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CJohn

Thor 2 OS thread

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$500 - $550 M.

 

The duet Thor and Loki are more of a draw than CA, especially with women across South America and Asia. 

TA boost and IM3 trajectory suggests a 200+ % increase abroad.

 

I am convinced at 95% this movie will reach 800M worldwide... if not more...

 

With the date approaching, i have a feeling this movie will reach $600+ M abroad , which represents a 66% TA retention rate as opposed to the 90% made by IM3.

Edited by Ent
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While pretty much everybody agrees on the DOM figure ($220M-$230M),

I think its OS may be lower, $350M - $370M range. It will be competing

with a more youth-friendly CF. And in a few more weeks, HOBBIT2

will wipe it out.

LOL. CF isn't more youth friendly that any comic book movie that are by essence four quadrant movies attracting very Young children to teen to mature and old people.

 

CF doesn't come out before 3 to 4 weeks later overseas apart from the UK and Brasil (two weeks later) and doesn't have a broader mass appeal than Thor The Dark World has with families, Young and old. As for The Hobbit2, it doesn't come before 6 weeks later !  

 

How can it even hurt a movie out 6 weeks before it  that will finish its run by then ?  Fact is, TDW has virtually no serious competition abroad for a month and is the one with the best configuration when it comes to it.  It has even China for it alone while CF will share it with Gravity.

 

Plus CF is the one that has the least universal appeal, meaning it won't be big in all markets like the other two.  It will be big in LA, in certain markets in Europe a little less in Asia while both the Hobbit and TDW are bound to have a more uneven appeal in most markets. 

 

Lastly being caught between the two  makes CF more vulnerable and bound to be hurt by The Hobbit2 coming two weeks later.  

 

And finally, Marvel's movies don't even need that amount of time to reach gangbusters numbers.  Usually two to three weeks in are enough to make the bulk of their final overseas gross..

Edited by Ent
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