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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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1 minute ago, GraceRandolph said:

200.3?  Weren’t people predicting 230+ with a 400-600 total? LOL

 

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1 minute ago, AJG said:

 

To be fair she has a career and earns money of talking about movies. She doesn’t have time to sit in a basement analyzing every single piece of statistics. She just did a realistic estimation based on what the previous movies had done - nothing wrong with that. 

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19 minutes ago, POTUS said:

probably a 66% drop on Mon.

whether Tuesday is 15 or 25% will be the concern for a $340 or $400m total

Yeah... I was also thinking a 66-68% drop for 105-110M.

 

For the run, I'm thinking something like...

 

200M OW

 

50M Mon-Thu

50M 2nd weekend

 

15M Mon-Thu

15M 3rd weekend

 

15M for the rest of run

 

345M total

 

IW may definitely hold better and do 375M+, but from now on, I am gonna be conservative.

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3 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:

To be fair she has a career and earns money of talking about movies. She doesn’t have time to sit in a basement analyzing every single piece of statistics. She just did a realistic estimation based on what the previous movies had done - nothing wrong with that. 

If you’re going to give her a pass for majorly underestimating without even looking at the presale data, why not do the same for those who had higher predictions that were actually based on the daily presales trend?

Edited by Deja23
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3 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:

To be fair she has a career and earns money of talking about movies. She doesn’t have time to sit in a basement analyzing every single piece of statistics. She just did a realistic estimation based on what the previous movies had done - nothing wrong with that. 

Don't go this way, it woudn't take more than 15 min to atleast see that $200m wasn't crazy. All she had to do was read this forum page for 5min (it's her work she might as well do it decently). She would see predicitons from $180m -  $270m and she could still think that $270m was crazy (she would have been right) but she also would have noticed that $200m wasn't crazy and very possible. 

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 @POTUS @fmpro @Proxima Olive @ZeeSoh @abra  @bladels

 

+ @Fake

24 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Thanks for the update  @POTUS @fmpro @Proxima Olive @ZeeSoh @abra  @bladels 👍🏻

 

Yes, good idea, not to forget who helped the most to provide us with insight and updates,... thank you very much to all of you, it was very interesteting to read through!

Edited by terrestrial
added @Fake
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1 minute ago, Deja23 said:

If you’re going to give her a pass for majorly underestimating without even looking at the presale data, why not do the same to those who had higher predictions that were actually based on the daily presales trend?

I’m giving her a pass because estimating numbers is not her main focus.  While people here have had YEARS of experience - yet seem to be failing all the time. It’s like a chef over cooking his meals constantly.  First it was 700-800 DOM, and now this mess with China.  I didn’t even have to look at the presales to know that everyone was overhyping it. 

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11 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:

To be fair she has a career and earns money of talking about movies. She doesn’t have time to sit in a basement analyzing every single piece of statistics. She just did a realistic estimation based on what the previous movies had done - nothing wrong with that. 

But there are other people who are doing the analysis here free of cost for her, for me and for everyone else. She should at least learn to borrow wisely...like Gitesh does.

Edited by A2k Raptor
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8 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Amazing weekend guys 

 

Thanks for the updates  @POTUS @pepsa @GraceRandolph @A2k Raptor @fmpro @Proxima Olive @ZeeSoh @abra  @bladels 👍🏻

 

2 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

 @POTUS @fmpro @Proxima Olive @ZeeSoh @abra  @bladels

 

 

Yes, good idea, not to forget who helped the most to provide us with insight and updates,... thank you very much to all of you, it was very interesteting to read through!

+ @Fake :)

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