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South Korea Box Office

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4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

This is expected. PS will be huge considering how big the last movie was. Big question is how its perceived. That will be the defining factor as to where it ends. Anyway it will be HUGE. Question is how BIG.

Can the musical factor here play a part in prevent it from being frontload like other big movies with big presale? Or at least soften the drop each week?

Edited by PKMLover
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23 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

Can the musical factor here play a part in prevent it from being frontload like other big movies with big presale? Or at least soften the drop each week?

it all depends on reaction. Let us wait for OD and see where the Naver rating is. Keep an eye at https://movie.naver.com/movie/bi/mi/basic.nhn?code=136873

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No sign of slowing down yet, should be headed for 204ish today. Just barely above Age of Ultron, which jumped massively on the same time before release (maybe had PDFs release that day?). I think final PS 800k-1.1M or so, which is crazy, but it is after all a sequel to a 10M movie. I’ll keep posting about the PS, but doubt anything too interesting happens from now until we see the Egg.

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3 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

No sign of slowing down yet, should be headed for 204ish today. Just barely above Age of Ultron, which jumped massively on the same time before release (maybe had PDFs release that day?). I think final PS 800k-1.1M or so, which is crazy, but it is after all a sequel to a 10M movie. I’ll keep posting about the PS, but doubt anything too interesting happens from now until we see the Egg.

What does this mean?

Do you have the presale chart for foreign movie?

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3 hours ago, PKMLover said:

What does this mean?

Do you have the presale chart for foreign movie?

Egg is the name for an audience rating in SK, like MrGlass said.    
 

Also, damn, night was super strong today! 216 finish for a midpoint of 18:00.   
 

Going to try to edit in some comparisons, but charts and I don’t always get along on BOT 

 

Edit: completely nonfunctional from iPad, but I think I should be able to make it work from a PC in 2 hours

Edited by Thanos Legion
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Movie
Endgame Infinity War Age of Ultron Frozen 2 Captain Marvel
Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets
D-13 --- --- --- --- 0.4% 513 13.5% 35,800 --- ---
D-12 --- --- --- --- 2.6% 4,286 15.7% 56,983 --- ---
D-11 --- --- 34.7% 106,782 10.7% 13,215 23.8% 75,123 7.5% 32,014
D-10 --- --- 50.9% 151,194 45.2% 25,412 53.0% 97,468 12.5% 46,652
D-09 --- --- 82.3% 195,842 52.6% 52,621 53.7% 128,247 27.4% 62,546
D-08 --- --- 82.8% 255,893 60.5% 89,148 52.0% 162,500 25.0% 81,951
D-07 85.4% 425,160 83.1% 312,278 74.6% 202,790 56.3% 216,169 21.5% 99,054
D-06 90.4% 757,581 83.6% 381,412 74.2% 254,789     31.7% 116,083
D-05 92.6% 1,123,944 83.0% 441,715 72.0% 304,101     29.7% 141,873
D-04 92.6% 1,314,585 80.0% 521,066 78.9% 355,901     40.2% 172,546
D-03 94.6% 1,462,388 83.8% 587,489 93.6% 436,244     53.7% 201,417
D-02 96.1% 1,634,283 92.1% 684,782 93.5% 564,163     85.2% 241,762
D-01 96.8% 1,912,215 93.3% 869,316 94.3% 723,132     87.0% 315,043
D-00 97.1% 2,321,735 96.5% 1,156,280 95.9% 935,461     91.6% 441,901

 

The lowest D-07 to final multiplier here, IW, would take F2 to 800k. I think it'll do at least 2x CM for 880k. Very reasonable imo to follow the path of CM/AOU from here with x4.5 and end up at 970k+  

 

Other, smaller, HW PS in spoiler:

Spoiler
Movie
Civil War Jurassic World 2 SM: Homecoming Ant-Man and Wasp
Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets
D-13 4.8% 3,001 2.7% 4,085 --- --- --- ---
D-12 13.2% 12,074 5.6% 11,064 --- --- --- ---
D-11 17.8% 26,612 6.9% 19,430 --- --- --- ---
D-10 28.7% 36,353 11.7% 26,727 --- --- --- ---
D-09 68.4% 47,764 30.4% 32,446 --- --- --- ---
D-08 69.5% 65,652 28.4% 42,774 --- --- --- ---
D-07 70.3% 85,648 21.7% 50,417 --- --- --- ---
D-06 69.4% 108,114 43.1% 60,752 10.8% 20,959 --- ---
D-05 71.8% 157,805 37.5% 78,272 14.2% 31,988 21.0% 36,583
D-04 70.7% 209,254 35.9% 105,020 15.7% 44,252 20.3% 53,857
D-03 80.1% 252,771 49.8% 139,672 --- --- 30.0% 73,136
D-02 95.1% 304,951 76.8% 197,643 53.5% 75,569 65.5% 120,619
D-01 94.3% 434,834 76.2% 312,877 67.1% 128,586 69.2% 152,447
D-00 95.6% 621,285 76.2% 596,941 79.8% 242,444 80.0% 246,552

This is all from @Stewart's sheet, and I think @pepsa helped fill it out.

