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Official France Box Office Thread

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14 minutes ago, LPLC said:

You think of a worse start than Conjuring 3 (665k OW admissions) ? It is possible but it would be a little weak. I'm hoping for something around 700k-800k admissions OW for BW. It's the holidays from today, let's hope for big numbers even if the very sunny weather can hit the box office a bit.

Yeah completely skipped my mind but Paris numbers are bit low.

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Black Widow 46,997 Day 1 Paris.

 

Conjuring 3 - 32,987 (126,632 France) - 26%

Peter Rabbit - 17,819 (90,432) - 20%

Cruella - 8,282 (43,537) - 19%

 

Far From Home - 110,497 (453,503) - 24%

Captain Marvel - 66,529 (212,199) - 31%

TROS - 87,619 (391,283) - 22%

 

Assuming 26% gives 180K OD. 20% will be 235K. Hopefully 200+
 

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FRANCE OD :

 

Spider-Man 3 : 804 354
Avengers – Endgame : 692 142
Spider-Man 2 : 502 494
Spider-Man : 480 288
Spider-Man – Far From Home : 453 503
The Dark Knight Rises : 423 970
Avengers – Infinity War : 405 058
Avengers – L’Ère d’Ultron : 333 303
X-Men – L’affrontement final : 331 000
Iron Man 3 : 318 216
X-Men 2 : 310 592
Suicide Squad : 307 062
Avengers : 302 730
Joker – 291 152
Captain America – Civil War : 288 662
Deadpool : 285 711
The Dark Knight : 253 858
The Amazing Spider-Man : 251 226
X-Men – Days of Future Past : 248 522
Wolverine – Le Combat de l’immortel : 236 127
Spider-Man – Homecoming : 233 579
Les Gardiens de la Galaxie Vol. 2 : 232 682
Les Gardiens de la Galaxie : 231 384
The Amazing Spider-Man – Le Destin d’un Héros : 225 381
Thor – Ragnarok : 223 148
Deadpool 2 : 216 242
Man of Steel : 215 242
Captain Marvel : 212 199
Les 4 Fantastiques (2005) : 210 404
Les 4 Fantastiques et le Surfeur d’Argent : 208 717
Thor – Le Monde des Ténèbres : 204 882
Iron Man 2 : 204 491
Doctor Strange : 197 428
Batman v Superman – L’aube de la justice : 196 016
X-Men : 195 792
Venom : 190 054
Iron Man : 186 781

 

BLACK WIDOW : 184 770

 

Les 4 Fantastiques (2015) : 184 633
Hulk : 183 558
Black Panther : 178 202
X-Men Origins – Wolverine : 177 184
Logan : 172 409
X-Men – Apocalypse : 163 303
Ant-Man et la Guêpe : 158 825
Wonder Woman : 157 337
X-Men – Le Commencement : 150 541
Aquaman : 150 003
Thor : 149 381
Superman Returns : 146 007
Justice League : 130 050
Les Nouveaux Héros : 124 979
L’Incroyable Hulk : 116 770
Batman Begins : 111 820
Captain America – Le Soldat de l’Hiver : 110 798
Constantine : 104 702
Ant-Man : 102 010
Daredevil : 93 385
X-Men – Dark Phoenix : 87 991
Blade II : 87 208
Green Lantern : 86 918
Ghost Rider : 86 356
Captain America – First Avenger : 82 657
LEGO Batman – Le film : 74 867
Shazam : 70 998
Watchmen – Les Gardiens : 68 152
Blade – Trinity : 63 244
Catwoman : 57 217
Birds of Prey : 55 035
Spider-Man – New Generation : 47 597
Ghost Rider – L’esprit de vengeance : 40 674
Elektra : 39 833
Les Nouveaux Mutants : 26 279
The Punisher (2004) : 16 330

 

http://lestoilesheroiques.fr/2021/07/black-widow-box-office-france-usa-monde.html

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That's good, the goal will be the million admissions in the first week for BW. It is difficult but not impossible. As a reminder, the last film to have achieved 1M admissions in the first week is SW9 in December 2019.

