China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Gavin Feng]

THU estimates
 
before service charges
Dangal  -  15.6m / 792.6m

Pirates 5  -  14.2m(midnights)
Life  -  5.64m / 110.9m
Guardians of the Galaxy 2  -  4.71m / 636m
Fate of the Furious  -  0.91m / 2,538m
Guardians  -  0.61m / 18.7m
A Monster Calls  -  0.59m / 12.8m
 
after service charges

Dangal  -  16.9m / 863.4m

Pirates 5  -  15m(midnights)
Life  -  6.1m / 120.6m
Guardians of the Galaxy 2  -  5.05m / 677.9m
Fate of the Furious  -  0.97m / 2,691m
Guardians  -  0.71m / 19.7m
A Monster Calls  -  0.65m / 14m

[keysersoze123]

Pirates midnight number is fantastic. But its PS is not great. It needs a great PS multi to have a par OD.  Dangal has slowed down and I think will stop around 1B yuan. Still fantastic run. Guardians will slow down considerably and will either barely make or miss 100m USD. Legs were not bad but overall run is meh.

[Olive]

Maoyan prediction

POTC5 -120M not including midnights

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, Olive said:

Maoyan prediction

POTC5 -120M not including midnights

PS at 46.6m. That's 2.6x like WC. 

I'll stick with 3x minimum 140m. Maybe 150m.

WW looking weak so far. 

Dangal just 15m tomorrow.

Demand steam running out 

Edited May 25, 2017 by POTUS

[WeneedtotalkaboutKevin]

11 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

THU estimates
 
before service charges
Dangal  -  15.6m / 792.6m

Pirates 5  -  14.2m(midnights)
Life  -  5.64m / 110.9m
Guardians of the Galaxy 2  -  4.71m / 636m
Fate of the Furious  -  0.91m / 2,538m
Guardians  -  0.61m / 18.7m
A Monster Calls  -  0.59m / 12.8m
 
after service charges

Dangal  -  16.9m / 863.4m

Pirates 5  -  15m(midnights)
Life  -  6.1m / 120.6m
Guardians of the Galaxy 2  -  5.05m / 677.9m
Fate of the Furious  -  0.97m / 2,691m
Guardians  -  0.71m / 19.7m
A Monster Calls  -  0.65m / 14m

In Wonder Woman thread, someone said that Wonder Woman would flop in China. Do you have any pre-sales number for comparison ?  But, that is not surprising at all, TBH.

[Gavin Feng]

36 minutes ago, WeneedtotalkaboutKevin said:

In Wonder Woman thread, someone said that Wonder Woman would flop in China. Do you have any pre-sales number for comparison ?  But, that is not surprising at all, TBH.

The pre-sale started yesterday and we cant make conclusion so early. I only know WW marketing in China is fucking great and better than Pirates5+Mummy+GotG2 even if its official weibo made some stupid issues. Tencent+Wanda, who earned the chance for WW holding previews on May.31, are good partners of WB.

[TigerPaw]

WoM for Pirates seems to be great... Score of 9 on Maoyan,,, not bad at all.

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

WoM for Pirates seems to be great... Score of 9 on Maoyan,,, not bad at all.

 

Douban its already at 7.6. Maoyan is always high. Guardians started at 9.3.

 

Anyway its off to a fast start. Already at 58.3m and climbing. As @POTUS said its going to open to 140-150m. Big question is how the legs will be. Tomorrow its showcount is down 15%.

Edited May 26, 2017 by keysersoze123

[KP1025]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Douban its already at 7.6. Maoyan is always high. Guardians started at 9.3.

 

Is that a decent score for Douban? Fate of the Furious is 7.2 on the site.

[keysersoze123]

Just now, KP1025 said:

 

Is that a decent score for Douban? Fate of the Furious is 7.2 on the site.

 

Its just a start. Score always keeps going down. Fate did not have a great run anyway.

[John Marston]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Its just a start. Score always keeps going down. Fate did not have a great run anyway.

