hours ago, Linkinitouille said:

Most movies will drop -50/-60% this week compared to the previous one and new releases won't start high. However as the weather will worsen next Wednesday, those will maintain pretty well next week.

 

DS will definitely stay in theaters as long as it is in the top 10. Also the offering for teens will be pretty low until at least mid-June. 1M admissions is definitely on the table - didn't happen for a japanese movie in 10+ years.

[charlie Jatinder]

145-150K 2nd weekend for DS. 495-500K total. Gross I think $1.35M 2nd weekend and $4.55M total.

[LPLC]

56% drop this weekend

[Linkinitouille]

Top 20 France Weekend - May 26-30

Market total: 980 849 admissions

1. ADIEU LES CONS : 161 807 admissions (854 copies) -55% - total 1 394 779
2. DEMON SLAYER MUGEN TRAIN : 143 811 admissions (485 copies) -56% - total 490 217
3. THE FATHER : 119 182 admissions (407 copies) NEW
4. TOM AND JERRY : 83 488 admissions (500 copies) -50% - total 333 108
5. EXTINCT : 69 758 admissions (463 copies) NEW
6. ENVOLE-MOI : 42 729 admissions (673 copies) -57% - total 201 224
7. MANDIBULES : 40 203 admissions (482 copies) -58% - total 170 708
8. ADN : 36 021 admissions (697 copies) -55% - total 212 456
9. PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN : 35 762 admissions (225 copies) NEW
10. ANOTHER ROUND : 33 300 admissions (685 copies) -54% - total 361 001
11. MEANDER : 30 142 admissions (230 copies) NEW
12. 30 JOURS MAX : 27 481 admissions (353 copies) -59% - total 1 268 499
13. LE DERNIER VOYAGE : 15 429 admissions (194 copies) -63% - total 72 316
14. 100% WOLF : 13 988 admissions (515 copies) -65% - total 138 022
15. FALLING : 13 482 admissions (431 copies) -66% - total 71 054
16. SONS OF PHILADELPHIA : 12 273 admissions (143 copies) NEW
17. SLALOM : 11 961 admissions (340 copies) -59% - total 52 878
18. DETECTIVE CONAN THE SCARLET BULLET : 11 477 admissions (152 copies) NEW
19. BALLOON : 10 210 admissions (117 copies) NEW
20. STARDOG AND TURBOCAT : 7 789 admissions (301 copies) -69% - total 46 190

Edited May 31, 2021 by Linkinitouille