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South Korea Box Office - Exit Opens Big, Aladdin still has an outside shot of beating Endgame

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45 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

7-16 Wednesday
1. TLK - 302,734 / 9,783 showing
2. FHH - 76,227 (-24.8%) (Total: 6,972,807) / 3,404 showing
3. Aladdin - 55,900 (-33.6%) (Total: 10,381,704) / 2,006 showing

 

KOBIS presale
1. TLK 322k
2. FFH 37k
3. Aladdin 34k

 

Can someone explain how this got a 'sad' reaction? Isn't this a good number?

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3 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Can someone explain how this got a 'sad' reaction? Isn't this a good number?

Probably my bad I got hopes up way to much, so I will take the blame for that one. 

Everyone that red my post yesterday, I was just overly positive in my guess. The movie is doing great, it's OD was atleast 55% bigger than the previous record For a liveaction movie. 

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3 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Probably my bad I got hopes up way to much, so I will take the blame for that one. 

Everyone that red my post yesterday, I was just overly positive in my guess. The movie is doing great, it's OD was atleast 55% bigger than the previous record For a liveaction movie. 

 

Which means that the movie will definitely be 55% bigger than the live action record holder! $150m incoming!! Thanks, Pepsa!!!

 

:ohmygod::ohmygod:

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20 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Which means that the movie will definitely be 55% bigger than the live action record holder! $150m incoming!! Thanks, Pepsa!!!

 

:ohmygod::ohmygod:

Yep thats how the boxoffice works 😛 

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1 hour ago, pepsa said:

CGV ratio was pretty low so that might make 260k hard.

Today it did 76k in walkups, if it does the same amount tomorrow we get a total ps of 120k that would result to 240k so I will go a bit more conservative and go with 220k for tomorrow.  Maybe CGV ratio gets better because of less IMAX %.

Hmmm, yeah. I was just roughing a 3x CGV PSm from CM Thursday, but after looking more deeply I’d say more like 2.7-2.9, maybe 235-255 is better. I’ll be entering hourlies into the sheet, but probably won’t update here unless something interesting is happening.   

 

Speaking of the sheet, I know where to find the hourly data but not where to look up actuals for past days, so FFH is missing lots of actuals. Could someone point me where to find those?

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6 hours ago, UserHN said:

Can someone explain how this got a 'sad' reaction? Isn't this a good number?

The sad reaction was mine. And it wasn't directed to Lion King, but to Aladdin dropping more than I would have hoped for. :P

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Posted (edited)

Hourly gain yesterday vs today for TLK:

5,5

5,5

4,4

7,6

7,7 

7,7

 

i.e. pacing effectively identical. Final CGV very close to 120, admits around high 230s.    

 

Think we’ll see Aladdin up a bit from yesterday and FFH down, but not tracking those as closely.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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59 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Hourly gain yesterday vs today for TLK:

5,5

5,5

4,4

7,6

7,7 

7,7

 

i.e. pacing effectively identical. Final CGV very close to 120, admits around high 230s.    

 

Think we’ll see Aladdin up a bit from yesterday and FFH down, but not tracking those as closely.

I agree with you on this one 😛

As for Aladinn, it's running 2h's ahead of yesterday so expect it to go up about 7k from yesterdays number. 

Spidey is flat I think, we will have to wait e few more hours to know this for sure. TS4 also flat.

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07-17 Thursday
1. TLK - 235,186 (-22.8%) / 9,583 showing
2. FHH - 73,111 (-4.9%) (Total: 7,046,541) / 3,283 showing
3. Aladdin - 62,621 (+11.2%) (Total: 10,444,745) / 2,106 showing

 

KOBIS presale
1. TLK 385k
2. Aladdin 60k
3. FFH 56k

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7 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

07-17 Thursday
1. TLK - 235,186 (-22.8%) / 9,583 showing
2. FHH - 73,111 (-4.9%) (Total: 7,046,541) / 3,283 showing
3. Aladdin - 62,621 (+11.2%) (Total: 10,444,745) / 2,106 showing

 

KOBIS presale
1. TLK 385k
2. Aladdin 60k
3. FFH 56k

 

How is the audience rating/reaction?

