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South Korea Box Office - Exit Opens Big, Aladdin still has an outside shot of beating Endgame

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Man, IW seemed so impressive, but just getting knocked out of the top 3 after a year. Crazy crazy year here.

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10 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

Did EG already pass 13.930M admissions today? 

Yep, 13,930,267 to date

Parasite also crossed 10m mark

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Posted (edited)
16 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Don’t have the most data points to work off, but it seems like first Tuesday PSm often 5-8% worse than Mon. TLK had 4x, so let’s try 3.7-3.8 today. Aladdin had 3.25, let’s say 3-3.3 today.    

 

TLK’s presales are  23k, so maybe 85-88 CGV, 170-180 admits.

 

Aladdin 13k, so final should be 39-43, probably a small bump from Mon like last week.

So rather than flat, TLK’s same day sales seem to be running about 80% of yesterday. Seems more like 75k CGV, low 150s admits right now.    

 

Aladdin slightly slower as well, but basically the same pace as yesterday. Maybe ~38k final CGV and 73k admits, so already essentially half of TLK dailies. Curious to see which holds better against the week’s openers.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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King's letter has big controvesy being very unfaithful to history.

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Posted (edited)

First Tues Numbers 

Jul 23, 2019
 
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1 The Lion King

The Lion King

U.S. 

Jul 17, 2019 $1,110,307
($19,807,688)
156,143
(2,601,601)
1,689 47.76%
2 Aladdin

Aladdin

U.S. 

May 23, 2019 $496,616
($80,236,035)
73,050
(11,091,646)
882 21.36%
3 Spider-Man: Far From Home

Spider-Man: Far From Home

U.S. 

Jul 02, 2019 $338,349
($55,526,806)
49,576
(7,601,946)
828 14.55%
4 Toy Story 4

Toy Story 4

U.S. 

Jun 20, 2019 $85,489
($23,790,025)
12,756
(3,312,291)
351 3.67%
5 PARASITE

PARASITE

South Korea 

May 30, 2019 $57,507
($72,345,624)
8,496
(10,016,252)
211 2.47%
6 The Secret Life of Pets 2

The Secret Life of Pets 2

U.S. 

Jul 31, 2019 $34,598
($38,554)
4,748
(5,330)
24 1.48%

 

 

Wed PS, TLK at 22k, maybe high 140s.   

 

Aladdin up again with 14k, small increase seems plausible again.   

 

King’s Letters 19k. I don’t really have a sense of how presale loaded that sort of movie should be on OD, so it would irresponsible to give any number.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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Aladdin against every new mega-openers such as Parasite, TS4, Spiderman and TLK since May be like

giphy.gif

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1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

Aladdin against every new mega-openers such as Parasite, TS4, Spiderman and TLK since May be like

giphy.gif

Where is it from the gif?

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10 hours ago, Nero said:

Where is it from the gif?

You mean where the gif is from? Moonbeam city.

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Posted (edited)
16 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Wed PS, TLK at 22k, maybe high 140s.   

 

Aladdin up again with 14k, small increase seems plausible again.   

 

King’s Letters 19k. I don’t really have a sense of how presale loaded that sort of movie should be on OD, so it would irresponsible to give any number.

I was a bit too optimistic again. In my defense this is the first OD of a new movie I’m working with, looks like same-day sales are a lot more affected than presales (which is intuitive).   

 

TLK now at 49k, should end about 65-68 CGV and 135-140 admits.   

 

Aladdin now 26k, should end roughly 33k, for ~65k (-12% daily, +15% weekly).  

 

King’s letters now 49k, should just barely win the day with ~69k CGV, we’ll see what it’s ratio is like but probably 140+.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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Jul 24, 2019
 
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1 The King's Letters

The King's Letters

South Korea 

Jul 24, 2019 $990,705
($1,125,342)
148,857
(168,945)
1,205 30.61%
2 The Lion King

The Lion King

U.S. 

Jul 17, 2019 $900,570
($20,738,073)
127,017
(2,731,478)
1,149 27.82%
3 Aladdin

Aladdin

U.S. 

May 23, 2019 $433,491
($80,712,461)
63,294
(11,156,201)
699 13.39%
4 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire

Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire

Japan 

Jul 24, 2019 $350,204
($381,199)
54,614
(58,391)
591 10.82%
5 Spider-Man: Far From Home

Spider-Man: Far From Home

U.S. 

Jul 02, 2019 $239,409
($55,798,562)
34,943
(7,638,135)
582 7.39%
6 LONG SHOT

LONG SHOT

U.S. 

