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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">MCU weekend records<br><br>The Avengers - $207M<br>Avengers: Infinity War - $257M<br>Avengers: Endgame - $357M<br><br>Non-MCU weekend records<br><br>Jurassic World - $208M<br>The Force Awakens - $248M<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/DetectiveChinatown3?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#DetectiveChinatown3</a> - $398M</p>&mdash; 𝖆𝖓𝖉𝖔𝖑𝖆𝖓𝖏𝖊𝖊𝖛𝖎 𝖏𝖆𝖙 (@meJat32) <a href="https://twitter.com/meJat32/status/1361320347610546178?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 15, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

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43 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

Wow, Detective Chinatown fell to 8.6 on Maoyan, 

While Hi Mom has stayed steady at 9.5

What are the chances of "Hi, Mom" to pass Wolf Warrior or Force Awakens? 👀

DC3 is probably still inflated by initial fake reviews. Expecting 8.4-8.5 end of run.   
 

Good chances on WW2, TFA looks about a coinflip to me atm. Notably at current ER, TFA in $ is only about a 6% higher target than WW2 in ¥.

Edited by WandaLegion
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@bulletproofsqui told me that since Hi, Mom isn't an action film, it may start dropping once it burn its audience.

 

Which is weird because I think comedies and Dramas have better legs than action everwhere. We see how stuff like Dangal trended or NeZha for that matter, but I would like to say since he is local, he knows better so let's hope we don't see a burn out soon.

 

I am expecting ¥6.5B+ full run for Hi, Mom. Let's see.

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4 hours ago, jatvision said:

@bulletproofsqui told me that since Hi, Mom isn't an action film, it may start dropping once it burn its audience.

 

Which is weird because I think comedies and Dramas have better legs than action everwhere. We see how stuff like Dangal trended or NeZha for that matter, but I would like to say since he is local, he knows better so let's hope we don't see a burn out soon.

 

I am expecting ¥6.5B+ full run for Hi, Mom. Let's see.

I'm just a normal boxoffice lover, Oliver, Gavin & I used to in the same local forum

i do have to admit that i've been lurking BOT and several foreign forums about film for years, not a talkative guy anyway

 

speak about Hi, Mom, back in 2017 when we tracking Ex-File 3, after it barely droped after New Years Holiday end i suspect it has a shot on The Mermaid, the top gross film in Mainland China back then, but it start to drop hard after day 10

same thing happened on Dying to Survive, i'm expecting ¥5000M+ total after it opening 9.0 on Douban while it start crashing after limited release & first weekend breakout end

 

the theoretical basis is that, drama/comedy audience requirement has distance with blockbusters, like the Top grossing list now, Top 5 all blockbusters while DC2 & The Mermaid stop around ¥3500M, or the limit has rise to ¥5500M now while blockbusters like Wandering Earth 2 can do ¥7000M? only time will tell

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2 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Hi, mom is going to do the biggest Monday and the biggest Tuesday of all time ?

Yes, you are right. I can not remember any other film making 80 or 90 million on Monday or Tuesday. Although let's remember both days have been holidays.

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6 minutes ago, peludo said:

Yes, you are right. I can not remember any other film making 80 or 90 million on Monday or Tuesday. Although let's remember both days have been holidays.

Hi, mom will also get the biggest wednesday ever. But from Thursday since the holidays will be over, if I'm not wrong it will go down a lot, so for the Thursday record I'm not sure.

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39 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Hi, mom is going to do the biggest Monday and the biggest Tuesday of all time ?

Monday was almost biggest single day pre DC3 & AEG opening day, so yep. Tuesday will beat AEG Saturday for 3rd biggest non-opening day after DC3 Sat and Sun.

Edited by jatvision
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