China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Awesomer]

At this rate is $325m USD still on the table?

[POTUS 2020]

20 minutes ago, Fake said:

I doubt it can get to $400M.

 

My projections are very similar to yours till Friday... after that it takes a slightly conservative direction.

 

OW: 1270

 

Mon-Thu: 110/90/75/60 (1.605B)

Fri-Sun: 80/140/100 (1.925B)

 

Mon-Thu: 100 (2.025B)

Fri-Sun: 100 (2.125B)

 

Rest: 100 (2.225B finish)

it should bump 40/80% to 50/100% this Fri/Sat according to AoU CA3

 

 

	TF4						AOU					CA3
Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot
Tues						212			212	34
Wed						123	-42.1%		335	54
Thur						91	-26.0%		426	69	17			17
Fri	195			195	32	127	40.0%		554	89	181			198	30
Sat	223	14.4%		418	69	236	85.2%		790	127	248	37.0%		446	69
Sun	213	-4.6%		631	103	165	-29.9%		955	154	180	-27.4%		626	96
Mon	123	-42.1%		754	124	45	-72.6%		1001	161	59	-67.2%		685	105
Tues	112	-8.9%		866	142	41	-9.7%	-80.7%	1042	168	49	-16.9%		734	113
Wed	95	-15.7%		961	157	50	22.0%	-59.3%	1092	176	40	-18.4%		774	119
Thur	84	-11.0%		1045	171	31	-38.0%	-65.9%	1123	181	33	-17.5%		807	124
Fri	87	3.4%	-55.3%	1132	186	42	35.5%	-67.0%	1165	188	49	48.5%	-72.9%	856	132
Sat	130	48.8%	-41.9%	1262	207	78	85.7%	-66.9%	1243	200	92	87.8%	-62.9%	948	146
Sun	118	-9.0%	-44.6%	1379	226	59	-24.4%	-64.3%	1302	210	67	-27.2%	-62.8%	1015	156
Mon	54	-58.3%	-56.1%	1433	235	15.8	-73.2%	-65.2%	1317	212	20.0	-70.1%	-66.1%	1035	159
Tue	53	-1.9%	-52.8%	1486	244	10.8	-31.6%	-73.7%	1328	214	18.0	-10.0%	-63.3%	1053	162
Wed	43	-18.9%	-54.5%	1529	251	9.5	-12.0%	-81.0%	1338	216	15.4	-14.4%	-61.5%	1068	164
Thu	39	-9.3%	-53.7%	1568	257	8.4	-11.6%	-72.9%	1346	217	13.8	-10.4%	-58.2%	1082	166
Fri	42	7.7%	-51.8%	1610	264	11.9	41.7%	-71.7%	1358	219	24.0	73.9%	-51.0%	1106	170
Sat	62	47.6%	-52.2%	1672	274	26.0	118.5%	-66.7%	1384	223	31.0	29.2%	-66.3%	1137	175
Sun	58	-6.45%	-50.8%	1730	284	24.0	-7.7%	-59.3%	1408	227	23.6	-23.9%	-64.8%	1160	179
Mon	26	-55.2%	-51.9%	1756	288	25.0	4.2%	58.2%	1433	231	7.5	-68.2%	-62.5%	1168	180
Tue	28	7.7%	-47.2%	1784	293	4.0	-84.0%	-63.0%	1437	232	6.9	-8.0%	-61.7%	1175	181
Wed	23	-17.9%	-46.5%	1807	296	3.5	-12.5%	-63.2%	1441	232	6.3	-8.3%	-58.9%	1181	182
Thu	18	-21.7%	-53.8%	1825	299	3.0	-14.3%	-64.3%	1444	233	3.1	-51.0%	-77.5%	1184	182
				1900	319				1460	238				1244	191

 

 

[GraceRandolph]

6 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Oh look who's talking. Where's the livestream of you eating a crow?

My face is to beautiful to expose it in low quality streams.  

[titanic2187]

23 hours ago, GOXOG said:

it will,definitely  and i think it is safe even before this opening weekend 

and, looking at monday's number,, i think Titanic , an all time epic classic, will stay at worldwide number 2 for another year!

[GOXOG]

3 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

and, looking at monday's number,, i think Titanic , an all time epic classic, will stay at worldwide number 2 for another year!

yes i told u,not gonna pass Titanic  you misunderstand me or something? 

Edited May 14, 2018 by GOXOG

[UserHN]

3 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:

My face is to beautiful to expose it in low quality streams.  

I don't want to come off as misogynist. But I just would like to say this and take no offense. The woman you are impersonating has a very annoying face and facial expressions.

[Fake]

@POTUS

 

Yes. But it is easier to jump 40-45% from 30m as compared to 60m.

 

In any case, we can assume 1.9-2.1x from whatever the second weekend is. It will be at 1.6B as of Thu.

 

Worst case: 300 (75/135/95) + 275m after that.

Best case: 350 (85/155/110) + 375m after that.