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Wow really ? I hadn't seen that, it's really huge. I knew there was a big expectation for this movie, but not at this point. With such pre-sale figures, we can expect some really huge figures in less than 2 weeks. Perhaps the first French film to reach 2 million admissions in the first week since January 2019 and the first film to exceed 5 million admissions post-covid ?

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2 hours ago, Barnack said:

I would imagine that Kaamelott could be extremely fan driven too, 

Yes, but it remains very popular throughout France.

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BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 7 au 13 juillet 2021) 

Rang

Titre

Entrées
Variation hebdo
Cumul (Millions)
Budget
Nbre de salles
1
Black widow

1 100 000

New
1,100

- M€

678
2

450 000

New
0,450

- M$

693
3

340 000

- 40 %
1,290

- M$

598
4

265 000

- 45 %
0,747

- M$

612
5

180 000

- 50 %
1,896

- M$

517
6
Le sens de la famille

155 000

- 45 %
0,439

10 M€

510
7
Présidents

135 000

- 45 %
0,384

4,5 M€

446
8
Annette

130 000

New
0,130

18,6 M€

242
9
Hitman & Bodyguard 2

100 000

- 55 %
0,315

- M$

437
10

100 000

- 50 %
0,572

61 M$

529
-
Opération Portugal

100 000

- 50 %
0,446

1,2 M€

353
-
The deep house

85 000

- 45 %
0,235

5,8 M€

199
-

70 000

- 50 %
0,468

- M$

418
-
La chapelle du Diable

35 000

New
0,035

- M$

116

 

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Black Widow's figures in Paris for Friday are a little lower than expected (even lower than Thursday), it is probably due to the wonderful weather yesterday in the capital. Based on the Paris figures I think BW is around 420k admissions in 3 days. If BW follows the Marvel movie trend, its first weekend will be around 700k-750k admissions ($6,4M-$6,9M).

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16 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Black Widow's figures in Paris for Friday are a little lower than expected (even lower than Thursday), it is probably due to the wonderful weather yesterday in the capital. Based on the Paris figures I think BW is around 420k admissions in 3 days. If BW follows the Marvel movie trend, its first weekend will be around 700k-750k admissions ($6,4M-$6,9M).

Acceptable because Thursday was way stronger than expected. I was ready for 55% drop on THU and then 15-20% increase on FRI.

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Not an incredible Saturday for BW according to the Paris figures but an ok and sufficient figure to reach 750k admissions in the first weekend.

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9 hours ago, LPLC said:

Not an incredible Saturday for BW according to the Paris figures but an ok and sufficient figure to reach 750k admissions in the first weekend.

Oh it seems fantastic. +49% is great for an MCU film I guess. FFH was only +35%.

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7 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Oh it seems fantastic. +49% is great for an MCU film I guess. FFH was only +35%.

The increase was big because Friday was a little lower than expected. Usually Saturday is stronger than OD for MCU movies (except maybe for SM: FFM and 2-3 others), but not this time Saturday is a bit lower. In the end, it's not a big deal, it's still a good Saturday and the weather forecast was very good that day, which may explain things.

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Entrées réalisées du 7 au 11 juillet 2021 :

Rang Titre Distributeur Entrées Séances Moyenne Cumul Semaine
1 BLACK WIDOW DISNEY 702 553 13 464 52 702 553 1
2 LES CROODS 2 UNIVERSAL 344 597 10 996 31 344 597 1
3 CRUELLA DISNEY 151 826 8 569 18 1 101 360 3
4 PIERRE LAPIN 2 SONY 136 402 8 251 17 618 751 2
5 CONJURING 3 WARNER 81 289 4 756 17 1 797 064 5
6 LE SENS DE LA FAMILLE GAUMONT 76 824 7 175 11 360 385 2
7 ANNETTE UGC 73 410 3 856 19 98 939 1
8 BENEDETTA PATHE 67 643 2 905 23 67 643 1
9 PRÉSIDENTS UNIVERSAL 67 639 6 517 10 316 984 2
10 OPÉRATION PORTUGAL SONY 47 010 3 848 12 392 573 3
11 SANS UN BRUIT 2 PARAMOUNT 38 297 3 150 12 610 230 4
12 NOMADLAND DISNEY 37 314 2 295 16 479 497 5
13 HITMAN & BODYGUARD 2 METROPOLITAN 33 074 4 393 8 247 862 2
14 LA CHAPELLE DU DIABLE SONY 31 677 2 263 14 31 677 1
15 LA FINE FLEUR DIAPHANA 28 763 3 296 9 145 151 2

