Ent Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 $375 - $425 M overseas. I don't see it pulling a FF6 or a TDKR, two 2d movies that hit that mark abroad. I also don't see it hitting bigger than the last Twilight ($537M for a 2d movie without China). HG CF doesn't strike me as those movies that will be equally extremely loved in Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Australia, The UK, Mexico, Brasil, Russia, China, South Korea (HG did 3.9 M there) and Japan. You need to hit big in every single of those markets or very big in all of them but one to have a chance to hit $550 M for a 2d movie...few movies hit that mark, fewer in 2d...the last ones being FF6 and Skyfall I am bumping what i have said in August. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
podo Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 South Korea OD - $460K (THG OD - $290K) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 So Brazil, China and SK combined are looking at around 40-50% increase. And these markets generally increase more than European markets. I think CF is heading for 400m-ish. Though admittedly it is very very early and final number could be anywhere in 350-500m region. Some European openings over next few days will give a better idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 South Korea OD - $460K (THG OD - $290K) Didn't you say it was 90% higher than THG here? Thursday Friend 2 (친구 2) 91,776 (673 Screens/3084 Showtimes) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 73,681 (581/2168) Marriage Blue (결혼전야) 55,605 (514/2273) The Fives (더 파이브) 27,200 (323/1182) Thor: The Dark World 22,927 (327/1179) Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 11,658 (309/661) Gravity 10,992 (178/444) Total Gravity 3,008,753/$27.4M Thor: The Dark World 2,743,607/$19.3M Friend 2 (친구 2) 1,863,266/$12.9M The Fives (더 파이브) 471,130/$3.2M Marriage Blue (결혼전야) 81,139/$490K The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 76,526/$460K Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 11,716/$80K Catching Fire OD is 90% higher than THG OD(39,051). Gravity passed 3M admissions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
podo Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Didn't you say it was 90% higher than THG here?Yes, in terms of admission. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Oh are exchange rates affecting the $? Goddammit why are exchange rates so bad now?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Oh are exchange rates affecting the $? Goddammit why are exchange rates so bad now?? Federal Reserve + Quantitative Easing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Oh are exchange rates affecting the $? Goddammit why are exchange rates so bad now?? Because dollar is getting stronger. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Unfortunate timing for CF then Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 OD in hongkong is 65% strongger than THG. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 (edited) Because dollar is getting stronger. Are you sure? The dollar became stronger 2 months ago when the Fed announced its QE policy would be progressively scaled back, but they recently announced they will go on with it until the US unemployment rate reaches 6.5%...So technically the dollar should be weaker, and currencies from Brazil, Turkey and a lot of countries should be strong. Maybe your data are outdated? Edited November 21, 2013 by Sonic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 1,2B Who the fuck hacked my account? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 In Russia it will easily double the first one! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Are you sure? The dollar became stronger 2 months ago when the Fed announced its QE policy would be progressively scaled back, but they recently announced they will go on with it until the US unemployment rate reaches 6.5%...So technically the dollar should be weaker, and currencies from Brazil, Turkey and a lot of countries should be strong. Maybe your data are outdated? Maybe... But dollar is still getting stronger in front of the brazilian real. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Who the fuck hacked my account? So, you didn't put down 1.2B? I think you should consider changing that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Too late now fmpro is stuck with that prediction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 OD increased 30% over THG in China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 OD increased 30% over THG in China. Ugh... in admissions or $? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Ugh... in admissions or $?$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 I'm at 600m as well if it's not too late to be added. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...