China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Gavin Feng]

Better Days just fucked 9.7/10 on Maoyan.

[Gavin Feng]

8.7 on douban

[HalloFromGermany]

Any early prediction on Terminator Dark Fate yet?

[efialtes76]

2 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

Better Days just fucked 9.7/10 on Maoyan.

Very good. 

What happens with Terminator? 

No shows listed yet... 

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, HalloFromGermany said:

Any early prediction on Terminator Dark Fate yet?

My guess is that it will we close to T5 which was 725m/$113m with average WoM.

725m is $103m at todays XR. It will need a 9.1+ rating to do more, low 8s will bring in less.

[efialtes76]

43 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

My guess is that it will we close to T5 which was 725m/$113m with average WoM.

725m is $103m at todays XR. It will need a 9.1+ rating to do more, low 8s will bring in less.

6 days before the release and Terminator has 0 shows listed. 

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, efialtes76 said:

6 days before the release and Terminator has 0 shows listed. 

Some shows are listed now 

[efialtes76]

14 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Some shows are listed now 

233...

Weird, very weird. 

[TigerPaw]

Better Days was announced on Tuesday (22nd Oct) to be released on Friday (25th Oct;I wonder how little marketing it has?

 

always enjoy a good box office run, it will slay competition for the next 3 weekends if the WoM reminds strong.

[Gavin Feng]

3 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

Very good. 

What happens with Terminator? 

No shows listed yet... 

should come out before Oct.28 because they arrange many press screenings on that day, which means confident. Tencent Pictures worked very hard on this one. Only thing I'm not sure is if audience have problem with female characters because fans are used to male central action movies.  

 

 

[Gavin Feng]

25 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Better Days was announced on Tuesday (22nd Oct) to be released on Friday (25th Oct;I wonder how little marketing it has?

 

always enjoy a good box office run, it will slay competition for the next 3 weekends if the WoM reminds strong.

This movie is allowed to do almost zero marketing as one of the conditions it could get a date.

 

Far From Home should "thank" for censorship.

[fmpro]

47 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

233...

Weird, very weird. 

It does not follow the typical 2-3 weeks of presales for Hollywood movies. Dont know whats wrong with this one..

 

is it a buy out movie?

[efialtes76]

51 minutes ago, fmpro said:

It does not follow the typical 2-3 weeks of presales for Hollywood movies. Dont know whats wrong with this one..

 

is it a buy out movie?

No, Tencent is one of the producers. 

[TigerPaw]

17 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

This movie is allowed to do almost zero marketing as one of the conditions it could get a date.

 

Far From Home should "thank" for censorship.

Thanks Gavin; is it suddenly placed on 25th Oct cause Once Upon A Time in Hollywood was dismissed?

[MrGlass2]

19 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

This movie is allowed to do almost zero marketing as one of the conditions it could get a date.

But why forbid marketing if the movie does get a release? They could just have kept the ban.

[Gavin Feng]

3 hours ago, TigerPaw said:

Thanks Gavin; is it suddenly placed on 25th Oct cause Once Upon A Time in Hollywood was dismissed?

 

I think no connection between Better Days & Once Upon a Time in HLW. The dismissal of Once Upon a Time in HLW is totally a accident. Better Days was supposed to get the date last week. The announcement on Tue is very crazy because most distributors couldn't even send their copies to theaters across the country in such a limited period of time. 

 

I heard Film Bureau actually have no problem with the Bruce Lee scenes. The only reason it was dismissed is Lee's daughter, a American citizen, talked with them. So the release of Once Upon a Time in HLW suddenly become something unacceptable because keeping releasing it would hurt the friendship between Chinese and American in a sensitive time(those leaders are negotiating for a deal on stopping trade war). If Shannon Lee is a Chinese citizen, Film Bureau wouldn't give a shit about her complaint.

[Gavin Feng]

1 hour ago, MrGlass2 said:

But why forbid marketing if the movie does get a release? They could just have kept the ban.

it's more like a result of compromise. Film Bureau don't have problem with it, but mostly they couldn't decide everything. Ministry of Education tried to stop them, so the original date of June 28th is gone. After all, most parts of Better Days is still existed in the new version, but it couldn't be notable before opening no matter how much money it would finally earn.

[MrGlass2]

Marketing or not, it looks like the ban didn't hurt at all - maybe the opposite.

 

2 hours ago, sfran43 said:

 

[POTUS 2020]

30 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Marketing or not, it looks like the ban didn't hurt at all - maybe the opposite.

 

 

 

Streisand effect.

The ban caused curiosity. WoM will take care of the rest. 

Marketing is overrated.  A good film will draw. 

A year with a lot of great films doesn't make much more than a year with a lot of bad tentpoles. They spend billions on marketing. Just throw a trailer on you tube and let it run imo

[Barnack]

47 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Streisand effect.

The ban caused curiosity. WoM will take care of the rest. 

Marketing is overrated.  A good film will draw. 

A year with a lot of great films doesn't make much more than a year with a lot of bad tentpoles. They spend billions on marketing. Just throw a trailer on you tube and let it run imo

 

That seem completely in contradiction, if a year with a lot of great films doesn't make much more than a year with a lot of bad tentpoles, that seem to show how important marketing spending is, much more than good film or not.