 

I expected a little more in view of the revenues announced by Disney in France, but it's good it does not matter 700k admissions crossed in the first weekend and BW already achieves the best start of 2021 ahead of Conjuring 3 (665k admissions) and the 2nd best postcovid start behind Tenet in August 2020 (809k admissions). In the end it should reach something around 1.5M-2M admissions like Ant man 2 which had started a little higher and which had finished at 1.85M admissions

 

here are the new forecasts of the week from Cine-directors

 

 

BOX-OFFICE France (du 7 au 13 juillet 2021) (Prévisions)
Rang

TITRE

Entrées
Variation hebdo
Cumul (Millions)
Budget
Nbre de copies
Moy / Copie
1
Black widow

870 000

New
0,870

- M€

607
1 433
2

440 000

New
0,440

- M$

693
635
3

195 000

- 66 %
1,145

- M$

598
318
4

170 000

- 65 %
0,652

- M$

612
270
5

105 000

- 71 %
1,821

- M$

517
193
6
Le sens de la famille

100 000

- 65 %
0,384

10 M€

510
196
7
Benedetta

95 000

New
0,095

19,8 M€

362
262
8
Annette

95 000

New
0,121

18,6 M€

242
393
9
Présidents

90 000

- 64 %
0,339

4,5 M€

446
202
10
Opération Portugal

60 000

- 70 %
0,406

1,2 M€

353
170
11

50 000

- 75 %
0,522

61 M$

529
95
12

50 000

- 57 %
0,492

- M$

419
119
13
Hitman & Bodyguard 2

40 000

- 81 %
0,255

- M$

437
92
14
La chapelle du Diable

40 000

New
0,040

- M$

116
345
15
La fine fleur

40 000

- 66 %
0,156

6 M€

330
121
16

(40 000)

- 72 %
0,438

- M$

418
96
17
The deep house

35 000

- 77 %
0,185

5,8 M€

199
755
18

- 000

+ 12 %
0,219

- M$

322
360
19
Un tour chez ma fille

- 000

- 9 %
0,354

9,7 M€

752
132
20
Les 2 Alfred

- 000

- 11 %
0,311

3,9 M€

514
176
-
Les Bouchetrous

- 000

+ 22 %
0,384

- M$

465
164
-

- 000

+ 35 %
1,888

10,3 M€

417
180
-
Le discours

- 000

- 33 %
0,321

5,6 M€

630
67
-

- 000

+ 18 %
0,580

50 M$

310
135
-

- 000

- 13 %
0,551

6 M€

296
131

 

 

Finally, I have to share some very bad news. President Macron announced in a speech this evening that to go to the cinema and other public places it will now be necessary to have a vaccination passport, that is to say that it will be necessary to be fully vaccinated to go to the cinema. In France, only 35% of the population is fully vaccinated which means that there will be a lot less admissions and income to the cinema in France, but when I say a lot less, I'm not kidding, it will be awful and there will be considerable drops in attendance. BW and others films will have shitty legs and the big French movie Kaamelott which was due out on July 21 and which could easily have achieved 2 million admissions in OW and 5 million admissions in the end may not even make 1/3 of that. I am very disappointed and saddened by these new measures.

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1 hour ago, LPLC said:

Entrées réalisées du 7 au 11 juillet 2021 :

