China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[LPLC]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

China will go for $20mn weekend, $50-60mn fill run can be expected.

I would say more like $18M weekend 

[Gavin Feng]

6.4/10 rated by 30 users for Monster Hunter after early screenings. Not good sign considering mostly studios are controlling early reactions very hard.

[efialtes76]

On 12/1/2020 at 4:37 AM, Gavin Feng said:

6.4/10 rated by 30 users for Monster Hunter after early screenings. Not good sign considering mostly studios are controlling early reactions very hard.

8.2/10 at maoyan.

[Blaze Heatnix]

1 hour ago, efialtes76 said:

8.2/10 at maoyan.

8.1/10 now.

 

Bad legs will be a reality.

[ymblcza]

Monster Hunter was reported for racism, its BO will fade away really fast

1 hour ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

8.1/10 now.

 

Bad legs will be a reality.

maybe no leg at all ...

Edited December 4, 2020 by ymblcza

[efialtes76]

7.8/10 now.

The other two releases have low scores too(8.2 and 8.0).

[meridan]

On 11/23/2020 at 9:37 AM, Gavin Feng said:

Date	Title	3-Day Opening	Lifetime	Country	Studio & Distributor
2020/11/27	The Croods: A New Age	$10-12 million	$25-30 million	US	Universal Pictures
2020/11/27	One Second	$8-10 million	$16-20 million	China	Huanxi Media & Maoyan Movie
2020/12/4	The End of Endless Love	$20-30 million	$45-65 million	China	Enlight Pictures
2020/12/4	Soul Snatcher	$8-10 million	$15-20 million	China	EDKO Films
2020/12/4	Monster Hunter	$10-15 million	$20-25 million	US	Tencent Pictures & Joy Pictures
2020/12/4	The Invisible Man	$3-4 million	$6-8 million	US	Universal Pictures
2020/12/11	Doraemon the Movie: Nobita's New Dinosaur	$6-8 million	$15-20 million	Japan	Shin-Ei Animation & Lian Ray Pictures
2020/12/11	Bath Buddy	$12-15 million	$25-30 million	China	Beijing Culture & Ali Pictures
2020/12/18	Wonder Woman 1984	$75-85 million	$140-160 million	US	Warner Bros. & IQiYi Pictures
2020/12/24	I Remember	$25-35 million*	$45-55 million	China	Gravity Pictures & CMC Inc.
2020/12/24	Shock Wave 2	$65-85 million*	$130-150 million	China	Universe Entertainment & Ali Pictures
2020/12/25	Yin-Yang Master I	$24-30 million	$35-45 million	China	Shanghai Film Group & HeHe Pictures
2020/12/25	Soul	$3-5 million	$12-15 million	US	Walt Disney Studios
2020/12/31	A Little Red Flower	$55-65 million*	$130-150 million	China	HG Entertainment & Lian Ray Pictures
2020/12/31	Warm Hug	$45-55 million*	$80-90 million	China	Huayi Brothers & Ali Pictures
* 4-day opening

 

Has WW84's projected opening weekend numbers been revised since it was announced that it is now going up against The Rescue. Went to the Maoyan website and noticed the want to see number for the The Rescue is at 605212 compared to WW84's 64902. Not really surprising considering The Rescue is a Chinese film just wondering how badly this affects WW84's box office performance for that weekend. 

[Gavin Feng]

10 minutes ago, meridan said:

Has WW84's projected opening weekend numbers been revised since it was announced that it is now going up against The Rescue. Went to the Maoyan website and noticed the want to see number for the The Rescue is at 605212 compared to WW84's 64902. Not really surprising considering The Rescue is a Chinese film just wondering how badly this affects WW84's box office performance for that weekend. 

I would say WW84>The Rescue. Original distributor Maoyan thought the local action title was a great movie and held many press screenings in Jan, and then they got lots of negative reactions. After date delay due to COVID-19, Maoyan rejected to do distribution job again. Bona Film Group was then forced to re-edit the movie and now distribute it by themselves. In other words, they knew they fucked up.

[marveldcfox]

Lmao. The only market MH had a chance to do decent in , now has been completely yanked out. Game over.

Sony should have just sold it off. Stupid.

[Legion Again]

Still might get more from China than DOM imo 👀

[fmpro]

What the hell 🤯

 

MH

 

Friday 34 mill(24,4% screens)

Saturday 1,2mill(0,9% screens)

Sunday “out of theaters”??

 

I can see itsa bad movie. But but but..... What the hell

[meridan]

10 minutes ago, fmpro said:

What the hell 🤯

 

MH

 

Friday 34 mill(24,4% screens)

Saturday 1,2mill(0,9% screens)

Sunday “out of theaters”??