 

Edited by Thanos Legion
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13 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Movie
Endgame Infinity War Age of Ultron Frozen 2 Captain Marvel
Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets
D-13 --- --- --- --- 0.4% 513 13.5% 35,800 --- ---
D-12 --- --- --- --- 2.6% 4,286 15.7% 56,983 --- ---
D-11 --- --- 34.7% 106,782 10.7% 13,215 23.8% 75,123 7.5% 32,014
D-10 --- --- 50.9% 151,194 45.2% 25,412 53.0% 97,468 12.5% 46,652
D-09 --- --- 82.3% 195,842 52.6% 52,621 53.7% 128,247 27.4% 62,546
D-08 --- --- 82.8% 255,893 60.5% 89,148 52.0% 162,500 25.0% 81,951
D-07 85.4% 425,160 83.1% 312,278 74.6% 202,790 56.3% 216,169 21.5% 99,054
D-06 90.4% 757,581 83.6% 381,412 74.2% 254,789     31.7% 116,083
D-05 92.6% 1,123,944 83.0% 441,715 72.0% 304,101     29.7% 141,873
D-04 92.6% 1,314,585 80.0% 521,066 78.9% 355,901     40.2% 172,546
D-03 94.6% 1,462,388 83.8% 587,489 93.6% 436,244     53.7% 201,417
D-02 96.1% 1,634,283 92.1% 684,782 93.5% 564,163     85.2% 241,762
D-01 96.8% 1,912,215 93.3% 869,316 94.3% 723,132     87.0% 315,043
D-00 97.1% 2,321,735 96.5% 1,156,280 95.9% 935,461     91.6% 441,901

 

The lowest D-07 to final multiplier here, IW, would take F2 to 800k. I think it'll do at least 2x CM for 880k. Very reasonable imo to follow the path of CM/AOU from here with x4.5 and end up at 970k+  

 

Other, smaller, HW PS in spoiler:

  Reveal hidden contents
Movie
Civil War Jurassic World 2 SM: Homecoming Ant-Man and Wasp
Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets
D-13 4.8% 3,001 2.7% 4,085 --- --- --- ---
D-12 13.2% 12,074 5.6% 11,064 --- --- --- ---
D-11 17.8% 26,612 6.9% 19,430 --- --- --- ---
D-10 28.7% 36,353 11.7% 26,727 --- --- --- ---
D-09 68.4% 47,764 30.4% 32,446 --- --- --- ---
D-08 69.5% 65,652 28.4% 42,774 --- --- --- ---
D-07 70.3% 85,648 21.7% 50,417 --- --- --- ---
D-06 69.4% 108,114 43.1% 60,752 10.8% 20,959 --- ---
D-05 71.8% 157,805 37.5% 78,272 14.2% 31,988 21.0% 36,583
D-04 70.7% 209,254 35.9% 105,020 15.7% 44,252 20.3% 53,857
D-03 80.1% 252,771 49.8% 139,672 --- --- 30.0% 73,136
D-02 95.1% 304,951 76.8% 197,643 53.5% 75,569 65.5% 120,619
D-01 94.3% 434,834 76.2% 312,877 67.1% 128,586 69.2% 152,447
D-00 95.6% 621,285 76.2% 596,941 79.8% 242,444 80.0% 246,552

This is all from @Stewart's sheet, and I think @pepsa helped fill it out.

 

This is going to be a fun run to follow, it's just such a shame that final year of uni has consumed any life out of me (hence why i've been dead since June). 

 

Although I started the sheet, and Pep helped out a lot too, you can't forget that you are responsible for a lot of the data on there too after I died! 

 

Looking forward to Frozen's run, as the PS seem to be going absolutely mental. I don't think it'll hit 1m PS, but 900k+ should be doable depending on capacity.

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Today seems to be headed to low 270s, about the same PS added as yesterday. That’s pretty common at this point, wouldn’t necessarily expect big growth in the daily rate until Monday of release week.   
 

Also I want to shake some rust off my daily extrapolations so I can hit the ground running for Frozen. So let’s try:  

Black Money 50k CGV

Divine Move 2 31k CGV 

Born 1982 18k

Terminator 11k

ZL2 8.7k

WWY  8.2k CGV
 

Won’t try to estimate total from CGV today since I have no data for any of these movies, but of course it’s very roughly 2x. 

Edited by Thanos Legion
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CGV Want To See 

 

2019.11.21
Frozen 2 - 15,110 (+3,336)

 

2019.11.27
Bring Me Home - 1,799 (+660) *local
Crawl - 586 (+170)
Hustlers - 1,257 (+542)

 

2019.12.04
A Little Princess - 535 (+115) *local

 

2019.12.05
KNIVES OUT - 1,508 (+348)
Last Christmas - 1,013 (+871)
Ford v. Ferrari - 1,750 (+283)

 

2019.12.18
Cats - 2,944 (+165)

---------------------------

2019
Jumanji- The Next Level - 1,359 (+212) *December
Baek Doo San - 539 *local *December
Si Dong - 406 *local *December
Forbidden Dream - 292 *local *December

 

2020
Dolittle -1,154 (+181) *Jan
Star Wars- The Rise of Skywalker - 956 (+172) *Jan
THE KING’S MAN - 2,780 (+228) *Feb
Top Gun- Maverick - 1,534 (+39) *June

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Strong night, seems to be breaking 450. These next days 3 days are where the real fun numbers are. I think 1M is still very real and AoU is pretty much toast at this point.

 

Edit: Wow, near 460.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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