China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Gavin Feng]

25 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I think ¥25mn Friday, ¥30mn Saturday and ¥21mn Sunday. ¥100mn 5 Days.

 

[POTUS 2020]

39 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I think ¥25mn Friday, ¥30mn Saturday and ¥21mn Sunday. ¥100mn 5 Days.

4x PS on Friday after just 2.4x on OD? big call

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, POTUS 2020 said:

4x PS on Friday after just 2.4x on OD? big call

Was it a OD? Maoyan says midnight.

 

Anyways, usually PSm are bad for midweek releases in all markets I track. I hope China will be same.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

44 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I think ¥25mn Friday, ¥30mn Saturday and ¥21mn Sunday. ¥100mn 5 Days.

impossible

 

Even 100m yuan total is probably dead

1 hour ago, POTUS 2020 said:

we'll see.  it has a chance

                                          

yes, as long as the show count is decent for the holidays

 

Just 2.2x PS.  Oh my.  Crashing dailies are as much fun tracking popping daily BO

Can the PSm drop tomorrow? and Sat

$20m dead,  Shall we go for $15m?

 

$15m is unlikely atp

[Legion Again]

8 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Uh, is it just me or is the SW pace today like.... really miserable?

 

7 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

I was wondering if it will hit 2.5x. I mean using 5.15 PS, it will have added about 2.5 by 16:00...

 

Numerically I was thinking low 12s here, and a $10M 5-day. Seemed too pessimistic, but what do I wake up too...

[redfirebird2008]

So y'all think it's going lower than Solo's $16M? Ouch. 

[Gavin Feng]

32 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

So y'all think it's going lower than Solo's $16M? Ouch. 

 

[pepsa]

TROS OD:

12.2m (1.74m USD)

 

PS for friday are 6m at MN, yesterday they were 5.05m so friday ps's up by 20% so tomorrow will probably be between 13m - 18m yuan.

Depending on how much WoM will affect the multiplier and how much friday evening will boost the evening ramp up.

Sat is at 4.1m, Friday was at 3.88 at the same point in time.

Edited December 19, 2019 by pepsa

[charlie Jatinder]

6mn OD PS. I don't think it's gonna miss 20mn.

[ymblcza]

I would believe in 20mn if I didn't track box office today

[grim22]

Just saw Maoyan and TROS seems to be at 7.7 there. All the other movies in the top 5 seem to be 9.0 or higher

[Legion Again]

43 minutes ago, ymblcza said:

I would believe in 20mn if I didn't track box office today

Yeah, this. Put me down for 16

[charlie Jatinder]

Today was a weekday. What was PSm btw out of curosity.

[pepsa]

5 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Today was a weekday. What was PSm btw out of curosity.

It had 5.05m in PS at MN so about 2.4 ps multi

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, pepsa said:

It had 5.05m in PS at MN so about 2.4 ps multi

6 today. Easy 20.

[ymblcza]

I checked End Game (both opened on Wednesday with very low multi), the Friday multi was almost the same with Thur (2.43→2.41). I'm seeing this doing 14-15m today

Edited December 19, 2019 by ymblcza

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, ymblcza said:

I checked End Game (because both opened on Wednesday with very low multi), the Friday multi was almost the same with Thur (2.43→2.41). I'm seeing this doing 14-15m

I guess that’s an interesting recent data point for a non-holiday Thursday... but 6m PS vs 176m PS, how similar can the dynamic possible be? If PSm ratio is the same I feel like it will be mostly coincidence. 

Edited December 19, 2019 by Arendelle Legion

[ymblcza]

5 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

I guess that’s an interesting recent data point for a non-holiday Thursday... but 6m PS vs 176m PS, how similar can the dynamic possible be? If PSm ratio is the same I feel like it will be mostly coincidence. 

I'm not comparing TROS with EG, I'm comparing PSm on Fri with that on Thur, I think that works

PSm of EG stayed flat for several days

Edited December 19, 2019 by ymblcza

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, ymblcza said:

I'm not comparing TROS with EG, I'm comparing PSm on Fri with that on Thur, I think that works

PSm of EG stayed flat for several days

Yeah, no I get the idea. I’m just saying that the ridiculous PS numbers for EG may have kept the PSm depressed below normal behavior on both days, causing less day to day PSm movement than a more reasonably sized Wed open would see. It also didn’t have a much bigger movie open on Friday. 

[ymblcza]

12 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Yeah, no I get the idea. I’m just saying that the ridiculous PS numbers for EG may have kept the PSm depressed below normal behavior on both days, causing less day to day PSm movement than a more reasonably sized Wed open would see. It also didn’t have a much bigger movie open on Friday. 

True but ... maybe 6m presale is HUGE for TROS