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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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10 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

  2020 2019 % +/- 2019 2020
January ¥2,242,958,600 ¥3,378,975,800 -33.62% $496,908,206 $324,126,965
February ¥119,100 ¥11,164,331,400 -100.00% $1,655,201,097 $17,014
March ¥384,500 ¥4,160,692,800 -99.99% $619,150,714 $54,929
April ¥11,200 ¥4,723,836,800 -100.00% $701,907,400 $1,600
May ¥8,900 ¥3,716,825,300 -100.00% $546,591,956 $1,271
June ¥22,900 ¥4,186,114,000 -100.00% $608,446,802 $3,271
July ¥208,486,500 ¥5,756,227,600 -96.38% $836,660,988 $29,783,786
01-22 Aug ¥1,248,555,900 ¥6,070,001,600 -79.43% $863,442,617 $180,166,797
23-31 Aug ¥1,600,000,000 ¥1,765,173,400 -9.36% $248,266,301 $231,213,873
September   ¥3,596,174,800   $502,961,510  
October   ¥8,315,947,500   $1,167,970,154  
November   ¥3,237,066,200   $459,810,540  
December   ¥4,078,357,000   $582,622,429  
           
  ¥5,300,547,600 ¥64,149,724,200   $9,289,940,715 $765,369,506

Increase Aug 23-31 to ¥2Bn, +13% last year.

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11 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Not sure if serious. Regardless of where covid hit and when, the whole year has almost no relationship to general BO strength of a market. When people ask “when will China pass DOM” this is clearly not what’s meant imo. 
 

Thus, asterisk.

I mean there could be short/medium term damage to way BO works and china with more plexes/screens could continue to out gross US not just in 2020 but even in 2021. China could keep building more smaller screens and ultimately they have an advantage of 4-5x population of US. 

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5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I mean there could be short/medium term damage to way BO works and china with more plexes/screens could continue to out gross US not just in 2020 but even in 2021. China could keep building more smaller screens and ultimately they have an advantage of 4-5x population of US. 

As I pointed in that thread, its no longer matter of building theaters or anything. Its about exchange rate now.

 

Last year China did ¥64bn plus but ER was shit around 7, giving 9.29bn in $. ER of mid 2000s would have it at $10.5mn beating USA.

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1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

I mean there could be short/medium term damage to way BO works and china with more plexes/screens could continue to out gross US not just in 2020 but even in 2021. China could keep building more smaller screens and ultimately they have an advantage of 4-5x population of US. 

Yeah, 2021 may also need an asterisk if China is running (mostly) normally for 12 months and US for just 9 or something. 2022 I think will be safe to remove covid asterisks from yearly results.   
 

It’s possible that China would have beaten DOM under normal conditions too in a year that has to get asterisked, but the ambiguity of counterfactuals is why you can’t give either a clean win.

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4 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Is The 800's over-performance gonna hurt Tenet? I mean it's still over a week away from release.

The 800 seems really leggy so far, if it keeps it up it could have some impact, don’t think it’ll hurt Tenet too much on opening weekend but later on in Tenets run it could start to take away screenings. Tenets late legs (if it has them) will also be hit by the local films opening October 1st. I’m still thing around $100m for Tenet in China. 

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5 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Is The 800's over-performance gonna hurt Tenet? I mean it's still over a week away from release.

 

TENET unknown plots and cast are self-injurious behaviors on it's buzz. And the more serious question is if Mulan come on the same day.

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55 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Official CBO website is ¥797mn.

Yeah, was going off this and Maoyan website showing 803, both round to 800.    
 

Hopefully the final agreed upon number that’s still the case.

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