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China Box Office: General Discussion Thread (2019 the worst year for HLW)

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13 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

So, we will officially have our first $100m OW of 2020! :ohmygod:

 

I hope legs will be good enough to it cross $250m. 

Nope weekend will be $72-74mn.

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Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Nope weekend will be $72-74mn.

that would be very very good 

Edited by john2000

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It's going to open around $110m counting previews, if it didn't have them, it would still had come closer to $100m on OW, the demand is real. What truly matters is that the market is producing a hit, and that's what matters after all.

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Posted (edited)

$29.2mn Saturday. $81mn cume.

 

PS for tomorrow suggest flat Sunday.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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Ok, so it eventually crossed ¥200mn. Fuck Maoyan hourly numbers. Its sad we lost such a good real time system which actually used to make sense. Now it can surprise you any way.

 

The official China Box Office is still at ¥197mn, but I guess it can reach there.

 

PS for tomorrow suggest ¥200-220mn. Overall weekend ¥535-555mn ($77-80mn). 

 

I expect $275mn full run.

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That is sensational. No movie in any other country would come close to these numbers. While the BO is not back to normal could this be the year where China total BO > Domestic BO in $ terms?

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55 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

That is sensational. No movie in any other country would come close to these numbers. While the BO is not back to normal could this be the year where China total BO > Domestic BO in $ terms?

Even if Domestic somehow manage to lead, it will be close between USA & China.

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Posted (edited)


Edited by charlie Jatinder

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I think DOM has very little chance this year. But naturally comes with a huge asterisk.

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5 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

I think DOM has very little chance this year. But naturally comes with a huge asterisk.

To be fair COVID hit everyone and China was where it all started. So how can we put a asterix. 

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  2020 2019 % +/- 2019 2020
January ¥2,242,958,600 ¥3,378,975,800 -33.62% $496,908,206 $324,126,965
February ¥119,100 ¥11,164,331,400 -100.00% $1,655,201,097 $17,014
March ¥384,500 ¥4,160,692,800 -99.99% $619,150,714 $54,929
April ¥11,200 ¥4,723,836,800 -100.00% $701,907,400 $1,600
May ¥8,900 ¥3,716,825,300 -100.00% $546,591,956 $1,271
June ¥22,900 ¥4,186,114,000 -100.00% $608,446,802 $3,271
July ¥208,486,500 ¥5,756,227,600 -96.38% $836,660,988 $29,783,786
01-22 Aug ¥1,248,555,900 ¥6,070,001,600 -79.43% $863,442,617 $180,166,797
23-31 Aug ¥1,600,000,000 ¥1,765,173,400 -9.36% $248,266,301 $231,213,873
September   ¥3,596,174,800   $502,961,510  
October   ¥8,315,947,500   $1,167,970,154  
November   ¥3,237,066,200   $459,810,540  
December   ¥4,078,357,000   $582,622,429  
           
  ¥5,300,547,600 ¥64,149,724,200   $9,289,940,715 $765,369,506
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4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

To be fair COVID hit everyone and China was where it all started. So how can we put a asterix. 

I mean yeah, USA was missing $10 Billion this year and perhaps China had a chance with strong local content in normalcy.

 

but 2020 don't belong to record books I guess.

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16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

To be fair COVID hit everyone and China was where it all started. So how can we put a asterix. 

Not sure if serious. Regardless of where covid hit and when, the whole year has almost no relationship to general BO strength of a market. When people ask “when will China pass DOM” this is clearly not what’s meant imo. 
 

Thus, asterisk.

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At 17:00 142mn. Maoyan is going very smooth today. Official CBO is 128mn, which means its almost accurate. Should go for 215-220mn ($31-32mn).

 

Monday PS are pretty good. I am expecting 130-140mn ($18.75-20.25mn) Monday. Tuesday will have huge cut in showcount. Monday will have 135k shows, Tuesday will go around 75-80k. Ne Zha occupancy doubled last year from 17% to 35%, expecting same here, that will give 150-160mn Tuesday. 

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Maoyan numbers: $32.5mn Sunday, $82.5mn weekend and $115.7mn till Sunday.

 

Official CBO website: $32.5mn Sunday, $82.5mn weekend, $115mn till Sunday.

 

Official CBO App: $32.5 Sunday, $80.3mn weekend, $113mn till Sunday.

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So which is the total? I have seen tweets from Gitesh and others saying $107M and others $116M. Which numbers are true?

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20 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Final total projections for 800?

Easy 300mn plus. I think $350mn.

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