Jul 24, 2019 $111,446
($404,110)
15,761
(54,166)
436 3.44%

 

 

Thu PS back at 23k for TLK. Not sure if same day sales will rebound, so conservatively let’s say 125+.  

 

Aladdin PS 15k, continuing the trend of being 1k higher each weekday. So far same-day sales have dropped more than that, but I’m pretty sure that won’t be the case today, thinking about 70k.

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32 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:
 
Jul 24, 2019
 
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1 The King's Letters

The King's Letters

South Korea 

Jul 24, 2019 $990,705
($1,125,342)
148,857
(168,945)
1,205 30.61%
2 The Lion King

The Lion King

U.S. 

Jul 17, 2019 $900,570
($20,738,073)
127,017
(2,731,478)
1,149 27.82%
3 Aladdin

Aladdin

U.S. 

May 23, 2019 $433,491
($80,712,461)
63,294
(11,156,201)
699 13.39%
4 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire

Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire

Japan 

Jul 24, 2019 $350,204
($381,199)
54,614
(58,391)
591 10.82%
5 Spider-Man: Far From Home

Spider-Man: Far From Home

U.S. 

Jul 02, 2019 $239,409
($55,798,562)
34,943
(7,638,135)
582 7.39%
6 LONG SHOT

LONG SHOT

U.S. 

Jul 24, 2019 $111,446
($404,110)
15,761
(54,166)
436 3.44%

 

 

Thu PS back at 23k for TLK. Not sure if same day sales will rebound, so conservatively let’s say 125+.  

 

Aladdin PS 15k, continuing the trend of being 1k higher each weekday. So far same-day sales have dropped more than that, but I’m pretty sure that won’t be the case today, thinking about 70k.

What's the predicted total for TLK?

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16 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Thu PS back at 23k for TLK. Not sure if same day sales will rebound, so conservatively let’s say 125+.  

 

Aladdin PS 15k, continuing the trend of being 1k higher each weekday. So far same-day sales have dropped more than that, but I’m pretty sure that won’t be the case today, thinking about 70k.

16:20 

TLK 51k

Aladdin 29k  

 

As expected. Maybe low 130s and just under 70.   

 

@UserHN, let’s wait for the 2nd weekend. Looks like roughly 5M/$38M to me, but not really my area of expertise.

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Looks like 5M admissions to me as well. With a 130K Thursday it should make 800/900k over the weekend. Then Pets 2 + SK late legs will give it an average 50/55% weekly drop.

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TLK 134,633 

King's Letter 113,347

Aladdin 68,724(11,226,003)

 

Aladdin has surpassed AIW and that leaves only Avatar and AEG, most admissions ever for Hollywood!

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Friday PS

TLK 27k

Aladdin 18k

 

Thinking about 170 and 100, but not that much historical data on Thurs:Fri change in PSm, so take that with an unusually large grain of salt.

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14 minutes ago, druv10 said:

TLK 134,633 

King's Letter 113,347

Aladdin 68,724(11,226,003)

 

Aladdin has surpassed AIW and that leaves only Avatar and AEG, most admissions ever for Hollywood!

where aladdin will finish in terms of $ ?

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6 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

possible NO.1 HLW ever?

 

 

End of week should be about 2.2M away, after adding 800k (mild increase from last week). Looks very possible, but it’s hard to predict exactly when an anti-gravity run will return to somewhat reasonable behavior.

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4 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

End of week should be about 2.2M away, after adding 800k (mild increase from last week). Looks very possible, but it’s hard to predict exactly when an anti-gravity run will return to somewhat reasonable behavior.

what will be its final total in $ ?

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Posted (edited)
10 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

End of week should be about 2.2M away, after adding 800k (mild increase from last week). Looks very possible, but it’s hard to predict exactly when an anti-gravity run will return to somewhat reasonable behavior.

That's crazy though, considering it increased mildly and is still such a large overall number. 

If it continues to defy gravity I can't see how it misses it. Even with lightish drops of 25% from here on out it would still make it. 

 

If something comes along to knock it down to earth, then it will miss. But if nothing so far has been able to do that, I don't see why that will happen. 

And this is from someone who wants EG to remain #1! 

 

EDIT: What's opening this weekend? Because if it's mid-week numbers are slightly higher than last week, wouldn't that indicate that this weekend will be slightly higher or stay flat? Is there any big competitors coming up?

Edited by VanillaSkies

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