Rang Titre Distributeur Entrées Séances Moyenne Cumul Semaine
1 BLACK WIDOW DISNEY 702 553 13 464 52 702 553 1
2 LES CROODS 2 UNIVERSAL 344 597 10 996 31 344 597 1
3 CRUELLA DISNEY 151 826 8 569 18 1 101 360 3
4 PIERRE LAPIN 2 SONY 136 402 8 251 17 618 751 2
5 CONJURING 3 WARNER 81 289 4 756 17 1 797 064 5
6 LE SENS DE LA FAMILLE GAUMONT 76 824 7 175 11 360 385 2
7 ANNETTE UGC 73 410 3 856 19 98 939 1
8 BENEDETTA PATHE 67 643 2 905 23 67 643 1
9 PRÉSIDENTS UNIVERSAL 67 639 6 517 10 316 984 2
10 OPÉRATION PORTUGAL SONY 47 010 3 848 12 392 573 3
11 SANS UN BRUIT 2 PARAMOUNT 38 297 3 150 12 610 230 4
12 NOMADLAND DISNEY 37 314 2 295 16 479 497 5
13 HITMAN & BODYGUARD 2 METROPOLITAN 33 074 4 393 8 247 862 2
14 LA CHAPELLE DU DIABLE SONY 31 677 2 263 14 31 677 1
15 LA FINE FLEUR DIAPHANA 28 763 3 296 9 145 151 2

 

I expected a little more in view of the revenues announced by Disney in France, but it's good it does not matter 700k admissions crossed in the first weekend and BW already achieves the best start of 2021 ahead of Conjuring 3 (665k admissions) and the 2nd best postcovid start behind Tenet in August 2020 (809k admissions). In the end it should reach something around 1.5M-2M admissions like Ant man 2 which had started a little higher and which had finished at 1.85M admissions

 

here are the new forecasts of the week from Cine-directors

 

 

BOX-OFFICE France (du 7 au 13 juillet 2021) (Prévisions)
Rang

TITRE

Entrées
Variation hebdo
Cumul (Millions)
Budget
Nbre de copies
Moy / Copie
1
Black widow

870 000

New
0,870

- M€

607
1 433
2

440 000

New
0,440

- M$

693
635
3

195 000

- 66 %
1,145

- M$

598
318
4

170 000

- 65 %
0,652

- M$

612
270
5

105 000

- 71 %
1,821

- M$

517
193
6
Le sens de la famille

100 000

- 65 %
0,384

10 M€

510
196
7
Benedetta

95 000

New
0,095

19,8 M€

362
262
8
Annette

95 000

New
0,121

18,6 M€

242
393
9
Présidents

90 000

- 64 %
0,339

4,5 M€

446
202
10
Opération Portugal

60 000

- 70 %
0,406

1,2 M€

353
170
11

50 000

- 75 %
0,522

61 M$

529
95
12

50 000

- 57 %
0,492

- M$

419
119
13
Hitman & Bodyguard 2

40 000

- 81 %
0,255

- M$

437
92
14
La chapelle du Diable

40 000

New
0,040

- M$

116
345
15
La fine fleur

40 000

- 66 %
0,156

6 M€

330
121
16

(40 000)

- 72 %
0,438

- M$

418
96
17
The deep house

35 000

- 77 %
0,185

5,8 M€

199
755
18

- 000

+ 12 %
0,219

- M$

322
360
19
Un tour chez ma fille

- 000

- 9 %
0,354

9,7 M€

752
132
20
Les 2 Alfred

- 000

- 11 %
0,311

3,9 M€

514
176
-
Les Bouchetrous

- 000

+ 22 %
0,384

- M$

465
164
-

- 000

+ 35 %
1,888

10,3 M€

417
180
-
Le discours

- 000

- 33 %
0,321

5,6 M€

630
67
-

- 000

+ 18 %
0,580

50 M$

310
135
-

- 000

- 13 %
0,551

6 M€

296
131

 

 

Finally, I have to share some very bad news. President Macron announced in a speech this evening that to go to the cinema and other public places it will now be necessary to have a vaccination passport, that is to say that it will be necessary to be fully vaccinated to go to the cinema. In France, only 35% of the population is fully vaccinated which means that there will be a lot less admissions and income to the cinema in France, but when I say a lot less, I'm not kidding, it will be awful and there will be considerable drops in attendance. BW and others films will have shitty legs and the big French movie Kaamelott which was due out on July 21 and which could easily have achieved 2 million admissions in OW and 5 million admissions in the end may not even make 1/3 of that. I am very disappointed and saddened by these new measures.

 

These measures are there to prevent a complete shutdown of theaters down the road, it's a good thing on the long run.

Besides, as the number of vaccinated will grow fast, the number of potential viewers will increase too.

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