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Gopher

Aug. 17-19, 2012 Studio Weekend Estimates (coming in...)

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8/17

(Estimates) Saturday

8/18 Sunday

8/19 Monday

8/20 1 THE EXPENDABLES 2

Lionsgate

3,316 $10,500,000

-- / $3,166

$10,500,000 / 1

N/A

N/A

N/A 2 THE BOURNE LEGACY

Universal

3,753 $5,300,000

+73.6% / $1,412

$57,861,000 / 8

N/A

N/A

N/A 3 PARANORMAN

Focus Features

3,429 $4,560,000

-- / $1,330

$4,560,000 / 1

N/A

N/A

N/A 4 SPARKLE (2012)

TriStar

2,244 $4,550,000

-- / $2,028

$4,550,000 / 1

N/A

N/A

N/A 5 THE CAMPAIGN

Warner Bros.

3,255 $4,175,000

+69.5% / $1,283

$42,484,000 / 8

N/A

N/A

N/A 6 THE ODD LIFE OF TIMOTHY GREEN

Buena Vista

2,598 $3,403,000

+72.4% / $1,310

$7,681,000 / 3

N/A

N/A

N/A 7 THE DARK KNIGHT RISES

Warner Bros.

3,157 $3,125,000

+53.8% / $990

$401,901,000 / 29

N/A

N/A

N/A 8 HOPE SPRINGS

Sony / Columbia

2,361 $2,750,000

+76.6% / $1,165

$28,702,000 / 10

N/A

N/A

N/A 9 DIARY OF A WIMPY KID: DOG DAYS

Fox

2,737 $1,150,000

+27.7% / $420

$36,062,000 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A 10 TOTAL RECALL (2012)

Sony / Columbia

2,434 $1,050,000

+15.7% / $431

$49,332,000 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A 11 ICE AGE: CONTINENTAL DRIFT

Fox

2,274 $820,000

+12.3% / $361

$148,006,000 / 36

N/A

N/A

N/A - BRAVE

Buena Vista

641 $220,000

-3% / $343

$228,526,000 / 57

N/A

N/A

N/A - BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD

Fox Searchlight

236 $150,000

+55.5% / $636

$7,698,000 / 52

N/A

N/A

N/A - THE WATCH

Fox

513 $121,000

-48.2% / $236

$32,681,000 / 22

N/A

N/A

N/A - THE INTOUCHABLES (U.S.-ONLY)

Weinstein Company

194 $90,000

+64.1% / $464

$6,622,000 / 85

N/A

N/A

N/A - RUBY SPARKS

Fox Searchlight

218 $83,000

+41.6% / $381

$1,578,000 / 24

N/A

N/A

N/A -

-

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A << PREVIOUS

Edited by Gopher
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http://www.hollywood...stallone-363825

"Testosterone-fueled The Expendables 2 -- featuring a who's who of action stars -- might not be able to match the $34.8 million debut of the first film, but it's still widely expected to win the weekend crown and bump The Bourne Legacy from the top spot.

By early Friday evening, Expendables 2 was trailing the first Expendables, which opened on the same weekend in 2010 and quickly transformed into a sleeper hit after grossing $13.3 million on its first Friday."

TE2: 11/29

Paranorman: 17-18

Sparkle: 16+

That bold part is what worries me.

Thanks for making a thread.
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So TBL might actually be #4 this weekend?

Well it could have a smaller than expected drop and remain at #2. That would mean that Variety was right and it did cut into Ex2 box office.
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Hmmm I'm actually disappointed in all these early numbers!For EXP2, it's horrible considering its budget is 100 million.For Sparkle, considering that it's playing in about 1,200 less theaters than Paranorman and EXP2, and the fact that its budget is only 14 million, this is a solid debut even though I'm still hoping for an increase.For Paranorman, does anyone know the budget? For the huge amount of theaters it's playing in, I think it's a good enough number. But Sparkle for example would have a much higher per screen average than Paranorman if all these numbers hold.But wow @ EXP2, I'm surprised that it might not even match the first movie, especially since there are more stars in this one... anyways we'll see what happens to all these numbers as further updates arrive. Hopefully they all go up!

Edited by wboxoffice
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I had bought into an increase for TE2 earlier this year, but recently realized that the first one survived more on the novelty of all these aging action stars together than the fact that it was a good film. And it was good, just not good enough to elevate it beyond it's inherent gimmick-ness. A drop was most likely inevitable, so I'm not shocked by word that it is trailing TE on Friday evening.

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I don't understand why people are suprised with these numbers.

Paranorman and Sparkle are pretty much in line with expectations. People just expected waaay too much from TE2, the 50m and 60m+ OW expectations started popping up everywhere.
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Paranorman and Sparkle are pretty much in line with expectations. People just expected waaay too much from TE2, the 50m and 60m+ OW expectations started popping up everywhere.

When I said numbers, I meant expendable numbers. I think my 27 OW prediction could come close.
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this is the fourth weekend in a row that will be down double digits percent from last year. The slump continues.

Actually, even if TE2 opens to only Total Recall numbers, this weekend will ACTUALLY be up from last year. Last year's highest grosser was at $20M and the top ten totaled nearly $98M with the top twenty at $119M.

www.boxofficeguru.com/082211.htm

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I know that there are many reasons for TE2 to disappoint, but at least it puts clear water to the glass and no one can deny the Aurora effect. We can find good explanation for every single film that underperformed and I'm not ignoring these facts, nor blaming everything on the shooting (clearly its not effecting TE2 hugely), but it's clear as daylight that the market as a whole is still in the recovering phase. If Bourne misses 100m we'll have zero films hitting 100m this month. When was the last time that August failed to produce a single 100m grosser? Surely it was more than a decade ago.

Edited by The Dark Alfred
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