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2019 Attendance
January - 18,122,443
February - 22,277,733
March - 14,671,693
April - 13,338,962
May - 18,062,457
June - 22,845,579
July - 21,916,465
August - 24,786,121
September - 14,733,642
October - 14,858,383
= 185,613,478

 

2020 Attendance
January - 16,843,695
February - 7,372,370 (-67%) *Covid
March - 1,834,722 (-87.5%)
April - 972,572 (-92.7%)
May - 1,526,236 (-91.5%)
June - 3,864,533 (-83%)
July - 5,618,701 (-74.3%)
August - 8,834,741 (-64.3%)
September - 2,988,680 (-79.7%)
October - 4,633,636 (-68.8%)
= 54,489,886 (-70.6%)

 

 

2021 Attendance
January - 1,786,117 (-89.3%)
February - 3,111,920 (-57.8%)
March - 3,256,510 (+77%)
April - 2,562,143 (+163%)
May - 4,378,146 (+187%)
June - 4,927,991 (+27.5%)
July - 6,976,452 (-21%)
August - 7,910,074 (+24.1%)
September - 5,412,323 (-10.4%)
October - 5,192,073 (+12%)
= 45,515,232

 

() compare to previous year

------------------------------------------------

 

2020 vs 2021 (Feb to Oct )
+16.1%

 

2019 vs 2021
-75.4%

 

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58 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

2019 Attendance
January - 18,122,443
February - 22,277,733
March - 14,671,693
April - 13,338,962
May - 18,062,457
June - 22,845,579
July - 21,916,465
August - 24,786,121
September - 14,733,642
October - 14,858,383
= 185,613,478

 

2020 Attendance
January - 16,843,695
February - 7,372,370 (-67%) *Covid
March - 1,834,722 (-87.5%)
April - 972,572 (-92.7%)
May - 1,526,236 (-91.5%)
June - 3,864,533 (-83%)
July - 5,618,701 (-74.3%)
August - 8,834,741 (-64.3%)
September - 2,988,680 (-79.7%)
October - 4,633,636 (-68.8%)
= 54,489,886 (-70.6%)

 

 

2021 Attendance
January - 1,786,117 (-89.3%)
February - 3,111,920 (-57.8%)
March - 3,256,510 (+77%)
April - 2,562,143 (+163%)
May - 4,378,146 (+187%)
June - 4,927,991 (+27.5%)
July - 6,976,452 (-21%)
August - 7,910,074 (+24.1%)
September - 5,412,323 (-10.4%)
October - 5,192,073 (+12%)
= 45,515,232

 

() compare to previous year

------------------------------------------------

 

2020 vs 2021 (Feb to Oct )
+16.1%

 

2019 vs 2021
-75.4%

 

 

Wow! Comparing 2019 & 2021 Sep & Oct numbers, the admissions are almost just 1/3 what they used to be!! We're not talking about 20-25% pandemic downward pull but much much larger numbers.

 

Season 3 Ron GIF by Parks and Recreation

 

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11-11 Thursday
1. Eternals - 72,057 -19.5%  (1,964,459)
/ 6,796 showings
2. Tomb of the River - 24,720 -24.8% (59,625) / 2,360  showings
3. Dune - 17,349 -7.3% (1,073,432)  / 1,500 showings
4. Kimetsu no Yaiba: Kyoudai no Kizuna - 5,854 -56.1% (19,178) / 904 showings
5. The Addams Family 2 - 4,998 -36.9% (13,090) / 1,043  showings
7. Venom 2 -  2,525 -12.1% (2,095,245) / 382 showings

 

pretty much same drop as BW. (-20.8%)

 

KOBIS pre-sale 12:00 AM
1. Eternals - 94,815
2. Dune - 26,581
3. Only genre is romance - 21,271

Edited by imbruglia
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Second Week Friday to Sunday

 

Black Widow
88,114 (+33.4%)    
187,412 (+112.7%)
169,993 (-9.3%) 2,139,242

 

F9
66,361 (+34.7%)    
155,662 (134.6%)    
138,628 (-10.9%) 1,750,433

 

Venom 2
66,782 (+54.2%)    
146,651 (+119.6%)    
129,443 (-11.7%) 1,649,290  

 

Shang-Chi
49,797 (+33.1%)    
127,226 (+155.5%)    
120,466 (-5.3%) 1,226,628         
        
007 NTD
34,895 (+36.5%)    
81,909 (+134.7%)    
95,990 (+17.2%) 
67,512 (-29.7%) 1,048,708 *Monday, Substitute Holiday

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36 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

2019 vs 2021
-75.4%

thats not really an argument to be honest in 2019 you had 

in dollars

 

aladdin 91

lion king 35

captain  marvel 43

spiderman far from home 56

avengers endgame 105

joker  38

parasite 71

toy story 4 24

 and i dont even count frozen 2 

 

vs 2021 so far

 black widow 26

eternals 30 maybe

bond 10 

shang chi 16

venom 2 20 mill or so

 

i mean there is no comparison here, now i am not saying that covid hasnt affect things but the problem lies with the products themselves too,most of the 2021 slate is basically the 2020 one.Even before covid ,the 2020 slate didnt had that many blockbusters compare to 2019.In my opinion a more fair comparison would be the 2022 vs 2019

 

 

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5 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

I suggest a delay release to March 2022 if you all still want 10M admissions. I have tried hard to explain but unless Eternals break 4M, I can not think anything high than 5M for NWH. 

you do realise that this doesnt make sense right, thats a wrong way to judge a movie .Not every movie has the same ceiling dude check the 2019 mcu release in korea you had a movie breaking  40 while another movie came close to 110 and in that same year with endgame you also had toy story 4 that came with "only" 24 mill but then was followed by frozen 2 that made  95 mill there.

