China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[charlie Jatinder]

[ucas]

47-48m for Aladdin today.

Edited May 26, 2019 by ucas

[charlie Jatinder]

50mn plus. Strong pre-sales for tomorrow, purely by normal psm shall do ¥25mn plus tomorrow.

An optimistic case (take lightly)

28

51

51 / 130

25

22

20

18 / 215

 

15

35

30 / 80 / 295

12

10

8

10 / 120 / 335

 

15

17

13 / 45 / 380

5

5

4

4 / 63 /398

 

5

12

10 / 27 / 425

4

4

3

3 / 41 / 439

 

$63mn full run Approx.

 

 

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

2 hours ago, ucas said:

47-48m for Aladdin today.

 

22 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

50mn plus. Strong pre-sales for tomorrow, purely by normal psm shall do ¥25mn plus tomorrow.

An optimistic case (take lightly)

28

51

51 / 130

25

22

20

18 / 215

 

15

35

30 / 80 / 295

12

10

8

10 / 120 / 335

 

15

17

13 / 45 / 380

5

5

4

4 / 63 /398

 

5

12

10 / 27 / 425

4

4

3

3 / 41 / 439

 

$63mn full run Approx.

 

 

 

Smith's Aladdin is a breakout, a dark horse 

[Olive]

under 5% drop for ALADDIN, if only Disney released it one week earlier, would make $10M more than now.

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, Olive said:

under 5% drop for ALADDIN, if only Disney released it one week earlier, would make $10M more than now.

any idea about total ?

[Olive]

4 minutes ago, john2000 said:

any idea about total ?

Around $30M? 

[john2000]

Just now, Olive said:

Around $30M? 

china total will be only 30 ?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 

Just now, john2000 said:

china total will be only 30 ?

more close to $60 as Charlie projected above

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Olive said:

Around $30M? 

what if Week 1 is 30mn 

[raulbalarezo]

 

[Olive]

Sunday Est

Aladdin 49.2m/128.6m, -4%

Pikachu 19.2m/575.3m, -16%

Dog's Journey 12.7m/164.5m, -15%

Dragon Ball 6.4m/21,33m,-21%

Godzilla 2 2.23M/16.85M, 

 

[cdsacken]

14 hours ago, firedeep said:

$10m on marketing? Only Avengers spends that much.

Yeah it appears they could have added at least 10m in net revenue. If not more. Probably gave up after Dumbo failed.

[Valonqar]

I hope Aladdin legs it up in China. It looks like the market didn't rush to see it but WOM is spreading. 

[cdsacken]

I bet it hits at least 40m. If currency didn't drop and it was opened last week with better promotion 75+.

[ymblcza]

Today’s drop is benefited for much lesser Godzilla effect, every film has a good drop. Need to see how next weekend goes. $40m+ seems likely.

Edited May 26, 2019 by ymblcza

[charlie Jatinder]

Maoyan projection

21

19

17

15 / 202

 

7.5 (too big I think)

15

11

 

Full run 260 

[keysersoze123]

Aladdin will lose show count big time next week. Week later there is a local movie and Dark Phoenix. So there is no runway for a leggy run. Unless it shows something special with Monday drop (like sub 50%). Which is not impossible considering 9.1 Maoyan score.

 

BTW why no Maoyan score for Zilla considering it has had major previews.

[XXR vs XXR]

Question for the Experts: How much are we thinking 'The Eight Hundred' could make? Can it be on TWE / Endgame level, or are we thinking IW / FF8 level?

[Stewart]

1 minute ago, VenomXXR said:

Question for the Experts: How much are we thinking 'The Eight Hundred' could make? Can it be on TWE / Endgame level, or are we thinking IW / FF8 level?

Based on name alone, ¥800m - $800m should be a good range. Will definitely fall in that range.