charlie Jatinder Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 That will make sense I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 Some Chinese moviegoers on social media said they saw the movie in foreign and thought the sequel is really weak and poor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 KOBIS PS look really weak heading into FSS. If we get 350 OD+220 Th, 5-day will miss 2M. Maybe 1.7ish? Then final will be maybe ~3 with this reception (also pretty rough estimate for now). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolK Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 are there are successful franchises/movie series in SK ? Along with the gods comes to mind...even though the 2nd part did well..it wasnt pretty mediocre compared to the 1st one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 On 7/15/2020 at 7:43 PM, charlie Jatinder said: Pretty good walk ins, CGV selling 116k during the day, that's like +45% The Lion King. Anyhow, with 188k CGV final, I expect Korea full day of around 350k. On higher end, it could be 390-400k but I will take my chances at 350k. Opening Day updated with 353,010 admits and $2.45mn gross. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 Day 2 CGV finaled at 119k, that should go for 225-230k admits overall. About 35% drop in admits, gross shall drop around 33% I guess at $1.6mn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 That's really weird. Can't remember such late updates in the past. 223k admission 2nd day so far. 578 173 in total. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, juni78ukr said: That's really weird. Can't remember such late updates in the past. 223k admission 2nd day so far. 578 173 in total. Apparently it missed a chain numbers by mistake. The 350k matched the final estimate we had, so all good. Thursday will hit 228-230k imo. Anyhow not really optimistic on film's final, 3.8-4mn I guess. Roughly $25-28mn. @imbruglia how is South Korea Home Video and TV market for films because I don't think theatrically it will do more than $12-13mn returns with $20mn budget after release cost. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 16, 2020 Share Posted July 16, 2020 40k CGV for tomorrow. 275k mostly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted July 17, 2020 Share Posted July 17, 2020 Walk ups on the weak side. Might miss 250 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted July 17, 2020 Share Posted July 17, 2020 Ran pretty okay at night, looks like 266k for Fri. Sat CGV PS of 86k, thinking it’ll run to 460ish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 18, 2020 Share Posted July 18, 2020 Saturday seems like okay with 510-520k. Comparing with TLK and Train To Busan, it's quite uneven comp with TLK as it played bigger during Saturdays and Sundays. Comparing with Train to Busan, it was 40% on OD but fell during next two days, getting back to 40% again today. But I guess that's more due to Saturdays getting bigger in almost every country of world and Train To Busan would have capacity problems on it's Saturday as it was doing around 1.3mn admits. I expect weekdays to go in around 30-35%, full run could be around 3.8-4mn. Day Peninsula The Lion King Ratio Train To Busan Ratio Previews 1,764 2,614 0.67 565,266 0.00 Wednesday 353,010 304,793 1.16 872,673 0.40 Thursday 223,743 237,335 0.94 663,365 0.34 Week 0 578,517 544,742 1.06 2,101,304 0.28 Friday 265,816 303,882 0.87 738,823 0.36 Saturday 515,000 742,451 0.69 1,282,013 0.40 Sunday 684,481 0.00 1,195,273 0.00 Monday 170,260 0.00 499,070 0.00 Tuesday 159,050 0.00 419,947 0.00 Wednesday 129,149 0.00 422,625 0.00 Thursday 135,248 0.00 299,267 0.00 Week One 780,816 2,324,521 0.34 4,857,018 0.16 Friday 157,525 0.00 337,649 0.00 Saturday 357,814 0.00 579,808 0.00 Sunday 322,091 0.00 537,035 0.00 Monday 160,017 0.00 347,408 0.00 Tuesday 148,635 0.00 303,302 0.00 Wednesday 126,217 0.00 192,508 0.00 Thursday 87,784 0.00 163,943 0.00 Week Two 0 1,360,083 0.00 2,461,653 0.00 Rest 0 513,918 0.00 2,144,981 0.00 Total 1,359,333 4,743,264 11,564,956 FSS Multi 2.74 3.60 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 18, 2020 Share Posted July 18, 2020 (edited) I wonder if there's any limit to capacity in play in Korea ( @imbruglia may tell us) . The affect wasn't visible in trend, as with limited capacity, the daily drop and growth would be limited as well, but we saw big drop and big growth on Saturday. Anyways, Saturday looks like 530k, better than expected but still I hoped previous days were better. Anyhow, let's wait how PS are for tomorrow. Per show occupancy was 40 person per show, which is, well good IMO in this period. Endgame in its 1st Saturday had 125 person per show, which I guess would be very close to capacity, may be 90%, so Peninsula works out at 29% Approx. I still expect 4mn range full run. That will be around $29mn Approx. Taiwan opening was big at $800k on Wednesday. Guess weekend may be $3.25mn weekend. Singapore and Malaysia may be another $800-900k each. Edited July 18, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 18, 2020 Share Posted July 18, 2020 Sunday PS of 68k suggest 420k. Hopefully its better than that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted July 18, 2020 Share Posted July 18, 2020 Peninsula box office seems not afffected by COVID-19. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted July 18, 2020 Share Posted July 18, 2020 (edited) 32 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: Peninsula box office seems not afffected by COVID-19. It’s a hard thing to evaluate, but this doesn’t seem right to me. Sure 5-day will be lower than if it had like 93 egg, but OD shouldn't be too much affected by that. 350k OD for a sequel to 11M admit hit hardly seems like normal BO. Peninsula’s cume so far is basically equal to Busan’s Sat daily gross. If that looks like “not affected by covid-19” to you you must have been pretty dang pessimistic about this movie to begin with. Edited July 18, 2020 by Arendelle Legion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 8 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said: It’s a hard thing to evaluate, but this doesn’t seem right to me. Sure 5-day will be lower than if it had like 93 egg, but OD shouldn't be too much affected by that. 350k OD for a sequel to 11M admit hit hardly seems like normal BO. Peninsula’s cume so far is basically equal to Busan’s Sat daily gross. If that looks like “not affected by covid-19” to you you must have been pretty dang pessimistic about this movie to begin with. This is a spin off with new cast. not really a sequel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 25 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: This is a spin off with new cast. not really a sequel. but yeah, budget is huge for a Korean film and it's better than an original film with some buzz coming from Train To Busan I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 51 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: This is a spin off with new cast. not really a sequel. That’s fair, not exactly Train to Busan 2. I suspect it would be doing at least 1M more in total with a completely normal market, but there’s not really any way we’ll ever know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 The world of mouth of this one is terrible in my country (although it did break opening record for SK film). the melodramatic style of the first one was what made it a commercial success. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
