pepsa Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 Just now, Stewart said: EDIT: this forum fucked me again... editing atm BOT classic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 21 minutes ago, pepsa said: BOT classic Any time I tag someone, it always seems to post the message instead of letting me type. Also, once i finished editing and clicked save, it then showed up that the site had crashed. I was having a heart attack that what I just spent 20 minutes typing wouldn't actually save and I'd have to do it again. Thankfully it did go through though! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 1 hour ago, Stewart said: Oh, and of course this means Sunday has a chance to beat the previous Single day record as well. “Of course” 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said: “Of course” Well with spillover and normal drop it should cross 1.5m so yes it would beat the previous Single Day. ... oh wait... you were making a joke... haha lol totes funny HC: 27 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 Saturday beats Single Day Record: Admissions: 1,489,083 Total so far: 4,707,423 @pepsa we were wrong Anyway, beat single day and will adjust to over 1.5m. @Thanos Legion of course it won't 😢 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 Top 10 Biggest single day admissions 01. 1,489,083 <Avengers: Endgame> NEW! 02. 1,466,225 <Along with the gods: the last 49 days> 03. 1,338,777 <Avengers: Endgame> 04. 1,333,307 <Avengers: Infinity War> 05. 1,302,687 <Along with the gods: the last 49 days> 06. 1,282,013 <Train to Busan> 07. 1,268,537 <Along with the gods: The Two Cities> 08. 1,257,380 <Roaring Currents> 09. 1,246,603 <Along with the gods: the last 49 days> 10. 1,232,529 <Roaring Currents> 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 1 hour ago, Stewart said: umm... my graph went from a strong correlation to literally zero correlation... This makes no sense whatsoever - Endgame has broken me 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 Fastest to 4 million admissions (number of days) -Restricted to just 10 million admission films -4 days- Train to Busan (2016) Along with the gods: The Last 49 days (2018) Avengers: Endgame (2019) NEW! -5 days- Roaring currents (2014) A Taxi Driver (2017) Infinity War (2017) -6 days- Along with the gods: the two worlds (2017) -7 days- The Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) The Host (2006) Assassination (2015) -8 days- The Thieves (2012) Extreme Job (2019) -9 days- Veteran (2015) -10 days- Interstellar (2014) -11 days- Haeundae (2009) Avatar (2009) -12 days- Miracle in cell no.7 (2013) Ode to my Father (2014) -15 days- Frozen (2014) -16 days- Masquerade (2012)d 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
troyand Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 surprised at disappointing number, but it is still record breaking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 1 minute ago, troyand said: surprised at disappointing number, but it is still record breaking. Only Endgame can be record breaking but disappointing. I'm sorry to have failed everyone. That super high % was completely unexpected and all the data we had pointed towards something different. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
troyand Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, Stewart said: Only Endgame can be record breaking but disappointing. I'm sorry to have failed everyone. That super high % was completely unexpected and all the data we had pointed towards something different. Based on the average % of CGV, I was expecting at least high 1.5m and 6m+ admissions by Sunday. Now it seems impossible... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 1 minute ago, troyand said: Based on the average % of CGV, I was expecting at least high 1.5m and 6m+ admissions by Sunday. Now it seems impossible... Yes, both those should have happened. It is currently trending towards just about 1.3m Sunday and 6m total. Will be close call. Depending on legs, currently looking at O/U Avatar admissions wise I reckon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 I think correlations in box office tracking differ regarding the scale. Patterns that would make sense up to 1 million admissions suddenly don't work once it breaks that barrier and we have to find a new pattern. Which is why comparing to runs of comparable sizes maybe makes more sense. The movie most comparable in terms of BO size at this stage of the run is AWTG2 which managed a 36% increase over Friday. That was already huge and a record setter. Endgame increased by 42% so within the same echelon. AWTG2 dropped 11% on sunday but it had the benefit of summer legs, I'm leaning towards a slightly harsher drop for Endgame due to it being a normal workday. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Max Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, Stewart said: Yes, both those should have happened. It is currently trending towards just about 1.3m Sunday and 6m total. Will be close call. Depending on legs, currently looking at O/U Avatar admissions wise I reckon. Saturday Figure is $11.7 Million ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, Fish&chips said: I think correlations in box office tracking differ regarding the scale. Patterns that would make sense up to 1 million admissions suddenly don't work once it breaks that barrier and we have to find a new pattern. Which is why comparing to runs of comparable sizes maybe makes more sense. The movie most comparable in terms of BO size at this stage of the run is AWTG2 which managed a 36% increase over Friday. That was already huge and a record setter. Endgame increased by 42% so within the same echelon. AWTG2 dropped 11% on sunday but it had the benefit of summer legs, I'm leaning towards a slightly harsher drop for Endgame due to it being a normal workday. Presales coming in at 450k, indicating a -14% drop on Sunday. Exactly what I was predicting which would give O/U 1300k. Yeah, I guess the CGV comparison graph works for admissions in the range 800k-1200k, too low and the CGV caps at around 50%, too high and the comp just breaks down entirely. Still very weird this was the most CGV-heavy day for EG so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Sunny Max said: Saturday Figure is $11.7 Million ... Yes. All numbers we are providing here are in admissions. Admissions is the prominent figure used in SKBO Edited April 27, 2019 by Stewart 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Max Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 Just now, Stewart said: Everything is in admissions here. AEG Was Expected To Break The Record By Margin ... Then What Happened Actually ... At This Same Point AIW Was On $27.1 Million Total .. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 Endgame needs a sub 12% drop on Sunday to take the 3 day OW crown which looks tough. AWTG2 five day record of 6,193,754 admissions is out of reach too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Sunny Max said: AEG Was Expected To Break The Record By Margin ... Then What Happened Actually ... We were projecting from the data we had, no need to be rude about it. Yes our model broke down in this instance, but we nailed it yesterday! We've already apologised for the error and moved on. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted April 27, 2019 Share Posted April 27, 2019 so is Endgame making 100m USD? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...