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3 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

How is the audience rating/reaction?

91% on CGV, to compare: Aladdin 98%, Spidey 96% and TS4 98%

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1 minute ago, pepsa said:

91% on CGV, to compare: Aladdin 98%, Spidey 96% and TS4 98%

 

What about BATB and Fallen Kingdom?

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Jul 18, 2019
 
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1 The Lion King

The Lion King

U.S. 

Jul 17, 2019 $1,712,263
($3,982,433)
231,980
(539,355)
1,852 55.88%
2 Spider-Man: Far From Home

Spider-Man: Far From Home

U.S. 

Jul 02, 2019 $492,979
($51,495,529)
72,159
(7,045,589)
883 16.08%
3 Aladdin

Aladdin

U.S. 

May 23, 2019 $427,463
($75,533,395)
62,042
(10,444,166)
691 13.95%
4 Toy Story 4

Toy Story 4

U.S. 

Jun 20, 2019 $72,035
($23,097,445)
10,593
(3,213,287)
315 2.35%
5 PARASITE

PARASITE

South Korea 

May 30, 2019 $44,853
($72,051,634)
7,966
(9,966,697)
191 1.46%
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It still could hit something like 270K friday and another 1.2m admits over sat/sunday. So overall could hit 2m by sunday. Not bad at all. Actually its great.

 

what is Naver rating?

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7 minutes ago, pepsa said:

91% on CGV, to compare: Aladdin 98%, Spidey 96% and TS4 98%

10 days till Aladdin overtakes it in dailies :insane:

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Posted (edited)
20 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

How is the audience rating/reaction?

CGV egg 91  

Naver 8.86/8.41    

 

I’d describe both as medium, but I don’t have that much to compare to.   

 

Friday CGV PS are just 57k. PSm I expect to drop from 2.75 to about 2.5-2.6, for roughly 142-148 final CGV and some 270-300 admits.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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TLK:

8.86 Naver

8.41 Neitzen

 

BATB:

8.99

8.79

 

TJB:

8.57

8.45

 

JW: Fk

8.54

8.01

 

Not that it's very early and most movies drop quite a bit from there early ratings. TS4 dropped about 0.4. So let's say it drops 0.3 we get something like 8.56 on naver so on par with TJB and JW but below BATB. 

 

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Thank you. I think it wont have great legs. Some what middling would still take it close to 5m admits in korea.

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3 minutes ago, pepsa said:

TLK:

8.86 Naver

8.41 Neitzen

 

BATB:

8.99

8.79

 

TJB:

8.57

8.45

 

JW: Fk

8.54

8.01

 

Not that it's very early and most movies drop quite a bit from there early ratings. TS4 dropped about 0.4. So let's say it drops 0.3 we get something like 8.56 on naver so on par with TJB and JW but below BATB. 

 

 

I was asking because I was curious about legs. Fallen Kingdom still managed a 2.8x OW multiplier even with the lower ratings. I think TLK can hit 3x OW. 

 

Do we we have any idea about the dollar amount for OW?

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20 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

What about BATB and Fallen Kingdom?

I don’t know how to navigate to old movies on CGV, but Naver:  

JWFK 8.54, 8.01

BaTB 8.99, 8.79   

 

TLK should settle between them. 5-day ~2M, finish ~5M, maybe some 35-45 USD?   

 

Spoiler

Funny story about getting to that Naver page for BatB, I navigated Endgame->Hemsworth->Snow White and Huntsman->Kristen Stewart->Twilight->Robert Pattinson->Goblet of Fire->Emma Thompson->BatB  because I couldn’t think of a more succinct link from a current movie to BatB 🤣

 

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