 

So we have a range of 2.175B - 2.275B. i.e. 350m +/- 10m

Edited May 14, 2018 by Fake

[Awesomer]

2 minutes ago, UserHN said:

The woman you are impersonating has a very annoying face and facial expressions.

But that isn't half as bad as her voice.

[GOXOG]

4 minutes ago, UserHN said:

I don't want to come off as misogynist. But I just would like to say this and take no offense. The woman you are impersonating has a very annoying face and facial expressions.

hey at least they match each other,both cant keep their words.

[Fake]

24 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:

Yikes. I thought this was supposed to do 400M? 

Considering how IW has increased 40-45% from AoU in DOM and OS (excluding China), it was "supposed" to do only $340-350M (AoU did 240M),which it will still do.

 

Presales, on the other hand, suggested $230M+ opening (which with 1.75x multi would have resulted into $400M+ gross). In the end, it turned out to be really presale-heavy, that's all.

[POTUS 2020]

 

11 minutes ago, Fake said:

@POTUS

 

Yes. But it is easier to jump 40-45% from 30m as compared to 60m.

 

In any case, we can assume 1.9-2.1x from whatever the second weekend is. It will be at 1.6B as of Thu.

 

Worst case: 300 (75/135/95) + 275m after that.

Best case: 350 (85/155/110) + 375m after that.

 

So we have a range of 2.175B - 2.275B. i.e. 350m +/- 10m

Aou did 40% from 91m in chart above

This is my middle of the road, $373m. 400m possible but doubtful. $350m also possible

It doesnt have much competition and small show loss ahead

FF8						IW
Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot
Fri	417			480	70	386			445	70
Sat	488	17.0%		968	141	492			937	148
Sun	385	-21.1%		1353	197	331			1267	200
Mon	163	-57.7%		1516	220	110	-66.8%		1377	217
Tues	121	-25.8%		1637	238	88	-20.0%		1465	231
Wed	94	-22.3%		1731	252	70	-20.5%		1535	242
Thur	77	-18.1%		1808	263	58	-17.1%		1593	252
Fri	103	33.8%	-75.3%	1911	278	82	41.4%	-78.8%	1675	265
Sat	160	55.3%	-67.2%	2071	301	150	82.9%	-69.5%	1825	288
Sun	117	-26.9%	-69.6%	2188	318	108	-28.0%	-67.4%	1933	305
Mon	42	-64.1%	-74.2%	2230	324	37	-65.7%	-66.4%	1970	311
Tue	37	-11.9%	-69.4%	2267	330	31	-16.2%	-64.8%	2001	316
Wed	33	-10.8%	-64.9%	2300	334	26	-16.1%	-62.9%	2027	320
Thu	29	-12.1%	-62.3%	2329	339	22	-15.4%	-62.1%	2049	324
Fri	30	3.4%	-70.9%	2359	343	30	36.4%	-63.4%	2079	328
Sat	60	100.0%	-62.5%	2419	352	58	93.3%	-61.3%	2137	337
Sun	75	25.0%	-35.9%	2494	363	42	-27.6%	-61.1%	2179	344
Mon	58	-22.7%	38.1%	2552	371	14	-66.7%	-62.2%	2193	346
Tue	18	-69.0%	-51.4%	2570	374	12	-15.7%	-61.9%	2205	348
Wed	14	-22.2%	-57.6%	2584	376	10	-15.3%	-61.5%	2215	350
Thu	13	-7.1%	-55.2%	2597	377	9	-15.0%	-61.4%	2224	351
.
Fri	8	-38.5%	-73.3%	2605	379	12	41.2%	-60.0%	2236	353
Sat	13.4	67.5%	-77.7%	2618	381	23	91.7%	-60.3%	2259	357
Sun	11.4	-14.9%	-84.8%	2630	382	17	-26.1%	-59.5%	2276	359
				2670	388				2316	373

[a2k]

17 minutes ago, POTUS said:

 

Aou did 40% from 91m in chart above

This is my middle of the road, $373m. 400m possible but doubtful. $350m also possible

