2015 Discussion Thread: Universal wins the calendar year | SW: TFA - biggest film domestic, 3rd biggest film worldwide

[Sims]

Expecting them both to suck donkey nuts, then?

 

 No, but there's no reason all three of those films couldn't have topped 350M, shit or not.

[Michael Gary Scott]

Please, tell me more about May 2007.

They all hurt each other obviously. Now it could have to do somewhat with quality of the films. I think out of all the movies Antman is in the most trouble.

[Jandrew]

All of those May 2007 movies were all vying for family audiences and adults more so with SM3 and Pirates. FD and MJ2 have two completely different fanbases.

Edited July 12, 2013 by jandrew

[Sims]

FD and MJ2 have two completely different fanbases.

 

No, they really don't.

[Empire]

Ant-Man will be such a great movie that it will survive and make money on great word of mouth.

 

Atleast, I hope that is the case.

[Jandrew]

No, they really don't.

 

You expect a buttload of 2010's kids and adults who grew up in the 2000's to see Mockingjay 2? And you expect a lot of hardcore book fans and more serious audiences to be at Finding Dory?

[John Marston]

FD will be fine because it will still be making big money all the way into Christmas. They know MJ2 will be hugely frontloaded so they have no fear putting it there. Same reason Marvel put Captain America a week after DH2

[Sims]

Ant-Man can go wherever they want it to. It won't make any difference when the film's going to bomb anyways.

[Michael Gary Scott]

You expect a buttload of 2010's kids and adults who grew up in the 2000's to see Mockingjay 2? And you expect a lot of hardcore book fans and more serious audiences to be at Finding Dory?

I think there are a lot of fans of both so yes I think they will hurt each other and your going to lose our FD bet lol

[Empire]

Ant-Man can go wherever they want it to. It won't make any difference when the film's going to bomb anyways.

Quiet you. It won't bomb.

[Sims]

You expect a buttload of 2010's kids and adults who grew up in the 2000's to see Mockingjay 2? And you expect a lot of hardcore book fans and more serious audiences to be at Finding Dory?

 

When those "hardcore book fans" are the same people who were children when Finding Nemo was released, yes.

[John Marston]

When those "hardcore book fans" are the same people who were children when Finding Nemo was released, yes.

 

 

they will all go and see MJ2 opening weekend and then find time to see Dory the rest of the holidays

[Jandrew]

When those "hardcore book fans" are the same people who were children when Finding Nemo was released, yes.

 

Then why doesn't Mockingjay pack up and move then? MJ2 will not be like the TA, its not going to steamroll everything after it. Not saying FD will either, but that has a more universal audience. With or without competition, I have a hard time seeing MJ2 go past $400M regardless. MJ2 will be darker, more serious (around happy Holidays), and the first was still a novelty so can't assume that people who saw it begin will care to see it end. If one is going to get hurt so bad, I don't see how its not MJ2. All this "MJ2 is going to destroy little Dory so it needs to pack up to Summer 2016" is the biggest bull.

[Michael Gary Scott]

Then why doesn't Mockingjay pack up and move then? MJ2 will not be like the TA, its not going to steamroll everything after it. Not saying FD will either, but that has a more universal audience. With or without competition, I have a hard time seeing MJ2 go past $400M regardless. MJ2 will be darker, more serious (around happy Holidays), and the first was still a novelty so can't assume that people who saw it begin will care to see it end. If one is going to get hurt so bad, I don't see how its not MJ2. All this "MJ2 is going to destroy little Dory so it needs to pack up to Summer 2016" is the biggest bull.

I want MJ2 to move cause I think FD and Skyfall will hurt it to a degree. Just move it to December.

[Neo]

Those saying no to Avatar 2 in 2015, remember less than a week ago the news of BA by 2017. So if he is starting on BA in 2017, wouldn't A2 and A3 have to be out by December 2016?

[iceroll]

Bump. Phew what a mission it was to get this un-deleted, you guys don't even know.

 

 

Anyway back to the topic, I wonder how Mockingjay 2 would do if it was released December 18th, between Alvin 4 (Dec. 11) and KFP 3 (Dec. 23). KFP 3 might have some overlap with MJ 2 but it would be completely safe from Alvin 4. Maybe it'll even have a 3x multiplier which would be unprecedented for a young adult fan-driven franchise.

[Neo]

• Ant-Man - 120M-140M
• Bond 24 -315-340M
• Untitled Peanuts Movie - N/A
• The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - Need to see MJ1, but ball parking at 375M-415M
• Finding Dory - 420M-475M

Edited July 13, 2013 by Neo

[Neo]

When, then ?

 

Summer is stacked and they won't push it to 2016.

Why not?

[Neo]

November 13th is still vacant so I imagine either Peanuts or Ant-Man will move to that slot, wouldn't be surprised,Another possible slot for Ant Man is December 18th, I think Disney needs to secure a slot before another studio like WB gets that slot for something like MoS 2 or a solo DC film.

 

3 movies in one weekend is a bit much.

[Neo]

There's no way MJ2 is going to move, Lionsgate already has each movie put into place for a reason. They won't budge. I see either Ant-man (since it's not a big film, yet and can afford to move) or FD moving.

 

Would move if DIS replaced Ant-Man with SW and Dory with TA2.