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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit#gid=0

First trend for today. Presales flat from yesterday but 9:20am comes in slightly above yesterday! Possible increase/holding flat today (which would counteract the slightly larger than expected drop yesterday).

 

Tuesday, 12 March Wednesday, 13 March
Time Adm. Time Adm.
Presales 17,000 Presales 17,000
09:20 19,000 09:20 20,000
10:20 22,000 10:20  
11:20 25,000 11:20  
12:20 27,000 12:20  
13:20 30,000 13:20  
14:20 34,000 14:20  
15:20 39,000 15:20  
16:20 43,000 16:20  
17:20 48,000 17:20  
18:20 52,000 18:20  
19:20 57,000 19:20  
20:20 61,000 20:20  
21:20 65,000 21:20  
22:20 67,000 22:20  
23:20 68,000 23:20  
Actual: 137,977 Actual:  
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Captin Marvel
03-06(Wed) 461,050 / 2,016
03-07(Thu) 312,606(-32.2%) / 1,996
03-08(Fri) 413,275(+32.2%) / 2,014
03-09(Sat) 1,001,405(+142.3%) / 2,098
03-10(Sun) 847,148(-15.4%) / 2,087
03-11(Mon) 170,491(-79.9%) / 1,914
03-12(Tue) 137,977(-19.1%) / 1,935
=3,344,576 (29,855,806,750 won)

 

btw, it broke another record, biggest march tuesday.

(previous was holiday, 2011-03-01(Tue) Black Swan 137,059)

 

wed drop

Ant-Man and the Wasp - 163,809(-19.7%) / total 3,186,536

Doctor Strange - 131,419(-8.2%)  / total 2,842,766

THOR: RAGNAROK - 129,636(-7.9%) / total 2,637,562

Beauty and the Beast - 124,015(-9%) / total 1,976,032

 

CM -10% would be 124k total 3.46m. -8% 127k and 3.47m

still almost 300k more than ant-man and wasp. 

Edited by imbruglia
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit#gid=0

 

Gonna guess around 115k admissions today, around a 9% drop from yesterday. Now some movies have increased on Thursday's in the past, but this is not looking likely too unless evenings really pick up. 

 

Hopefully will pickup again at the weekend.

 

Here's Thursday so far anyway:

Thursday, 14 March
Time Adm.
Presales 17,000
09:20 19,000
10:20 21,000
11:20 23,000
12:20 25,000
13:20 28,000
14:20 31,000
15:20 34,000
16:20 38,000
17:20 41,000
18:20 44,000
19:20  
20:20  
21:20  
22:20  
23:20  
Actual:  
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Captain Marvel
03-06(Wed) 461,050 / 2,016
03-07(Thu) 312,606(-32.2%) / 1,996
03-08(Fri) 413,275(+32.2%) / 2,014
03-09(Sat) 1,001,405(+142.3%) / 2,098
03-10(Sun) 847,148(-15.4%) / 2,087
03-11(Mon) 170,491(-79.9%) / 1,914
03-12(Tue) 137,977(-19.1%) / 1,935
03-13(Wed) 126,640(-8.2%) / 1,874
=3,470,916 (30,939,780,030 won)

 

Thursday drop

THOR: RAGNAROK - 99,572(-23.2%), total:2,737,134

Beauty and the Beast - 99,762(-19.6%), total:2,075,794

Ant-Man and the Wasp - 135,312(-17.4%), total:3,321,848

Doctor Strange -  121,481(-7.6%), total:2,964,247

 

19:20 48k(-9.4%)

21:20 55k(-8.3%)

22:20 57k(-8%)

23:20 58k(-9.3%)

 

-10% would be around 114k, total 3.58m.

 

Edited by imbruglia
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5 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

Captain Marvel
03-06(Wed) 461,050 / 2,016
03-07(Thu) 312,606(-32.2%) / 1,996
03-08(Fri) 413,275(+32.2%) / 2,014
03-09(Sat) 1,001,405(+142.3%) / 2,098
03-10(Sun) 847,148(-15.4%) / 2,087
03-11(Mon) 170,491(-79.9%) / 1,914
03-12(Tue) 137,977(-19.1%) / 1,935
03-13(Wed) 126,640(-8.2%) / 1,874
=3,470,916 (30,939,780,030 won)

 

Thursday drop

THOR: RAGNAROK - 99,572(-23.2%), total:2,737,134

Beauty and the Beast - 99,762(-19.6%), total:2,075,794

Ant-Man and the Wasp - 135,312(-17.4%), total:3,321,848

Doctor Strange -  121,481(-7.6%), total:2,964,247

 

19:20 48k (-9.4%)

 

-10% would be around 114k, total 3.58m.

