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South Korea Box Office - Frozen 2 wins big with one of the highest OW of all time

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Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1 Frozen 2

Frozen 2

U.S.

Nov 21, 2019 $763,984
($78,374,125)
116,561
(11,181,631)
1,302 34.58%
2 Jumanji : The Next Level

Jumanji : The Next Level

U.S.

Dec 11, 2019 $588,055
($1,319,687)
89,786
(199,914)
1,190 26.61%
3 FORD v FERRARI

FORD v FERRARI

U.S.

Dec 04, 2019 $251,034
($4,664,982)
36,811
(634,075)
739 11.36%
4 A Little Princess

A Little Princess

South Korea

Dec 04, 2019 $111,443
($2,311,434)
18,574
(359,592)
558 5.04%
5 KNIVES OUT

KNIVES OUT

U.S.

Dec 04, 2019 $123,027
($2,251,342)
18,137
(324,926)
519 5.56%
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Already up to 117604 on Korean source. Should have just stuck to PS projection for an error of like 300 people 😛 

 

Anyway that’s a better daily drop than all top movies with an egg below 99. -27% weekly.   
 

Fri CGV PS exactly where I had estimated yesterday with 25k. Going to forecast 170k. If that happens, Avatar is toast and we’ve got a realistic shot at 1M weekend, but keep in mind that a 900k 4th weekend is also extremely good in this market and extremely good for HW large openers in this market. Like, eeeeeeeeeasily a record for HW large opener.

Edited by Arendelle Legion
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2 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Already up to 117604 on Korean source. Should have just stuck to PS projection for an error of like 300 people 😛 

 

Anyway that’s a better daily drop than all top movies with an egg below 99. -27% weekly.   
 

Fri CGV PS exactly where I had estimated yesterday with 25k. Going to forecast 170k. If that happens, Avatar is toast and we’ve got a realistic shot at 1M weekend, but keep in mind that a 900k 4th weekend is also extremely good in this market and extremely good for HW large openers in this market. Like, eeeeeeeeeasily a record for HW large opener.

So with a 900k 4th week end, frozen 2 could surpass 14 millions admissions ?

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3 minutes ago, LPLC said:

So with a 900k 4th week end, frozen 2 could surpass 14 millions admissions ?

Probably not. With a 1M weekend, I’d say a realistic chance. Either way we’ve gotta see effect of competition+holidays, which could be a bit unpredictable.

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Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

Probably not. With a 1M weekend, I’d say a realistic chance. Either way we’ve gotta see effect of competition+holidays, which could be a bit unpredictable.

Can the upcoming holiday help the legs? Soft drop? 

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4 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

Can the upcoming holiday help the legs? Soft drop? 

Holidays help. Competition hurt. Net effect TBD.    
 

On the subject of competition, START-UP has 417 CGV PS, which I think is identical to yesterday. So thinking will be a 4K day of limited screening, and all are presold already. Then real KOBIS is 27k or less on D-05, not looking too formidable anymore. Ashfall D-06 25k also not seeming a behemoth. However, I haven’t followed local PS much before, patterns may be different, and could always explode with WOM.

Edited by Arendelle Legion
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Midday walk ups have been awesome. Might try for 185k+, about a 20% weekly drop. Also today it’s passed IW to be #4 HW for the moment.

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Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1 Frozen 2

Frozen 2

U.S. 

Nov 21, 2019 $1,264,929
($80,783,887)
178,064
(11,360,834)
1,323 39.96%
2 Jumanji : The Next Level

Jumanji : The Next Level

U.S. 

Dec 11, 2019 $812,749
($2,163,779)
113,197
(314,851)
1,182 25.68%
3 FORD v FERRARI

FORD v FERRARI

U.S. 

Dec 04, 2019 $370,707
($5,108,689)
48,596
(683,407)
779 11.71%
4 KNIVES OUT

KNIVES OUT

U.S. 

Dec 04, 2019 $185,352
($2,471,815)
24,899
(350,176)
519 5.85%
5 A Little Princess

A Little Princess

South Korea 

Dec 04, 2019 $124,057
($2,470,580)
18,682
(378,519)
578 3.91%


 

Halway between morning and midday projections. Has happened a few time, should probably try to incorporate that in the future.    
 

Anyway this is a great 4th a Friday, but at 75k the Sat CGV PS are lower than I was hoping/expecting. Don’t feel comfortable giving a number til midday in this case.

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2 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1 Frozen 2

Frozen 2

U.S. 

Nov 21, 2019 $1,264,929
($80,783,887)
178,064
(11,360,834)
1,323 39.96%
2 Jumanji : The Next Level

Jumanji : The Next Level

U.S. 

Dec 11, 2019 $812,749
($2,163,779)
113,197
(314,851)
1,182 25.68%
3 FORD v FERRARI

FORD v FERRARI

U.S. 

Dec 04, 2019 $370,707
($5,108,689)
48,596
(683,407)
779 11.71%
4 KNIVES OUT

KNIVES OUT

U.S. 

Dec 04, 2019 $185,352
($2,471,815)
24,899
(350,176)
519 5.85%
5 A Little Princess

A Little Princess

South Korea 

Dec 04, 2019 $124,057
($2,470,580)
18,682
(378,519)
578 3.91%


 

Halway between morning and midday projections. Has happened a few time, should probably try to incorporate that in the future.    
 

Anyway this is a great 4th a Friday, but at 75k the Sat CGV PS are lower than I was hoping/expecting. Don’t feel comfortable giving a number til midday in this case.

I feel worried...

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Eh, you know what, let’s set some expectations. From daily CGV patterns I am seeing 370-415 (-40% to -32% weekly). The upper end of that range is still a pretty great hold, and the low end isn’t even atrocious. Just not as good as WThF.     

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41 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

I feel worried...

With the hold this weekend, we're looking at 13M+ already for admissions and with holidays coming up, AEG is not safe. What more can you really ask for Frozen 2, absolutely fantastic performance.

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9 hours ago, druv10 said:

With the hold this weekend, we're looking at 13M+ already for admissions and with holidays coming up, AEG is not safe. What more can you really ask for Frozen 2, absolutely fantastic performance.

of course Avatar is not safe,but AEG???

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10 hours ago, druv10 said:

With the hold this weekend, we're looking at 13M+ already for admissions and with holidays coming up, AEG is not safe. What more can you really ask for Frozen 2, absolutely fantastic performance.

PKM is always worried though 🤣

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59 minutes ago, Steven said:

of course Avatar is not safe,but AEG???

Yeah, AEG is not safe.  This range 

 

11 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

From daily CGV patterns I am seeing 370-415

turned out to be great, as today’s currently looking low 390s or so. That will give weekend around 930k. 
Mon-Sun week 0 — 4.436M

Mon-Sun week 1 —  4.146M (about 300k culture day inflated)

Mon-Sun week 2 —  2.115M (-45% from culture day adjusted week 1)

Mom-Sun week 3 — est 1.42M (-33%)  

 

For EG need 1.82M, is a 2.28x weekly multi, requires 43.8% avg weekly drops. Holidays are coming, and neither Start-up nor Ashfall are doing particularly huge presales.    
 

So it’s very easy to see how F2 would get to 14M+, though of course not guaranteed yet.

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4 hours ago, Steven said:

of course Avatar is not safe,but AEG???

Avatar number got challenged three time in a year....after remain untouched for 9 years. (for hollywood production) 

 

 

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5 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

Avatar number got challenged three time in a year....after remain untouched for 9 years. (for hollywood production) 

 

 

Yeah,I kow,Avatar is really succeed in South Korea and worldwide

maybe Avatar is the last HLW movie to creat south korea record

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