China Box Office: General Discussion Thread | Wonder Woman - Dec 18, Soul - Dec 25

[cdsacken 4,514]

Yeah that makes more sense.

[WandaLegion 12,690]

P storm just took the lead, 15:20ish. Wondering how far ahead it will finish.

[UserHN 910]

1 hour ago, Fake said:

Seems quite right. Shazam is at 28.65M @ 2PM compared to 49M at same point on Friday, so Sat is already more than 20M behind Friday. Current pace is around 75% that of Friday, so should add another 36M from here for 65M finish.

 

210-215M OW... 400M finish. 

Just curious. You're giving it a 1.9x multi despite that low 8.0 Maoyan score. Why? A 1.8x to 1.9x is for movies with Maoyan score of 8.5+.

[Fake 3,455]

1 hour ago, cdsacken said:

400 million with 210 opening? Seems very optimistic for legs given the Maoyan rating. I was thinking more like 350 max.

Oh yes. Slipped my mind that the OW is inflated due to Friday. 

 

$50M (336M) seems like where it will finish.

[cdsacken 4,514]

9 minutes ago, Fake said:

Oh yes. Slipped my mind that the OW is inflated due to Friday. 

 

$50M (336M) seems like where it will finish.

Yeah that seems like dead on the money. Maybe bit more if it holds up better after weekend.

[LexJoker 1,720]

Sat final numbers?

[POTUS 2020 8,352]

Not much competition but still several small releases coming up and will take 50% of shows.  P Storm will only lose 30% on Friday, Shazam will lose 70% based on the how the dailies are looking

1.5x likely $49-51m

[Olive 30,795]

Saturday estimates - Holiday

P storm 94.6M/284.2M,-9.4%

Shazam! 67.2m/69.8m, -30%

Andhadhun 27m/70.05m, +19%

Song of Youth 15.9m/294m, +25%

Dumbo 13.05m/115m, +25.6%

The Shadow Play 12.15m/44.65m, -24%

Durante la tormenta 3.2m/100.5m

Bohemian Rhapsody 1.98m/88.65m

Captain Marvel 1.5m/1032m

[shuotong 36]

Has any superhero movie dip on Saturday, not to mention over 30%?

[WandaLegion 12,690]

Sun PS down more than 50% from Sat 😬

[TimmyRiggins 1,195]

Any explanation here for Shazam ! not gelling with China? This is really hard to understand. Trash gets rewarded and other good films somehow don't connect. 

[ucas 27]

40 minutes ago, shuotong said:

Has any superhero movie dip on Saturday, not to mention over 30%?

Deadpool2 dropped 7.5% from opening day. 

[pepsa 3,526]

30 minutes ago, TimmyRiggins said:

Any explanation here for Shazam ! not gelling with China? This is really hard to understand. Trash gets rewarded and other good films somehow don't connect. 

My guess would be that humor isn't very appealing to non englisch speakers and it didn't had the hype to get a big enough opening weekend.

So no hype => low opening

Humor not landing => like first lego movie 

[cdsacken 4,514]

Nostalgia without the spectacle maybe is a recipe for failure?

[druv10 17,693]

39 minutes ago, TimmyRiggins said:

Any explanation here for Shazam ! not gelling with China? This is really hard to understand. Trash gets rewarded and other good films somehow don't connect. 

I'm not Chinese but having seen the movie, it's missing the spectacle that Aquaman or Infinity War had. I personally loved it but I can see why it's not clicking with the Chinese audience. 

[Fake 3,455]

1 hour ago, druv10 said:

I'm not Chinese but having seen the movie, it's missing the spectacle that Aquaman or Infinity War had. I personally loved it but I can see why it's not clicking with the Chinese audience. 

Yeah... I felt that way too. It was more of a family comedy than a Superhero action movie.

 

That said.... Eagerly awaiting a Shazam vs Black Adam movie, if there ever is one. That will do gangbusters in China too.

[Olive 30,795]

Will drop more than 50% on Sunday ,then 70% on Monday

[LeoC 364]

2 hours ago, TimmyRiggins said:

Any explanation here for Shazam ! not gelling with China? This is really hard to understand. Trash gets rewarded and other good films somehow don't connect. 

And many of my Chinese friends find it hard to understand why “trash” like Shazam!, BP, SMH, and all Star Wars movies get praised in the US while other good films like Alita and X-Man Apocalypse don’t connect.

 

 

[Jormungard 93]

16 minutes ago, Olive said:

Will drop more than 50% on Sunday ,then 70% on Monday

Ouch

[VenomXXR 4,681]

@Gavin Feng Any news, rumors or guesses on when presales will start for Endgame?