China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[fmpro]

6 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

1400 we have a 3 way race.

NG  55m The most in PS this morning but has just a 4m run rate and if its PS heavy in the evening, the rate could slow,. 90-105m PS multi; 2.1

BF   49m  4m run rate and it may hold constant since its a toon. 90-100m  PS multi 2.7

CW2 48m  had the lowest PS but has the highest hourly run rate at 5m and that rate should increase after 6pm. 95-105m  PS multi; 2.8

TMNT2 on its way to 10-11m down 88% WoW

NYSM2 heading to 3-5-4m  -90%

Bount Hunter 3m -93%

ID2 1.5m -93%

FD 350k  -93%

Three 70k will fall short of 100m unless they fudge

 

Edit

BF and NG slowing down, either PS heavy or less evening shows. CW2 is picking up steam as it should since it skews older.

CW 95-100m

NG  80-85m

BF  70-75m

 

PS for all 3 are almost identical for tomorrow. CW will probably take the weekend. BF second

 

 

 

Looks like TMNT will do around 11 mill atleast. And your updated numbers for the 3*OD seems pretty spot on 

[Olive]

Friday Est

Cold War - 98.9M (4.65M midnights)

Never Gone - 84.3M (2.55M midnights)

Big Fish - 74.6M (1.9M midnights)

Turtles - 11.85M/299M

NYSM2 - 3.24M/607M

IDR - 1.55M/486M

[Lihongkim]

I have overestimated So Young 2, beating Book of Love is dead now. Even topping its predecessor is no way. Surely, it had highest PS but ended up lower than expectation. 

 

 

[POTUS 2020]

Midday projections

 

CW2 95-100m close to flat which happens often for summer locals

BF  85-90m  Small bump for a toon

NG  50-55m  Big frontload or bad Wom

TMNT2 19m

NYSM2 4m

ID2 2m

FD 1.5m

Weekend will fall short of 1B. With NG falling hard and next weekends openers looking to be small, this July is pacing to be down YoY. Not good considering there are 5 full weekends this July giving it a 300m advantage

 

Edited July 9, 2016 by No Prisoners

[Polaroids]

5 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Midday projections

 

CW2 95-100m close to flat which happens often for summer locals

BF  85-90m  Small bump for a toon

NG  50-55m  Big frontload or bad Wom

TMNT2 19m

NYSM2 4m

ID2 2m

FD 1.5m

Weekend will fall short of 1B. With NG falling hard and next weekends openers looking to be small, this July is pacing to be down YoY. Not good considering there are 5 full weekends this July giving it a 300m advantage

 

It's both with the latter being a systematic attack against the male lead of the movie. Someone's out to get the guy and/or the movie. "Never Gone download links" trended #1 on Weibo today with links to the movie. Surprised that CW2 is doing well when I've seen reviews say it wasn't good. Hope Big Fish picks up since it's a passion project for the producers and they've been wanting to release it since over a decade ago.

Edited July 9, 2016 by Polaroids

[TigerPaw]

1 hour ago, Polaroids said:

It's both with the latter being a systematic attack against the male lead of the movie. Someone's out to get the guy and/or the movie. "Never Gone download links" trended #1 on Weibo today with links to the movie. Surprised that CW2 is doing well when I've seen reviews say it wasn't good. Hope Big Fish picks up since it's a passion project for the producers and they've been wanting to release it since over a decade ago.

I have seen some leaked footage on weibo, Kris Wu really can't act. Gosh... 
And Liu Yi Fei is box office poison. =(

[Olive]

Saturday Est
Cold War - 96M/196m

Big Fish - 76.5M /150m
Never Gone - 52.5m/134m
Turtles - 16.9M/317M
NYSM2 - 4.5M/617M
IDR - 2.6M/489M

Droy - 1.3m/250m

[Olive]

Sunday Est
Cold War - 95.8M/299m
Big Fish - 75.3M /228m
Never Gone - 42.4m/178m
Turtles - 17.6M/335M
NYSM2 - 4.8M/617M
IDR - 2.685M/492M
Droy - 1.6m/252m

 

Fudge, fudge everywhere...

