ZeeSoh Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 3 minutes ago, pepsa said: Let's say it makes 7*OD on it's OW (135k) that would be 171k * 7 = $1.2m and a drop of 70%. TLJ had an OD to OW multi of 5.56x and an OD to total multi of 8.35x. If solo has the same multi it will have OW - 104.5k Total - 157k ( drop of 86.3% from TLJ) Thats a gross of about 1.5m whereas Rogue One did about 7.5m These would be mind boggingly horrendous numbers for Solo if it happens. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 20 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: R1 OD - 145k SW8 OD- 115k Solo OD - 18.8k Solo OD is down 87% from Rogue One and 84% from SW8!!! Holy crap that is bad Dafuq is that drop? We all knew it would do bad, but this bad??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 1 minute ago, ZeeSoh said: TLJ had an OD to OW multi of 5.56x and an OD to total multi of 8.35x. If solo has the same multi it will have OW - 104.5k Total - 157k ( drop of 86.3% from TLJ) Thats a gross of about 1.5m whereas Rogue One did about 7.5m These would be mind boggingly horrendous numbers for Solo if it happens. Yes that would be extremely bad. I knew this wasn't a called for movie but this is almost Alice in Wonderland 2 bombing. I never thought this would happen to SW. And yeah I know Asia isn't for SW and I saw the China drop comming but $1.5m - $2.5m is SK is extremely bad. And that 67% drop in France... I hope EP9 can rebound in some markets and alteast go over TLJ. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 well done! south korean!!! 1 1 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 1 hour ago, titanic2187 said: well done! south korean!!! What are you even hoping for here? Solo under 1/3Titanic? That’s pretty locked anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 11 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: What are you even hoping for here? Solo under 1/3Titanic? That’s pretty locked anyway. A quarter of Titanic is not out of the question though... Or a sixth of Avatar... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Ironically, online reaction to Solo has been pretty positive and it's the highest rated SW film to date from TFA onwards. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, Fish&chips said: Ironically, online reaction to Solo has been pretty positive and it's the highest rated SW film to date from TFA onwards. The reaction is coming from the people who went to see it, which is less than 20% of the people who went to see any of the other movies. There is a selection bias there for sure, they probably really liked it but were also fans since they were in the small number who actually went on OD. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 2 hours ago, grim22 said: The reaction is coming from the people who went to see it, which is less than 20% of the people who went to see any of the other movies. There is a selection bias there for sure, they probably really liked it but were also fans since they were in the small number who actually went on OD. Well yeah, but fans can still dislike a movie like they did with TLJ. Just pointing out that despite the dire box office performance, it doesn't seem to be received too badly. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrylos 7 Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 10 minutes ago, Fish&chips said: Well yeah, but fans can still dislike a movie like they did with TLJ. Just pointing out that despite the dire box office performance, it doesn't seem to be received too badly. It’s an inoffensive little space adventure set in the Star Wars universe, the diehards will like it , there’s nothing to dislike for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 as of 1am yesterday (well this morning) My local cinema had 21 showings of believer 19 showings of Deadpool 7 showings of Truth or Dare 6 Showings of Solo 4 Showings of Avengers As for tickets out of 1362 possible tickets Solo can sell, it had sold 33. Just checking it now (its 2pm and there are 4 showings left in the day 3pm, 5:45, 8:30 and 11:15), out of 908 remaining tickets, 42 are sold). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 I'm more fascinated at the high level of interest in a box office bomb Myself, I've gone and booked tickets for Jurassic World I'm praying they will add IMAX showings in 2D but only 3D IMAX so far... ticket price is a bloody disgrace. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 5 hours ago, Fish&chips said: I'm more fascinated at the high level of interest in a box office bomb I think there is genuine shock at the magnitude. Even considering this is an uninterested market. 18k opening day is less than a third of Fantastic 4's opening Day. I don't know if the stats are easy to get, but it may end up one of the worst gross/screen performances ever in this country. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 6 hours ago, Fish&chips said: I'm more fascinated at the high level of interest in a box office bomb Myself, I've gone and booked tickets for Jurassic World I'm praying they will add IMAX showings in 2D but only 3D IMAX so far... ticket price is a bloody disgrace. What can we expect on the low and high end for Fallen Kingdom in SK ? JW did 42,8M US-dollar, is that a realistic goal? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, Brainbug said: What can we expect on the low and high end for Fallen Kingdom in SK ? JW did 42,8M US-dollar, is that a realistic goal? Some points of analysis: -Jurassic World's run was a decent opening followed by good holds up to week 3 -Competition for Fallen Kingdom seems about the same level as for Jurassic World -Because FK is opening on Memorial day holiday (JW wasn't) its opening will most likely be significantly bigger -The week after (6/13) is another holiday so it should get a nice boost on week 2 too. -Despite Jurassic World's decent Box office performance, ratings were just "okay" with a naver score of 7.88/10.0. Koreans, like anyone, respond to quality so there's room for improvement there. -Fallen Kingdom is showing healthy early presales -Increased profile of Star Lord in SK is a positive for FK All in all, I hate giving range predictions, but Fallen Kingdom has a great platform to show a decent increase from JW as long as the quality of the movie delivers and drives WoM. I can't see any lower than JW's performance unless the film's quality is terrible or something. Upper range...who knows Edited May 25, 2018 by Fish&chips 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 2nd day numbers and fall for TLJ and RO before Solo’s numbers come in TLJ - 107,451 (-6.76%)(1093 screens -14) RO - 99,032 (-31.75%)(880 screens - 27) Rogue Ones second day was a Thursday and it increased from Thursday on Friday so we cant compare Solo to it. TLJ will be a better comparision as it also opened on Thursday like solo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 (edited) 36 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: 2nd day numbers and fall for TLJ and RO before Solo’s numbers come in TLJ - 107,451 (-6.76%)(1093 screens -14) RO - 99,032 (-31.75%)(880 screens - 27) Rogue Ones second day was a Thursday and it increased from Thursday on Friday so we cant compare Solo to it. TLJ will be a better comparision as it also opened on Thursday like solo Friday Solo - 19,458 (+1.48%) (553 screens +7) (estimated) Small increase for Solo. But still down -82% from TLJ 2nd day Edited May 25, 2018 by ZeeSoh 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Friday Solo - 19,458 (+1.48%) (553 screens +7) Small increase for Solo. But still down -82% from TLJ 2nd day Expected a bigger increase tbh due to OD being that low. These are hilaribad numbers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 (edited) South Korea Friday Box Office (5/25) Admissions Total Gross Daily% weekly% screens Title 1 213,924 917,299 $1.74M +34.9% -- [1185] Believer 2 92,808 2,832,609 $803K +23.0% -71.3% [927] Deadpool 2 3 22,022 109,354 $179K +47.6% -- [495] Truth or Dare 4 19,954 40,202 $181K +4.1% -- [554] Solo: A star wars story 5 18,801 10,924,106 $160K +31.1% -68.3% [510] Avengers: Infinity War Cumulative gross [Avengers: Infinity War]: $91.56M [Deadpool 2]: $23.36M Current presales (Midnight) 01. 107,980 (38.4%) Believer 02. 60,840 (21.6%) Deadpool 2 03. 24,663 (8.8%) Solo: a star wars story 04. 19,430 (6.9%) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 05. 14,726 (5.2%) Avengers: Infinity War Edited May 25, 2018 by Fish&chips 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 25, 2018 Share Posted May 25, 2018 1 minute ago, grim22 said: Expected a bigger increase tbh due to OD being that low. These are hilaribad numbers Yup every movie around it including DP2 and IW increased well. Only this had a very small increase despite the OD number being so low. Legs will not be pretty on this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