It doesnt have much competition and small show loss ahead

FF8						IW
Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot
Fri	417			480	70	386			445	70
Sat	488	17.0%		968	141	492			937	148
Sun	385	-21.1%		1353	197	331			1267	200
Mon	163	-57.7%		1516	220	110	-66.8%		1377	217
Tues	121	-25.8%		1637	238	88	-20.0%		1465	231
Wed	94	-22.3%		1731	252	70	-20.5%		1535	242
Thur	77	-18.1%		1808	263	58	-17.1%		1593	252
Fri	103	33.8%	-75.3%	1911	278	82	41.4%	-78.8%	1675	265
Sat	160	55.3%	-67.2%	2071	301	150	82.9%	-69.5%	1825	288
Sun	117	-26.9%	-69.6%	2188	318	108	-28.0%	-67.4%	1933	305
Mon	42	-64.1%	-74.2%	2230	324	37	-65.7%	-66.4%	1970	311
Tue	37	-11.9%	-69.4%	2267	330	31	-16.2%	-64.8%	2001	316
Wed	33	-10.8%	-64.9%	2300	334	26	-16.1%	-62.9%	2027	320
Thu	29	-12.1%	-62.3%	2329	339	22	-15.4%	-62.1%	2049	324
Fri	30	3.4%	-70.9%	2359	343	30	36.4%	-63.4%	2079	328
Sat	60	100.0%	-62.5%	2419	352	58	93.3%	-61.3%	2137	337
Sun	75	25.0%	-35.9%	2494	363	42	-27.6%	-61.1%	2179	344
Mon	58	-22.7%	38.1%	2552	371	14	-66.7%	-62.2%	2193	346
Tue	18	-69.0%	-51.4%	2570	374	12	-15.7%	-61.9%	2205	348
Wed	14	-22.2%	-57.6%	2584	376	10	-15.3%	-61.5%	2215	350
Thu	13	-7.1%	-55.2%	2597	377	9	-15.0%	-61.4%	2224	351
.
Fri	8	-38.5%	-73.3%	2605	379	12	41.2%	-60.0%	2236	353
Sat	13.4	67.5%	-77.7%	2618	381	23	91.7%	-60.3%	2259	357
Sun	11.4	-14.9%	-84.8%	2630	382	17	-26.1%	-59.5%	2276	359
				2670	388				2316	373

FF8 added 168 more after a 163 Mon.

AIW adding 156 more after a 110 Mon seems optimistic. Did FF8 face too much competition in comparison?

edit: Matching FF8's trend takes it to 330.

Edited May 14, 2018 by A2k Raptor

[fmpro]

FFS boys.  Its having a typical Marvel drop after a record breaking weekend. Around 67%

 

Calm

The 

Fuck

Down

 

 

 

[titanic2187]

27 minutes ago, GOXOG said:

yes i told u,not gonna pass Titanic  you misunderstand me or something? 

because that presale is alarming,and the holds is pretty standard everywhere, not to mention these holds were coming from a record-breaking opening , with many holidays are underway across the world.

 

Suggesting that Titanic was in danger.....

[GOXOG]

Just now, titanic2187 said:

because that presale is alarming,and the holds is pretty standard everywhere, not to mention these holds were coming from a record-breaking opening , with many holidays are underway across the world.

 

Suggesting that Titanic was in danger.....

but deadpool and solo open soon so thats even out,TFA might be in danger not Titanic though

[POTUS 2020]

51 minutes ago, A2k Raptor said:

FF8 added 168 more after a 163 Mon.

AIW adding 156 more after a 110 Mon seems optimistic. Did FF8 face too much competition in comparison?

edit: Matching FF8's trend takes it to 330.

FFs has stronger weekdays SHs.  itll lose more ground on weekdays and gain some back on FSS

since your comparing a yuan monday to a $ total,  XR gives $5m more to IW 

Edited May 14, 2018 by POTUS

[abra]

Monday	F8	LAST HOUR F8	IW	LAST HOUR IW	F8-IW
1PM	49,58		41,24		8,34
2PM	59,68	10,10	47,76	6,52	11,92
3PM	69,40	9,72	54,23	6,47	15,17
4PM	79,00	9,60	60,53	6,30	18,47
5PM	89,26	10,26	67,31	6,78	21,95
6PM	101,23	11,97	74,97	7,66	26,26
7PM	118,28	17,05	84,62	9,65	33,66
8PM	135,34	17,06	94,31	9,69	41,03
9PM	148,70	13,36	101,46	7,15	47,24
10PM	160,01	11,31		-	-

 

Edited May 14, 2018 by abra

[bangbingchan]

Cannes: Warner Bros. to Co-Produce Jiang Wen's Chinese Tentpole 'Hidden Man' 

The film, set for release sometime this summer, is Jiang's first Chinese project since 2014's Gone With the Bullets, which earned $81 million.He became a familiar face to filmgoers worldwide thanks to his prominent role in Lucasfilm's Rogue One: A Star Wars Story as Baze Malbus.

 

Summer blockbuster is coming.

Hidden man is one of my choice for summer top2.The other is The Wandering Earth.

[Thrylos 7]

So around 16 million $ on Monday ?

[abra]

Monday	F8	LAST HOUR F8	IW	LAST HOUR IW	F8-IW
1PM	49,58		41,24		8,34
2PM	59,68	10,10	47,76	6,52	11,92
3PM	69,40	9,72	54,23	6,47	15,17
4PM	79,00	9,60	60,53	6,30	18,47
5PM	89,26	10,26	67,31	6,78	21,95
6PM	101,23	11,97	74,97	7,66	26,26
7PM	118,28	17,05	84,62	9,65	33,66
8PM	135,34	17,06	94,31	9,69	41,03
9PM	148,70	13,36	101,46	7,15	47,24
10PM	160,01	11,31	107,53	6,07	52,48