Jake Gittes Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Awesome for Flight (100M is locked) and Argo (140M locked).I really wouldn't throw those words together with those numbers around if I were you. Flight isn't locked for anything more than $75m right now and Argo has ways to go before reaching even $100m yet. We'll see what Skyfall and the pre-Thanksgiving weekend have to say about both of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fanboy Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Flight is going to have a PTA over $12,000. Hopefully it will get a big theatre expansion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I really wouldn't throw those words together with those numbers around if I were you. Flight isn't locked for anything more than $75m right now and Argo has ways to go before reaching even $100m yet. We'll see what Skyfall and the pre-Thanksgiving weekend have to say about both of them.75m and 100m respectively are locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 (edited) I really wouldn't throw those words together with those numbers around if I were you.Flight isn't locked for anything more than $75m right now and Argo has ways to go before reaching even $100m yet. We'll see what Skyfall and the pre-Thanksgiving weekend have to say about both of them.Fourth weekend:The Town: 6.4MArgo: 10.5M (with 40% Sunday drop)Cume after 4 wkns:The Town: 73.8MArgo: 76.1MThe Town went on to do 92M (73.8+18.2) in total. Even with TW later legs, Argo will do 106M (76.1+30[10.5/6.4 * 18.2]). Obviously, Argo is gonna hold much better than TW, with about half of TW wkn-wkn drop, so Argo gonna do 136M (76.1+60). Given some little Acamdey awards boost, 140M will be done when all is said and done.As for Flight, 24M OW from 1900 theaters pretty much equals 40M+ OW from 3700 theaters, with excellent wom, dont see how it can miss 100M. Edited November 4, 2012 by firedeep 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Is that a 150% bump for HCTB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 (edited) Fourth weekend:The Town: 6.4MArgo: 10.5M (with 40% Sunday drop)Cume after 4 wkns:The Town: 73.8MArgo: 76.1MThe Town went on to do 92M (73.8+18.2) in total. Even with TW later legs, Argo will do 106M (76.1+30[10.5/6.4 * 18.2]). Obviously, Argo is gonna hold much better than TW, with about half of TW wkn-wkn drop, so Argo gonna do 136M (76.1+60). Given some little Acamdey awards boost, 140M will be done when all is said and done.As for Flight, 24M OW from 1900 theaters pretty much equals 40M+ OW from 3700 theaters, with excellent wom, dont see how it can miss 100M.Argo has the Skyfall weekend and the pre-Thanksgiving weekend as its 5th and 6th weekends, whereas The Town had three weeks of total October desolation to itself after its fourth weekend. I believe Argo will be lucky to have sub-30% drops in the next two weekends (which would be great because most holdovers will fall much harder), and won't reach $100m until Thanksgiving weekend. Then there's the black Friday weekend, meaning a 40% drop at the very least for pretty much any movie. The way I see it, $100m is locked for Argo, $110m is likely, and there's an outside chance at $120m.And I have no idea where you pulled that $40m OW in 3700 theaters from. Regardless of PTA, Flight's OW is still $24m, and any movie that wants to make $100m off a $24m OW has to work long and hard to do it. There's still no guarantee Paramount will expand it enough to substantially affect its legs. I would agree about $100m being locked if Flight made $24m in 800 theaters a la Borat, but it's far from the same situation. Edited November 4, 2012 by Jake Gittes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 (edited) nm Edited November 4, 2012 by Jake Gittes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Amazing number from FLIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 We'll see. Valid points. Let's not forget Argo get a "A+‘ cinemascore, which doesnot happen that often. Things are different this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Argos a shoe in for 100 but 140 is imo impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Yup.... I think the target for Argo is 120M. That would be a very impressive result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I think 25.0 M is possible for FLIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Okay, 100m is a lock, 120m is a reasonable target but I wont rule out 140m yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 STUPID, DUMB PARAMOUNT! YOU GUYS HAD A 30M+ OPENER IN HANDS AND FUCK IT!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Bills don't pay themselves.Wrong. Lucy and Russell are friends of Rza and did the movie for him. It`s a known thing. It isn`t a bill payer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 STUPID, DUMB PARAMOUNT! YOU GUYS HAD A 30M+ OPENER IN HANDS AND FUCK IT!!!It would have been, at the very least, a 35/110 movie if it had opened in 2900-3100 theaters... might have even got into Safe House / American Gangster territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
youknowwho Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Expected result for WIR..excellent for Flight B)very good hold for Argo... dropping < 25% with direct competition in form of Flight(same target audience) is just 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice RZA's THE MAN WITH THE IRON FISTS booted up $8.2M in its 4th place debut. Expand [*] Reply [*] Retweet [*] Favorite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Cannot get Cloud Atlas out of my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Cannot get Cloud Atlas out of my head. Damn you, finnish distributors, for releasing Cloud Atlas here in february! Damn you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
