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CJohn

Oz: The Great and the Powerful OS thread

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The problem is, in some countries they changed the title to make it even more generic and vague.

In Spain is something like "Oz: A Fantasy World".

The best way  to advertize for the movie around the world, would have been using Judy Garland singing some tunes from the 1939 movie. Probably legaly impossible.

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215M. 470M. :sadno: Will get 225M DOM so you are saying ONLY 245M OS?

 

Are you joining the Summer game?

yes

under 500m WW is my prediction based on the numbers on this board. It is forecast to get less OS than DOM.

 

its a flop. i dont count other ancillary revenues, as they are complicated to get profit, only the pure box office run to see if a film is profitable.

 

based on a film run, its a net negative, so its a flop.

Edited by Halba
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yes

under 500m WW is my prediction based on the numbers on this board. It is forecast to get less OS than DOM.

 

its a flop. i dont count other ancillary revenues, as they are complicated to get profit, only the pure box office run to see if a film is profitable.

 

based on a film run, its a net negative, so its a flop.

 

1) Not counting other sources is silly, studios don't care how much money from just one part of their revenues.

 

2) You don't actually know it will lose money from the theatrical run, we don't really know how yet how much it will gross yet, and we will never know how much of that the studio will make.

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1) Not counting other sources is silly, studios don't care how much money from just one part of their revenues.

 

2) You don't actually know it will lose money from the theatrical run, we don't really know how yet how much it will gross yet, and we will never know how much of that the studio will make.

Some studios make win/loss of all their movies public on a quarterly basis. So you can calculate whether a movie makes a profit by going through all the relevant quarters. Idon't know whether Disney does that too.

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Here's a look at Disney's 4th quarter report of 2012 ... look at the differences between segments! "Studio Entertainment" (which we're talking about here) is responsible for only between 10 and 15% of Disney's business. The "Media Network" sector is nearly 4 times as big! So, with current projections, no, Oz is not a flop and Disney will make money with it and there will be a sequel.

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Here's a look at Disney's 4th quarter report of 2012 ... look at the differences between segments! "Studio Entertainment" (which we're talking about here) is responsible for only between 10 and 15% of Disney's business. The "Media Network" sector is nearly 4 times as big! So, with current projections, no, Oz is not a flop and Disney will make money with it and there will be a sequel.

But they do not show how much money for instance Avengers has made in that quarter. Pinocchio has shown that Dreamworks (If I remeber correctly) shows that number for each movie generating revenue in that quarter. So you can accumulate all win/loss throught the quarters.That would be interesting, to see how much money they still make with Cars2.
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1) Not counting other sources is silly, studios don't care how much money from just one part of their revenues.

 

2) You don't actually know it will lose money from the theatrical run, we don't really know how yet how much it will gross yet, and we will never know how much of that the studio will make.

based on projections, it will gross up to 500m WW

 

the projections are usually accurate as its been open for a bit now.

 

at best ,its not profitable for the studio. the reviews pretty much have determined this one, pretty weak at 6/10 on RT. Rarely do poor reviewed films get a high box office unless its an established franchise like twilight. the last good ones with this sort of budget, were skyfall, hobbit and dark knight rises ,2 of which were around 90% RT(skyfall, tdkr) and hobbit was 65%. all three exceeded 1 bill WW.

 

with this sort of budget, $800m+ is what the studio should be aiming at. they failed in their projections and did not deliver(sam raimi has been disappointing with Spidey III and now this)

Edited by Halba
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But they do not show how much money for instance Avengers has made in that quarter. Pinocchio has shown that Dreamworks (If I remeber correctly) shows that number for each movie generating revenue in that quarter. So you can accumulate all win/loss throught the quarters.That would be interesting, to see how much money they still make with Cars2.

Yep, I just wanted to show how small the actual impact of boxoffice receipts is for Disney, and how important tv/theme parks. For a flop like John Carter, it will be difficult to recoup investments, but Oz is easily a winner for Disney.

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Yep, I just wanted to show how small the actual impact of boxoffice receipts is for Disney, and how important tv/theme parks. For a flop like John Carter, it will be difficult to recoup investments, but Oz is easily a winner for Disney.

Nicely said. Disney is much bigger than just its film division so a lot of their decisions will be based on what can help the overall business. Oz is a better fit for Disney, than JC, because of the whole fantasy aspect of it and its definitely more family oriented.
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When does it open in China? I think Oz can reach 250m excluding China, so 300m might be possible overall.

 

Easter is comming soon in EU and legs could be strong.

Don´t sell it short yet Fake

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1) Not counting other sources is silly, studios don't care how much money from just one part of their revenues.

 

2) You don't actually know it will lose money from the theatrical run, we don't really know how yet how much it will gross yet, and we will never know how much of that the studio will make.

 

Some people have one of these:

Posted Image

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based on projections, it will gross up to 500m WW

 

the projections are usually accurate as its been open for a bit now.

 

at best ,its not profitable for the studio. the reviews pretty much have determined this one, pretty weak at 6/10 on RT. Rarely do poor reviewed films get a high box office unless its an established franchise like twilight. the last good ones with this sort of budget, were skyfall, hobbit and dark knight rises ,2 of which were around 90% RT(skyfall, tdkr) and hobbit was 65%. all three exceeded 1 bill WW.

 

with this sort of budget, $800m+ is what the studio should be aiming at. they failed in their projections and did not deliver(sam raimi has been disappointing with Spidey III and now this)

Nearly 4X their production budget?

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