China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[expensiveho]

I wonder if SW will ever be able to recover in China. They gave it a chance with TFA and it's been complete rejection after that.

 

I know that at some point Disney will detach the brand from the Skywalker saga and that brands can come back from death but damn. 

[TigerPaw]

As expected, Sheep without Shepherd which is out for 6 days, will beat TROS on its opening day...

Edited December 19, 2019 by TigerPaw

[PKMLover]

Is F2 still on track for $120M at the end?

[Legion Again]

Uh, is it just me or is the SW pace today like.... really miserable?

[esmeralda]

8 hours ago, Justin4125 said:

I mean that's not necessarily how it works. The series has been on a steady decline in China. TLJ made less than Rogue One (which was also a spin-off). SW just doesnt really vibe with Chinese tastes, we have always known that. In a way its a success just to reverse the downward trend

 

These films just arent mega tentpoles in China, so the marketing doesnt quite work that way as it does in the US. The "finale" /"episode" bump will only work if the film really is an event, it just isnt an event in China

Rogue one has two popular Chinese actors, which helped its box office, I think. 

Edited December 19, 2019 by esmeralda
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[TigerPaw]

31 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Uh, is it just me or is the SW pace today like.... really miserable?

It is true, not sure whether it can hit 3x.

the Maoyan score is 7.8... Same as Jumanji, disaster..

[Legion Again]

I was wondering if it will hit 2.5x. I mean using 5.15 PS, it will have added about 2.5 by 16:00...

34 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

It is true, not sure whether it can hit 3x.

the Maoyan score is 7.8... Same as Jumanji, disaster..

 

[TigerPaw]

14 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

I was wondering if it will hit 2.5x. I mean using 5.15 PS, it will have added about 2.5 by 16:00...

 

 Barely any movement, really presales heavy movie, only fans are watching it. People at the theater lobby will not buy tickets for this, walk up is weak..

[ymblcza]

A decline today (from preview) will put 100m in danger😂😂🤣🤣😥😥

[TigerPaw]

1 hour ago, ymblcza said:

A decline today (from preview) will put 100m in danger😂😂🤣🤣😥😥

Ya, strong risk of decline actually... it’s moving like a snail thus far. Walk ups are pathetic.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

5 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Uh, is it just me or is the SW pace today like.... really miserable?

everyone knows that lol

[pepsa]

1 hour ago, TigerPaw said:

Ya, strong risk of decline actually... it’s moving like a snail thus far. Walk ups are pathetic.

Yep it's almost unprecedentedly bad.

Will finish around 12.5m today so below previews.

It could look something like this:

13m / 13m / 15m / 17m / 11m to get the godly 69m or about $9.85m USD

If this happens it has a good shot to continue the downwards trend of SW movie with each one grossing less than the previous one.

In USD atleast

Edited December 19, 2019 by pepsa

[POTUS 2020]

16 hours ago, pepsa said:

Well TLJ only made $42m so the drop will be less brutal than from TFA, SW isn't big here and also not well received.

Also it's not as bad as solo's $16m.

we'll see.  it has a chance

                                          

9 hours ago, PKMLover said:

Is F2 still on track for $120M at the end?

yes, as long as the show count is decent for the holidays

7 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Uh, is it just me or is the SW pace today like.... really  brutally miserable?

 

6 hours ago, TigerPaw said:

It is true, not sure whether it can hit 3x.

the Maoyan score is 7.8... Same as Jumanji, disaster..

Just 2.2x PS.  Oh my.  Crashing dailies are as much fun tracking popping daily BO

Can the PSm drop tomorrow? and Sat

$20m dead,  Shall we go for $15m?

 

Edited December 19, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[pepsa]

1 minute ago, POTUS 2020 said:

 

yes, as long as the show count is decent for the holidays

 

Just 2.2x PS.  Oh my.  Crashing dailies are as much fun tracking popping daily BO

Can the PSm drop tomorrow? and Sat

$20m dead,  Shall we go for $15m?

 

At this point it might as well. The previews on wed have been revised downwards (to 12.8m) and it will still easily be bigger than it's OD at 12m (might go down as well)?

So 12.8m / 12m / 15m / 20m / 13m (about $9.6m USD) for a 4.5 day weekend with out IP man breaking out. 

[POTUS 2020]

47 minutes ago, pepsa said:

At this point it might as well. The previews on wed have been revised downwards (to 12.8m) and it will still easily be bigger than it's OD at 12m (might go down as well)?

So 12.8m / 12m / 15m / 20m / 13m (about $9.6m USD) for a 4.5 day weekend with out IP man breaking out. 

PSm could stay flat or drop as the walkups dwindle, shows dropping from 84k to 50k.  May see a flat Friday, 

 

At least SW9 has beaten EG in one category...

 

 

OD PSm, but not by much

Edited December 19, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[Gavin Feng]

TROS to Solo(or any SW title to the previous one)

 

Spoiler

 

[charlie Jatinder]

I think ¥25mn Friday, ¥30mn Saturday and ¥21mn Sunday. ¥100mn 5 Days.

[pepsa]

9 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I think ¥25mn Friday, ¥30mn Saturday and ¥21mn Sunday. ¥100mn 5 Days.

Yesterday friday's PS were 27.2% ahead of Thursdays at T-1 day, totday it should be at 6.44m at midnight to have kept the same advantage. It's at 5.50m atm so with 2 more hours maybe 6m so it definityly lost a bit of it's steam. 

Edited December 19, 2019 by pepsa

[TigerPaw]

9 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Yesterday friday's PS were 27.2% ahead of Thursdays at T-1 day, totday it should be at 6.44m at midnight to have kept the same advantage. It's at 5.50m atm so with 2 more hours maybe 6m so it definityly lost a bit of it's steam. 

Do you count PS as of 12 midnight or 10pm? Just curious as Maoyan likes to use 10pm to predict PSm.

[pepsa]

3 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Do you count PS as of 12 midnight or 10pm? Just curious as Maoyan likes to use 10pm to predict PSm.

I mostly report them from MN and then once more at 3am.