 

Compared to the other MCU, a 10% drop would not be too bad at all. I seemed to recall some movies increased on Thursday :P 

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Thursday early number 116,264(-8.2%) total:3,587,180

presale 139k (antman+wasp was at 119k )

 

Friday

THOR: RAGNAROK - 162,641(+63.3%), total:2,899,775

Doctor Strange -  192,189(+58.2%), total:3,156,436

Ant-Man and the Wasp - 194,998(+44.1%), total:3,516,846

Beauty and the Beast - 158,998(+59.4%), total:2,234,792

 

cgv start 24k

Edited by imbruglia
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13 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

Thursday early number 115,573(-8.7%) total:3,586,489

presale 139k (antman+wasp was at 119k )

 

Friday

THOR: RAGNAROK - 162,641(+63.3%), total:2,899,775

Doctor Strange -  192,189(+58.2%), total:3,156,436

Ant-Man and the Wasp - 194,998(+44.1%), total:3,516,846

Beauty and the Beast - 158,998(+59.4%), total:2,234,792

Presales suggest it is going to get a nice weekend bump.

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Mar 14, 2019
 
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1 Captain Marvel

Captain Marvel

U.S.

Mar 06, 2019 $879,637
($28,115,359)
116,124
(3,587,040)
1,625 51.65%
2 The Escape Room

The Escape Room

U.S.

Mar 14, 2019 $390,269
($565,943)
52,618
(75,806)
685 22.91%
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Captain Marvel
03-06(Wed) 461,050 / 2,016
03-07(Thu) 312,606(-32.2%) / 1,996
03-08(Fri) 413,275(+32.2%) / 2,014
03-09(Sat) 1,001,405(+142.3%) / 2,098
03-10(Sun) 847,148(-15.4%) / 2,087
03-11(Mon) 170,491(-79.9%) / 1,914
03-12(Tue) 137,977(-19.1%) / 1,935
03-13(Wed) 126,640(-8.2%) / 1,874
03-14(Thu) 116,331(-8.1%) /1,624
=3,587,246 (31,940,786,050 won)

 

13:20 39k (+39.2%)

14:20 44k (+41.9%) 

15:20 49k (+44.1%)

16:20 54k (+42.1%)

17:20 58k (+41.4%)

18:20 63k (+43.1%)


 

Edited by imbruglia
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Vs last Friday:

presales -67%

13:20 -62.5%  

14:20 -61%    

15:20 -59.5%

16:20 -58.8%

17:20 -58.9%

 

Last friday added 37.6x the 13:20-14:20 CGV difference to the 14:20 CGV reading to get total daily admits, same here would be 44+37.6*5=232, -44% weekly. Seems too high to me, can make a much better estimate in a few hours.    

 

Edit: Same projection as above gives 49+17.2*10=221, for -46.5%. Generally I expect this number to keep falling hourly, while the % behind last Friday to keep getting better. Perhaps 50-55% down, though who mows how night will move.   

 

16:20 — 54+10.44*15=211, -49% both numbers moving in expected direction this hour, maybe more like -54-57% will be my last guess before bed.

17:20 — 58+7.35*19=198, -52.2%. Actual final guess -55-58

Edited by Thanos Legion
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antman and wasp

403,553    
194,998 -51.6%

 

spiderman homecoming

537,526
256,830 -52.2%

 

thor ragnarok

316,499
162,641 -48.6%

 

doctor strange

340,045
192,189 -43.4%

 

 

considering CM had very frontloaded first weekend, I guess around 60% down, 160~180k range.

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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit#gid=0

 

Based on the run rate compared to last friday, seems to me to be heading to 175k-185k personally. 

 

Here's today so far with estimation based on last Friday below. It shows that the % of tickets from walkups was greater today so far.

Friday, 15 March
Time Adm.
Presales 24,000
09:20 27,000
10:20 30,000
11:20 32,000
12:20 35,000
13:20 39,000
14:20 44,000
15:20 49,000
16:20 54,000
17:20  
18:20  
19:20  
20:20  
21:20  
22:20  
23:20  
Actual:  
   
   
   
  135820
  137706
  144111
  145273
  149064
  154920
  162297
  167296
  170293
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
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Friday final

173,987(+49.6%) / 1,648
total==3,761,233 (33,571,079,756 won)

 

presale 198k (antman and wasp was at 168k)

 

saturday second week

Quote

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp
468,418(+140.2%) total:3,985,264
(821,769) -42.9% from previous saturday

 

Doctor Strange
441,949(+130%) total:3,598,385
(692,976) -36.2% from previous saturday

 

THOR: RAGNAROK
365,000(+124.4%) total:3,264,775
(662,646) -44.9% from previous saturday

 

Beauty and the Beast
456,409(+187.1%) total:2,691,201
(602,569) -24.2% from previous saturday

 

cgv start 83k

13:20 128k

14:20 141k (+13k)

15:20 154k (+13k)

16:20 167k (+13k)

17:20 178k (+11k)

18:20 189k (+11k)

19:20 200k (+11k)

20:20 211k (+11k)

21:20 220k (+9k)

22:20 227k(+7k)

23:20 231k(+4k)

 

I guess +450k today. -55%

oh maybe +470k

if we use last saturday's multiplier, 490k

 

according to disney korea, CM officially passed 4m in 11 days, same days as Iron man3 and Homecoming.

4.02m as of 2:05PM. so 260k so far

Edited by imbruglia
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