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South Korea Box Office

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Starting at 49k for Cultural day, last month i check Roundup making same amount of gross on first tuesday and wednesday ( cultural day) with 20% more admission in Tuesday. So it need only 82-84k cgv for same gross like Tuesday.

Edited by RJ-195
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CGV starts at 49k (up 81%)  very good start this should be increasing quite alot today. I am going to be honest I have no idea how walkups work on cultures day. I asume that walkups will atleast be on par with monday, this would give us 97k so I am going to go a bit higher than that => 105k meaning 226k meaning up 54% from yesterday.  That said might do a bit less or could do more I am not sure about this.

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47 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

Thor had press screening few hours ago, and the reactions are bad.

 

Oh.. Korea specific? SK tends to like Marvel movies so maybe this could be an audience and critic split but not a good sign for sure. Maybe the humor is a bit much?

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Midday update: 213k up 45%!!

 

CGV will finish at 99k. As a comparison last month Roundup only jumped 20% cultures day, this jump is more than twice as large.

This also means we will se a much bigger drop to morrow but I think we have a very healthy Monday to Thursday drop on our hands!

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39 minutes ago, The Dark Alfred said:

Great news. WoM is working nicely. What kind of overall weekend drops are we expecting?

Once we get CGV for Thursday it will be much more accurate but for now:

132k thursday

200k Friday

460k Saturday

410k Sunday

 

1070k vs 1127k of last week 3-day down 5%. But again thursday is very important here, if it comes in at 140k we have good shot at beating last weekend, if it comes in at 120k we are looking at something closer to 13-15% drop.

 

 

 

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6-29 Wednesday *Culture Day
1. Top Gun: Maverick - 208,177 (+41.7%) [2,037,585]
/ 5,678 Showings
2. Decision To Leave - 114,566 / 5,512 showings
3. The Witch: Part 2 - 51,012 (+12.7%) [2,387,585] / 2,407 Showings
4. The Roundup - 46,169 (+6.4%) [12,181,527] / 2,071 Showings
 
Presale 12:08 AM
1. Top Gun 2 - 236,954
2. Thor: Love and Thunder - 146,186 (D-06)
3. Decision To Leave - 77,497 
4. The Witch: Part 2 - 26,307
5. The Roundup - 18,372

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Looking good again for tomorrow starts with the exact same CGV as last weeks thursday.

CGV 28k => should translate in to 67-69k ish. Let's go with 67k meaning same walkups as last thursday. CGV ratio will be lower than on opening week so this translates to 142.5k (down 2.5%) Then again it's totaly possible that walkups are on par with tuesday and that would mean something more like 147k or up from last week.

 

With a Thursday down 2.5% I expect the weekend to increase over last weekend. Meaning depending on how it holds vs Thor we might have a 8m + movie on our hands :)

(Friday and Sat higher than last weekend, Sunday down probably)

Edited by pepsa
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6-30 Thursday
1. Top Gun: Maverick - 146,112 (-29.8%) [2,183,749]
/ 5,770 Showings
2. Decision To Leave - 63,029 (-45%) [187,836] / 5,184 showings
3. The Witch: Part 2 - 37,711 (-26.1%) [2,425,313] / 2,349 Showings
4. The Roundup - 35,009 (-24.2%) [12,216,520] / 2,014 Showings
 
Presale 
1. Top Gun 2 - 271,317
2. Thor: Love and Thunder - 167,258 (D-05)
3. Decision To Leave - 83,308 
4. The Witch: Part 2 - 30,123
5. The Roundup - 22,126

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Today's CGV start is very good, starting at 43k it's up 16% from last weeks 37k. I don't think walkups will be up 16% seeing as this thursdays walkups where a bit worst than last weeks.

 

So let's go with 102k estimate or good for 227k up 5% over last weeks friday. Lovely to see an increase!

Edited by pepsa
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2 hours ago, pepsa said:

Today's CGV start is very good, starting at 43k it's up 16% from last weeks 37k. I don't think walkups will be up 16% seeing as this thursdays walkups where a bit worst than last weeks.

 

So let's go with 102k estimate or good for 227k up 5% over last weeks friday. Lovely to see an increase!

If everything drop flat this weekend, this would mean 2.2x legs by the end of 2nd weekend, from 1.53m of opening weekend + preview admission. If Dune was any guidance, TGM will take a big hit in 3rd weekend by Thor 4 and stabilize from there. Currently I am aiming for a 6.5m admission total.  

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1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

If everything drop flat this weekend, this would mean 2.2x legs by the end of 2nd weekend, from 1.53m of opening weekend + preview admission. If Dune was any guidance, TGM will take a big hit in 3rd weekend by Thor 4 and stabilize from there. Currently I am aiming for a 6.5m admission total.  

Well friday will be up from last week, Saturday as well sunday will be flat => 227k friday, 515k satn 437k sunday. Totaling 3.363m throughout sunday. So yeah that 2.2 multi as you speak of. I am guessing Thor is currently matching Captain marvel ps + 25k (it losing ground little by little it had 30k lead 4 days ago). Meaning I am guessing Thor will end up around that 440k that Captain marvel managed to do. This would be down 55% + from DS: MoM.

 

MoM did 3.5m OW comming of 1040k PS => I would guess because of the second day holiday (meaning PS for Wed and Thursday were inflated compared to normal). Thor regnarok had a 2.5m opening. Captain marvel did 3m OW with it's PS. It's safe to say that PS matching it's won't match OW. I also think it won't match previous OW. Thinking it wil do about 2m.

 

So a tad bit more than what JWD opened to. Roundup managed to hold drop 35% sat to sat vs JWD, I am thinking TGM should be able to do the same. (It has been holding better than Roundup, but Thor will be more direct competition). So i am guessing 4.5m for TGM by next sunday.

Edited by pepsa
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