[picores]

Predictions for Tarzan?

[fmpro]

30-40 mill $ IMO

[James]

I have one question: is Conjuring 2 getting released in China?

[Lihongkim]

On 7/9/2016 at 8:29 PM, TigerPaw said:

I have seen some leaked footage on weibo, Kris Wu really can't act. Gosh... 
And Liu Yi Fei is box office poison. =(

His acting in SOWK last year is fine but this Never Gone's acting is so poor. SO DISAPPOINTED! 

It won't make half of So Young's BO 3 years ago. EMBARRASSING! 

 

July will be down for sure. This weekend openers are far from last year MH, JBM & TMK, still wait to see if Skiptrace & League of Gods next- next week can save it. Looks like it won't. 

[NCsoft]

3 hours ago, Lihongkim said:

His acting in SOWK last year is fine but this Never Gone's acting is so poor. SO DISAPPOINTED! 

It won't make half of So Young's BO 3 years ago. EMBARRASSING! 

 

July will be down for sure. This weekend openers are far from last year MH, JBM & TMK, still wait to see if Skiptrace & League of Gods next- next week can save it. Looks like it won't. 

 

Judging by the trailer League of gods looked abysmal, I don't think Chinese audiences easily fall for bad quality like that anymore, they are really getting more selective.

[Olive]

Monday Est
Cold War - 48M/346m
Big Fish - 39.5M /267m
Never Gone - 21m/199.5m
Turtles - 8.5M/344M
NYSM2 - 2.9M/620M
IDR - 1.4M/493M
Droy - 0.4m/252.5m

[efialtes76]

1 hour ago, NCsoft said:

 

Judging by the trailer League of gods looked abysmal, I don't think Chinese audiences easily fall for bad quality like that anymore, they are really getting more selective.

Skiptrace looks even worse...

[NCsoft]

25 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Skiptrace looks even worse...

Oh really? I'll have to check that trailer out, haven't paid much attention to that one at all.

[Nova]

5 hours ago, James said:

I have one question: is Conjuring 2 getting released in China?

I doubt it simply because of the Ghost premise. Ghostbusters couldn't get a release here despite the name change so I doubt The Conjuring 2 would. However I'm basing this answer off of the Chinese censors and nothing with certainty. 

[Mojoguy]

Wait, China isn't getting Ghostbusters?

[Mojoguy]

China Lifts Summer Blackout on Hollywood Films Amid Box-Office Slowdown

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-lifts-summer-blackout-hollywood-909264

After years of blocking Hollywood movies during the peak summer blockbuster season, why is China letting a few foreign tentpoles back in?

China's film authorities appear to be taking a step back from one of Hollywood's least favorite policies.

For years, Chinese regulators have imposed a blackout on foreign-film imports during the peak summer blockbuster season. Known locally as a "domestic movie protection period," the policy was designed to boost the local industry by giving Chinese-made movies an uncontested run at cinemas during the summer school break, which lasts roughly from late June through August. Additional blackouts are instituted during Chinese New Year in February and during the Golden Week holiday in October.

Last year's summer blackout ran June 19-Aug. 23. It had the desired effect: Raman Hui's CGI-live-action fantasy Monster Hunt grossed $385.2 million to become China's then-biggest film ever, and other local pictures like Monkey King and superhero spoof Pancake Man earned over $150 million each.

But regulators have loosened their grip this summer. According to precedents set in recent years, Independence Day: Resurgence, released June 24, should have been the last Hollywood tentpole to market, but instead Paramount's Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows was granted a July 2 release date (it easily won the weekend against a China-Korea co-production). More surprising, Warner Bros.' The Legend of Tarzan has been scheduled for July 19 — Alexander Skarsgard and Margot Robbie were in Beijing promoting the movie Thursday night — and Universal's The Secret Life of Pets is set for Aug. 2. Chinese production companies will then get a reprieve until Ice Age: Collision Course comes out on Aug. 23 and Jason Bourne bows on Sept. 1.

[Durden]

1 hour ago, Mojoguy said:

Wait, China isn't getting Ghostbusters?

 

This is true ?