 

I can see itsa bad movie. But but but..... What the hell

 

 

[lorddemaxus]

20 hours ago, WandaLegion said:

Still might get more from China than DOM imo 👀

5 million shouldn't be hard to beat. 

[charlie Jatinder]

8 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

5 million shouldn't be hard to beat. 

I mean I would take my chances.

[Gavin Feng]

Quote

Date	Title	3-Day Opening	Lifetime	Country	Studio & Distributor
2020/12/11	Doraemon the Movie: Nobita's New Dinosaur	$6-8 million	$15-20 million	Japan	Shin-Ei Animation & Lian Ray Pictures
2020/12/11	Bath Buddy	$12-15 million	$25-30 million	China	Beijing Culture & Ali Pictures
2020/12/18	Wonder Woman 1984	$70-80 million	$140-160 million	US	Warner Bros. & IQiYi Pictures
2020/12/18	The Rescue	$35-45 million	$70-80 million	China	Bona Film Group
2020/12/24	I Remember	$25-35 million*	$45-55 million	China	Gravity Pictures & CMC Inc.
2020/12/24	Shock Wave 2	$65-85 million*	$130-150 million	China	Universe Entertainment & Ali Pictures
2020/12/25	Yin-Yang Master I	$24-30 million	$35-45 million	China	Shanghai Film Group & HeHe Pictures
2020/12/25	Soul	$3-5 million	$12-15 million	US	Walt Disney Studios
2020/12/31	A Little Red Flower	$70-80 million*	$165-185 million	China	HG Entertainment & Lian Ray Pictures
2020/12/31	Warm Hug	$45-55 million*	$80-90 million	China	Huayi Brothers & Ali Pictures
* 4-day opening

 

 

 

The Rescue

PROS:

- Dante Lam has been one of the top directors in China since Operation Mekong & Operation Mekong($700M-plus in box office together). The Rescue is his biggest production ever with $100M production budget.

- The Rescue already started selling tickets while Wonder Woman 1984 does not yet.

 

CONS:

- It has gotten very low attention since it was delayed from 2020 CNY due to COVID-19. It's not hard to see that audience don't really have much interest on this at this point. The pre-sale performance looks fine but mostly because Bona Film Group faked it by their own theaters(They always do this on their movies).

- In January, then-distributor Maoyan Movie arranged many press screenings in big cities and got many unexpected negative reviews and reactions. Many who saw it reflected it didn't feel like a action movie Lam could make. A very dangerous sign for its WOM and legs.

 

Wonder Woman 1984

- I adjust its opening slightly considering The Rescue will come on the same weekend and take some showtimes that should've belonged to Diana. But the DC title still has a great chance to top Tenet, the highest-grossing Hollywood title of 2020 here, in just 3 days. 

 

A Little Red Flower

- Its market team could almost do nothing with amazing buzz the movie has. Industry believe it would be the biggest winner of DEC.

[Gavin Feng]

Detective Chinatown 3 now has 10 million want-to-see users on Maoyan and Taopiao ticket sites together. Previous recorder Avengers: Endgame has 8.1 million. 

 

I expect it would make $250M-plus on Feb.12-14, 2021 weekend. 

[meridan]

To me, WW84's projected lifetime total of $140-160 seems high when you factor that it's going up against Shock Wave 2 on the 24th and A Little Red Flower on the 31st. Probably a huge drop in its second weekend and almost gone by the 3rd weekend. Probably would have been better to open on the 11th instead of the 18th

[Gavin Feng]

19 minutes ago, meridan said:

To me, WW84's projected lifetime total of $140-160 seems high when you factor that it's going up against Shock Wave 2 on the 24th and A Little Red Flower on the 31st. Probably a huge drop in its second weekend and almost gone by the 3rd weekend. Probably would have been better to open on the 11th instead of the 18th

 

I didn’t consider WW84 as a normal case mostly because it’s the last Hollywood blockbuster in 2020, and I expect Chinese audience including some who don’t usually see HLW in theaters will go cinema for it. I could be wrong, but I wanna bet on this. 

[LPLC]

12 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

Detective Chinatown 3 now has 10 million want-to-see users on Maoyan and Taopiao ticket sites together. Previous recorder Avengers: Endgame has 8.1 million. 

 

I expect it would make $250M-plus on Feb.12-14, 2021 weekend. 

$250M ? is this the record ? Do you think that Detective Chinatown 3 will be more of a leggy movie (x3 / x4 legs) or on the contrary a movie with poor legs (like x2 or something) ?

[Clayman]

On 12/4/2020 at 10:34 PM, marveldcfox said:

Lmao. The only market MH had a chance to do decent in , now has been completely yanked out. Game over.

Sony should have just sold it off. Stupid.

Sony was not the one who was distributing it in China, Tencent was. And Tencent has equity in the movie so this is more on them than Sony.

Edited December 7, 2020 by Clayman