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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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323.26M @12PM

 

Though the speed is suggesting 550M+, but I would be happy with 500M. Anything above that is just gravy.

 

One thing to note here is that it is Wednesday, not Friday, and therefore the acceleration in the evening may not be as large.

 

So.. going with 500M.

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5 minutes ago, MadmenEndgame said:

It's going insane on Maoyan. 

 

Correct me if I am wrong but 600M looks like a realistic prediction neither too optimistic and neither pessimistic. 

 

 

Yeah, Maoyan has definitely kicked into another gear. It just had 9.5M Yuan 30 min on Maoyan which is higher than both POTUS and Charlie's Projection!!! I think 575M looking very solid now. It can hit 600M, if evening stay relatively strong.

Edited by druv10
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12pm

Run rate at 18.3m.  beating FF8 by 25% which made 205 rest of day. That puts it at 578m

Compared to IW, after subtracting 5%, is 594m.  Looking for at least 24m in the next hour

575-625m OD

      FF8         IW    
      Multi to Rest of       Multi to Rest of  
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total BO Gain Total Day Total
11 196.8         205.6 23.6   181.4  
12 211.6 14.8 13.9 205.4 417.0 216.5 10.9 15.6 170.5 387.0
13 229.4 17.8 10.5 187.6 417.0 230.5 14.0 11.2 156.5 387.0
14 245.4 16.0 10.7 171.6 417.0 245.5 15.0 9.4 141.5 387.0
15 265.1 19.7 7.7 151.9 417.0 259.6 14.1 9.0 127.4 387.0
16 281.6 16.5 8.2 135.4 417.0 273.5 13.9 8.2 113.5 387.0
17 298.7 17.1 6.9 118.3 417.0 288.5 15.0 6.6 98.5 387.0
18 315.6 16.9 6.0 101.4 417.0 305.3 16.8 4.9 81.7 387.0
19 334.9 19.3 4.3 82.1 417.0 325.3 20.0 3.1 61.7 387.0
20 359.0 24.1 2.4 58.0 417.0 347.7 22.4 1.8 39.3 387.0
Total 417.0         387.0        
          EG          
      Multi to Rest of Proj Average     OD Shows
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total Proj     FF8 155k
11 305.0 43.0   235.8 540.8       AoU 182k
12 323.3 18.3 14.8 270.8 594.1   11 to 12   EG 220k
13 347.5 24.2 10.5 254.1 601.6 597.9 11 to 13      
14 372.5 25.0 9.0 225.0 597.5 597.7 11 to 14     PS
15             11 to 15   FF8 165
16             11 to 16   AoU 182
17             11 to 17   EG 262
18             11 to 18      
19             11 to 19      
20             11 to 20      
Edited by POTUS 2020
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24 minutes ago, shruth said:

If it breaks into 3rd and 4th tier cities / rural areas this baby will hit $1 BILLION. But it's not gonna happen to a big degree, that sort of stuff takes decades.

Can it be done through sheer WoM perhaps? Like local chains deciding to increase the screens in tier 3 and 4 cities in response to the immense reception in cities. At a certain point, hype can become self sustaining. Happened with Titanic and Avatar

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