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Impact

CAYOM-Oscar by grosses

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In many ways it depends on how much the person doing actuals respects the predictions people make. In my case, I always start with an average of the OW predictions people make. Then I adjust up or down based on the kind of film, the reviews if any it gets, and my own opinion of the film's potential, but I never go too far up or down in OW unless I really think people got it wrong.

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Thing with Black as Night was that some were predicting a 45M OW. Which that seemed way off. If a Scorsese crime drama couldn't do that why would it?Anyway my computer is back! So best actor is next!

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Best Actor:

Year 1:

Rapture (Aaron Johnson) 10/14 (lim) 10/21 (Wide) 21,864,530 219,605,478 10% Drama R

The Seventh Seal (Tom Cruise) 12/9 47,116,583 128,579,640 36.6% Action PG-13

Barren World (Hugh Jackman) 3/11 32,668,400 124,853,264 26.2% Sci-Fi/Drama PG-13

Chronicle (Jared Leto) 8/26 28,122,587 123,732,138 22.7% Drama R

Hired Guns (Michael Fassbender) 8/19 34,867,313 118,224,329 29.5% Western R

Year 2:

U.S.S. Seawolf (Matt Damon) 7/27 50,977,362 172,045,876 29.6% Action/Drama R

The Few (Joseph Gordon-Levitt) 8/17 38,892,856 152,153,615 25.6% War PG-13

Trader Haters (Aaron Paul) 5/11 43,213,647 146,940,148 29.4% Sci-Fi/Drama R

Imperceptive (Jeff Bridges) 9/21 18,505,013 64,078,186 28.9% Sports/Drama PG-13

My Life to Waste (Chord Overstreet) 11/2 (lim) 11/16 (wide) 5,480,952 60,682,490 9% Romantic Drama R

Year 3:

The Coming Storm (Paul Bettany) 5/31 46,064,130 159,181,275 28.9% Action/Drama PG-13

Fatal Rendezvous (Robert Downey Jr.) 10/11 29,695,016 104,732,182 28.4% Crime R

Leitmotif (Tom Cruise) 12/13 (lim) 12/25 (wide) 12,420,101 69,774,690 17.8% Drama R

Summer Story (Ben Foster) 9/27 19,061,189 57,955,237 32.9% Drama R

Black as Night (Leonardo DiCaprio) 11/8 (lim) 11/22 (wide) 13,205,697 54,994,498 24% Crime Drama R

Year 4:

Alesia (Clive Owen) 12/19 65,258,466 251,367,546 26% War/Epic/Adventure R

The Simulation (Joseph Gordon-Levitt) 10/12 50,555,893 137,171,931 36.9% Sci-Fi PG-13

The Good Die Young (Emilie Hirsch) 10/3 20,137,154 96,801,642 20.8% War R

Citizen Hughes (Jim Carrey) 11/26 17,775,437 83,295,287 21.3% Drama/Biopic R

The Road Home (John C. Reilly) (12/5-Lim), (12/25-wide) 12,081,341 82,555,742 14.6% Drama R

Edited by Impact
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Best Actress:

Year 1:

Rapture (Elizabeth Gillies) 10/14 (lim) 10/21 (Wide) 21,864,530 219,605,478 10% Drama R

Alien-Nation (Christine Woods) 5/20 46,388,928 206,445,448 22.5% Sci-Fi PG-13

Interconnected (Emma Stone) 5/6 71,684,036 200,754,328 35.7% Sci-Fi PG-13

The Chrysalids (Jennifer Lawrence) 6/29 43,816,754 175,843,215 24.9% Horror/Thriller PG-13

American Idols (Rooney Mara) 11/11 (lim), 11/25 (wide) 6,138,952 44,706,492 13.7% Drama R

Year 2:

Eternal Sleep (Amy Adams) 9/28 20,782,255 87,693,470 23.6% Drama PG-13

Devotion (Emily Blunt) 11/16 26,195,840 85,044,969 Drama 30.8% PG-13

My Life to Waste (Amanda Seyfried) 11/2 (lim) 11/16 (wide) 5,480,952 60,682,490 9% Romantic Drama R

Year 3:

Nadia: A Perfect 10 (Chloe Mortez) 6/28 16,340,301 76,196,787 21.4% Sports Drama PG

The Dead of the House (Felicity Huffman) 7/12 (lim), 7/26 (wide) 6,980,018 67,471,233 10.3% Drama PG-13

Into the Breach (Melissa Leo) 8/9 12,997,780 55,802,604 23.3% Drama PG-13

Black as Night (Claire Forlani ) 11/8 (lim) 11/22 (wide) 13,205,697 54,994,498 24% Crime Drama R

Love in Poitiers (Meryl Streep) 11/27 (Lim), 12/20 (wide) 5,551,206 25,629,106 21.6% Drama PG-13

Year 4:

The Glass Castle (Chloe Moretz) 8/8 26,088,228 135,044,790 19.3% Drama PG-13

The Good Die Young (Jennifer Lawrence) 10/3 20,137,154 96,801,642 20.8% War R

The Road Home (Ellen Burstyn) (12/5-Lim), (12/25-wide) 12,081,341 82,555,742 14.6% Drama R

In the Line of Service (Cate Blanchett) 12/25 10,055,117 45,697,986 22% Drama/Bio PG-13

The Flowers of Arvika (Michelle Williams) 10/3 (lim), 10/17 (wide) 4,246,258 26,826,346 15.8% Foreign Drama PG-13

Edited by Impact
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