 

 

lol

 

[keysersoze123]

7 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

lol

 

 

True. Just look at its 1st Mon to thur drops. It crashed 20% every day. That is not a great run. It also had open run till Guardians opened. If it behaved remotely like F7 it would have grossed 3B+.

[John Marston]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

 

True. Just look at its 1st Mon to thur drops. It crashed 20% every day. That is not a great run. It also had open run till Guardians opened. If it behaved remotely like F7 it would have grossed 3B+.

 

 

it's still a sequel with a rushed upfront audience (which is true everywhere) and it made a crazy amount of money. 

[Gavin Feng]

1 hour ago, TigerPaw said:

WoM for Pirates seems to be great... Score of 9 on Maoyan,,, not bad at all.

Shit…I still don’t buy my ticket after seeing what critics said.

[keysersoze123]

54 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

it's still a sequel with a rushed upfront audience (which is true everywhere) and it made a crazy amount of money. 

 

Wasn't F7 a sequel as well?

[John Marston]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

 

Wasn't F7 a sequel as well?

 

 

Yes and like most blockbusters in China it made about 50% of its total opening week it looks like 

[keysersoze123]

doubling 7 day gross is fantastic. Most movies struggle to double even 3 day gross. F7 did great and had great 2nd/3rd/4rth weekend holds. Both F7 and Fate had open runs as well. Fate benefited from screen expansion to finish slightly higher than F7.

 

I am not saying Fate's gross was bad. Just that it was not leggy.

[Gavin Feng]

local filmmaker begged theaters to give more showtimes for their “good film” Edge of Innocence. The films producer Ann An said this on Weibo:

 

We made many good films like Perhaps Love, 14 Blades, Ip Man 1&2, Tiny Time 1&2, Zhong Kui and so on. All of them earned great WOM from audience. We do solid work and never ask for help from others, which is a very valuable spirit in China film industry. We spend two years to make the film called Edge of Innocence. It earns 9.1 on Maoyan(previews. It will open on Tomorrow). It changed its release date because of actor/actress changing, and was in trouble like budget shortfalls. But those difficulties offered us the great power to make a great work. (actor/actress are good and bla bla bla) It’s a good film no matter which way you review it. But it only has 5.5% showtimes on opening day. Other local films’ showtimes have about 10% on opening day, too. But Pirates 5 has 51%. Local films are definitely dead in this kind of environment. Hope Theaters can cut the showtimes of Pirates 5 and it won’t hurt its box office. Please save local films, please! please!

 

http://weibo.com/1403517201/F4RrPt2hW?type=comment#_rnd1495776309623

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

local filmmaker begged theaters to give more showtimes for their “good film” Edge of Innocence. The films producer Ann An said this on Weibo:

 

We made many good films like Perhaps Love, 14 Blades, Ip Man 1&2, Tiny Time 1&2, Zhong Kui and so on. All of them earned great WOM from audience. We do solid work and never ask for help from others, which is a very valuable spirit in China film industry. We spend two years to make the film called Edge of Innocence. It earns 9.1 on Maoyan(previews. It will open on Tomorrow). It changed its release date because of actor/actress changing, and was in trouble like budget shortfalls. But those difficulties offered us the great power to make a great work. (actor/actress are good and bla bla bla) It’s a good film no matter which way you review it. But it only has 5.5% showtimes on opening day. Other local films’ showtimes have about 10% on opening day, too. But Pirates 5 has 51%. Local films are definitely dead in this kind of environment. Hope Theaters can cut the showtimes of Pirates 5 and it won’t hurt its box office. Please save local films, please! please!

 

http://weibo.com/1403517201/F4RrPt2hW?type=comment#_rnd1495776309623

 

Makes sense but why did he release in such a crowded weekend? There were so many dead weekends it could have opened with more showtimes.

[Gavin Feng]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Makes sense but why did he release in such a crowded weekend? There were so many dead weekends it could have opened with more showtimes.

Because most local filmmakers don’t dare to open on ordinary weekend. It’s a dragon boat festival weekend, meaning big money for them.