China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[charlie Jatinder]

13 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

So, we will officially have our first $100m OW of 2020! 

 

I hope legs will be good enough to it cross $250m. 

Nope weekend will be $72-74mn.

[john2000]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Nope weekend will be $72-74mn.

that would be very very good 

Edited August 22, 2020 by john2000

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

It's going to open around $110m counting previews, if it didn't have them, it would still had come closer to $100m on OW, the demand is real. What truly matters is that the market is producing a hit, and that's what matters after all.

[charlie Jatinder]

$29.2mn Saturday. $81mn cume.

 

PS for tomorrow suggest flat Sunday.

Edited August 22, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

Ok, so it eventually crossed ¥200mn. Fuck Maoyan hourly numbers. Its sad we lost such a good real time system which actually used to make sense. Now it can surprise you any way.

 

The official China Box Office is still at ¥197mn, but I guess it can reach there.

 

PS for tomorrow suggest ¥200-220mn. Overall weekend ¥535-555mn ($77-80mn). 

 

I expect $275mn full run.

[keysersoze123]

That is sensational. No movie in any other country would come close to these numbers. While the BO is not back to normal could this be the year where China total BO > Domestic BO in $ terms?

[charlie Jatinder]

55 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

That is sensational. No movie in any other country would come close to these numbers. While the BO is not back to normal could this be the year where China total BO > Domestic BO in $ terms?

Even if Domestic somehow manage to lead, it will be close between USA & China.

[charlie Jatinder]

Yep, at 12:00 CST looks easy 200mn.

[charlie Jatinder]

Edited August 23, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[Legion Again]

I think DOM has very little chance this year. But naturally comes with a huge asterisk.

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

I think DOM has very little chance this year. But naturally comes with a huge asterisk.

To be fair COVID hit everyone and China was where it all started. So how can we put a asterix. 

[charlie Jatinder]

	2020	2019	% +/-	2019	2020
January	¥2,242,958,600	¥3,378,975,800	-33.62%	$496,908,206	$324,126,965
February	¥119,100	¥11,164,331,400	-100.00%	$1,655,201,097	$17,014
March	¥384,500	¥4,160,692,800	-99.99%	$619,150,714	$54,929
April	¥11,200	¥4,723,836,800	-100.00%	$701,907,400	$1,600
May	¥8,900	¥3,716,825,300	-100.00%	$546,591,956	$1,271
June	¥22,900	¥4,186,114,000	-100.00%	$608,446,802	$3,271
July	¥208,486,500	¥5,756,227,600	-96.38%	$836,660,988	$29,783,786
01-22 Aug	¥1,248,555,900	¥6,070,001,600	-79.43%	$863,442,617	$180,166,797
23-31 Aug	¥1,600,000,000	¥1,765,173,400	-9.36%	$248,266,301	$231,213,873
September		¥3,596,174,800		$502,961,510
October		¥8,315,947,500		$1,167,970,154
November		¥3,237,066,200		$459,810,540
December		¥4,078,357,000		$582,622,429
	¥5,300,547,600	¥64,149,724,200		$9,289,940,715	$765,369,506

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

To be fair COVID hit everyone and China was where it all started. So how can we put a asterix. 

I mean yeah, USA was missing $10 Billion this year and perhaps China had a chance with strong local content in normalcy.

 

but 2020 don't belong to record books I guess.

[Legion Again]

16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

To be fair COVID hit everyone and China was where it all started. So how can we put a asterix. 

Not sure if serious. Regardless of where covid hit and when, the whole year has almost no relationship to general BO strength of a market. When people ask “when will China pass DOM” this is clearly not what’s meant imo. 
 

Thus, asterisk.

[charlie Jatinder]

At 17:00 142mn. Maoyan is going very smooth today. Official CBO is 128mn, which means its almost accurate. Should go for 215-220mn ($31-32mn).

 

Monday PS are pretty good. I am expecting 130-140mn ($18.75-20.25mn) Monday. Tuesday will have huge cut in showcount. Monday will have 135k shows, Tuesday will go around 75-80k. Ne Zha occupancy doubled last year from 17% to 35%, expecting same here, that will give 150-160mn Tuesday. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Maoyan numbers: $32.5mn Sunday, $82.5mn weekend and $115.7mn till Sunday.

 

Official CBO website: $32.5mn Sunday, $82.5mn weekend, $115mn till Sunday.

 

Official CBO App: $32.5 Sunday, $80.3mn weekend, $113mn till Sunday.

[charlie Jatinder]

Pre-sales for Monday are crazy good. Should go for ¥175mn ($25mn) Monday.

[Liiviig 1998]

Final total projections for 800?

[stephanos13]

So which is the total? I have seen tweets from Gitesh and others saying $107M and others $116M. Which numbers are true?

[charlie Jatinder]

20 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Final total projections for 800?

Easy 300mn plus. I think $350mn.