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7 minutes ago, john2000 said:

you do realise that this doesnt make sense right, thats a wrong way to judge a movie .Not every movie has the same ceiling dude check the 2019 mcu release in korea you had a movie breaking  40 while another movie came close to 110 and in that same year with endgame you also had toy story 4 that came with "only" 24 mill but then was followed by frozen 2 that made  95 mill there.

Sorry, I am not judging/ underestimating NWH. But, there must be a good reasoning like market is at 4M-5M. We can not compare situation like NTTD at UK or Mugen Train at Japan. NWH is neither a home franchise of Korea that it will blast at release. Also neither of rumour are confirmed at present. Atleast, for the present scenario consider 5M-7M as graph 📈

 

We will see if 10M is possible or not after pre-sale start. Till then, let us stop here.

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Just now, Issac Newton said:

Sorry, I am not judging/ underestimating NWH. But, there must be a good reasoning like market is at 4M-5M. We can not compare situation like NTTD at UK or Mugen Train at Japan. NWH is neither a home franchise of Korea that it will blast at release. Also neither of rumour are confirmed at present. Atleast, for the present scenario consider 5M-7M as graph 📈

 

We will see if 10M is possible or not after pre-sale start. Till then, let us stop here.

I wasnt talking about 10 mill , my bad here i should have make it clear.I was speaking in general i have no idea how spiderman will do in korea.

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4 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

I suggest a delay release to March 2022 if you all still want 10M admissions. I have tried hard to explain but unless Eternals break 4M, I can not think anything high than 5M for NWH. 

NWH will do much much much better than Eternals, it's a new EP vs a very popular hero with the last movie doing 8m. I am not saying 10m is realistic or on the card but saying that if Eternals only does 3.5m this means NWH can't go over 5m is a bit strange. Doing more than 35% better than an unknow super hero IP is always doable for a hyped spiderman movie. Obviously depending on the covid situation. I do agree with ur that going under FFH is likely and that korea current admission are a lot lower than precovid.

That said i do think over 5m is locked!

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6 hours ago, pepsa said:

Obviously depending on the covid situation. I do agree with ur that going under FFH is likely and that korea current admission are a lot lower than precovid.

Exactly, that's what I mean. We are actually not matching 2019 level (pre-CoVid19 /although we are a little higher than 2020). I don't have any issues in going up from 5M admissions. But, that 10M is really unreasonable as we are still vastly behind 2019 if we are really planning it to happen. I do consider Eternals as an new IP, but for a better comparison, I told Eternals need to break that 4M, so we can think anything higher for NWH. (Roughly, I meant that we can expect more mobilization in Dec release.)

 

I am just locked up 🔐 in 5M-7M mobilization here. Rest are definitely depending on pre-sales which would clear the uplimit forecast of NWH.

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Seems like 105-110K 2nd FRI. 575K (-50%) 2nd weekend is likely, total 2.54M by end of Sunday. Full run 3.35-3.5M possible. ($29-31M)

It started as 71% of Thor 3 on OD which was Cultural day and went on to 82% on Thursday, so that's more like real ratio, and now dailies are 68% of Thor Ragnarok, so WOM impact isn't that bad considering Thor 3 is one of the most loved MCU film, though in Korea it did just good.

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11-12 Friday
1. Eternals - 95,992 +32.9%  (2,060,596)
/ 7,198 showings
2. Tomb of the River - 27,249 +9.8% (86,980) / 2,458  showings
3. Dune - 26,122 +50.5% (1,099,557)  / 1,638 showings
4. The Addams Family 2 - 5,822 +16.2% (18,926) / 1,046  showings
5. Kimetsu no Yaiba: Kyoudai no Kizuna - 5,092 -12.9% (24,261) / 816 showings
6. Venom 2 -  3,373 +32.4% (2,098,640) / 412 showings

 

compare to last week's Friday
Eternals -57.6%
Dune -2%

 

KOBIS pre-sale 12:00 AM
1. Eternals - 111,244
2. Dune - 31,314
3. Only genre is romance - 22,995

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23 hours ago, john2000 said:

thats not really an argument to be honest in 2019 you had 

in dollars

 

i mean there is no comparison here, now i am not saying that covid hasnt affect things but the problem lies with the products themselves too,most of the 2021 slate is basically the 2020 one.Even before covid ,the 2020 slate didnt had that many blockbusters compare to 2019.In my opinion a more fair comparison would be the 2022 vs 2019

 

 

it wasn't that deep when I just copy and past it because I'm tired of reacting to basic question.

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