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China Box Office: General Discussion Thread (2019 the worst year for HLW)

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4 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

What can be the legs now?

Will be easier to predict on sunday but i would say standart 2 multiplier

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8 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said:

Looks like we've got another Detective Pikachu here. Mediocore score, mediocore opening, mediocore legs, mediocore everything.

..................... i am sure 40-50 ow for an (hollywood) animated film is mediocre ..................... same with 100 million final

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Just for the record, Frozen had a 9.5 on Maoyan.

 

9.2 could drop under 9.0. That does not mean it will have worse legs for sure. For example, Despicable me 3 had a 8.8 and was able to have over x2 multiplier. It opened to 444m and finished over 1 billion yuan. But it was Summer...

 

Said this, DM3 came after DM2's 323 million Yuan and Minions' 435m. And it was able to jump to billion territory. One could have imagined F2 making more than those probable 600m. IMHO, OK probable run, but that's all.

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45 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said:

Looks like we've got another Detective Pikachu here. Mediocore score, mediocore opening, mediocore legs, mediocore everything.

Pretty absurd. 9.2 isn’t mediocre by any stretch, even for animation. And the finish will be fine compared to Frozen 1.

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2 hours ago, john2000 said:

..................... i am sure 40-50 ow for an (hollywood) animated film is mediocre ..................... same with 100 million final

youre right. 

 

You need to take aniticipation/buzz into consideration though. Comparing Frozen2 with a random toon like Wonder Park is meanlingless.

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2 hours ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

But pikachu started with 8.8 on moayan! and 9.2  is decent enough for frozen .TLK still did good at 8.9 moayan .

Probably 2x multi .

 

Pure toon trends to score a little bit higher than live action family film.

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Saturday PS 38mn already. Shall clear 41mn I guess. Usual trend shall give 150mn Saturday. Even Sunday gonna clear OD PS 2 days out.

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Frozen2 9.1 on Maoyan after 23.4k ratings

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6 hours ago, fmpro said:

u mad whatever GIF

It all fairness maoyan scores are crazy. It's damn near impossible for American toon films to resonate there. Incredibles 2 did 51 million and it was a superhero film. It also had a lower Maoyan score and managed 2.44 legs.

Edited by cdsacken

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11 minutes ago, a2k said:

Frozen2 9.1 on Maoyan after 23.4k ratings

How many people often rate for a movie on Maoyan? 

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10 minutes ago, a2k said:

Frozen2 9.1 on Maoyan after 23.4k ratings

Incredibles 2 ended up at 8.9. love to see 9.0 or higher. Tough though

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OD has been sitting on 75 mill for a while. Either its correcting it self or no shows after 10pm

 

disapointing OD number and Maoyan score.

 

On the bright side we could be in for a huge saturday. Presales allready 50% + over OD

screens will also increase big and will be OD+40% during the weekend

Edited by fmpro
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17 minutes ago, fmpro said:

OD has been sitting on 75 mill for a while. Either its correcting it self or no shows after 10pm

 

disapointing OD number and Maoyan score.

 

On the bright side we could be in for a huge saturday. Presales allready 50% + over OD

screens will also increase big and will be OD+40% during the weekend

why no shows after 10pm???

and what does this mean? "will be OD+40% during the weekend"???

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34 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

It all fairness maoyan scores are crazy. It's damn near impossible for American toon films to resonate there. Incredibles 2 did 51 million and it was superhero film. It also had a lower Maoyan score and manages 2.44 legs.

its not a toon culture like japan or america.  Both local and HLWD seldom resonate to the masses.  lately 3 or 4 toons are in domestic's top ten, having comparable BO to SH's and other live action films.  China now has 10 movies clearing $200m every year as domestic started doing 10 years ago but are averaging just 1 toon per year over 1b/$150m.  Zoo was all time #1 for 3 years until NZ exploded, its not a HLWD toon issue

 

PSm should increase by 25% tomorrow and PS are on track to be up 60%. That will bring Sat close to a 100% bump.  Expect 4.75x Friday~

75m OD   just 3x PS

150m Sat

130m Sun

355m/$50.5m OW

 

Well we forecasted mid 20s PS and a $50m OW several days ago.  The metrics worked for a change😏

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1 minute ago, PKMLover said:

why no shows after 10pm???

and what does this mean? "will be OD+40% during the weekend"???

Number is frozen😉 on maoyan

 

OD has 36% of all screens in China. On sunday it could be over 50% of all screens

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