China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[poweranimals]

16 hours ago, Arian1010 said:

I can't see why Shang Chi can't have a release date, it's basically just SW Shakespearean family drama mixed with superhero elements and martial arts, it's not controversial as BW

BW is controversial? 😶

[Arian1010]

4 hours ago, poweranimals said:

BW is controversial? 😶

Yeah, as Gavin Feng has pointed out BW won't have a release date in China due to how it depicted socialism and Soviet, but Shang Chi never tapped into that subject, it mostly focused on fantasy elements and family drama.

Edited August 30, 2021 by Arian1010

[The GOAT]

10 minutes ago, Arian1010 said:

Yeah, as Gavin Feng has pointed out BW won't have a release date in China due to how it depicted socialism and Soviet, but Shang Chi never tapped into that subject, it mostly focused on fantasy elements and family drama.

I thought it was because they were going to show it in May.  

Then Disney backed out to set the date for July.     

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

So under 50% Mon for FG. Not great. TUE ps also don't suggest a growth.

 

That's 2 cross on breakout checklist.

[TigerPaw]

4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

So under 50% Mon for FG. Not great. TUE ps also don't suggest a growth.

 

That's 2 cross on breakout checklist.

I think total will be over / under 500m yuan.

[Gavin Feng]

As of Aug.31, China box office this year reach ¥32.85 billion. Recent trend of film market make local industry believe that it's unlikely to hit ¥50 billion at the end of the year. 

 

Local bureau set a goal of ¥70 billion early this year.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said:

As of Aug.31, China box office this year reach ¥32.85 billion. Recent trend of film market make local industry believe that it's unlikely to hit ¥50 billion at the end of the year. 

 

Local bureau set a goal of ¥70 billion early this year.

If they release films throughout year and not just festivals and special weeks, they can do 5-10B more I guess in general.

[charlie Jatinder]

On 8/29/2021 at 1:35 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Do you think china gives a shit. They are killing Alibaba and Tencent and other companies. Do they care if Disney makes money. Plus whatever money the box office does is peanuts compared to overall GDP. If they can screw up their own companies they wont care about hollywood at all. Just for fun they will keep blocking big hollywood blockbusters. 

Wasn't referring to Disney. The box office in general. Ofcourse box office is peanuts compared to GDP, but that's for every country. $10B industry is still BIG and employs millions of Chinese surely.

[keysersoze123]

8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Wasn't referring to Disney. The box office in general. Ofcourse box office is peanuts compared to GDP, but that's for every country. $10B industry is still BIG and employs millions of Chinese surely.

What I said is China's decision is not driven only by logical impact to themselves. If they can impact their own companies they will have no issues impacting their BO which will have almost negligible impact looking at big picture. China's relationship with hollywood would be impacted by bigger issue in regards to their equation with US as a whole. I dont think we will see them giving lots of concessions at this point. 

 

So if they dont give releases for movies like Black Widow, Shang Chi and Eternals that wont be much of a surprise. 

[titanic2187]

35 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

As of Aug.31, China box office this year reach ¥32.85 billion. Recent trend of film market make local industry believe that it's unlikely to hit ¥50 billion at the end of the year. 

 

Local bureau set a goal of ¥70 billion early this year.

Still easily beating NA market two years in a row

[CJohn]

Is Shang-Chi going to be released in China or not?

[poweranimals]

24 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Is Shang-Chi going to be released in China or not?

Apparently we won't know until the week before.

[TigerPaw]

Highest budgeted Local Film - Battle of Lake Changjin officially announced for 30th Sep; aka China National Day Holidays or Golden Week.

 

Fun times.

 

Expecting at least 3 to 5bn Yuan box office for this film.

[charlie Jatinder]

Awful Summer. AUG even down from 2020.

 

Month	2021	2019	% +/-	2021	2019
Jan	¥3,329,852,800	¥3,378,975,800	-1.45%	$512,285,000	$496,908,000
Feb	¥12,269,826,100	¥11,164,331,400	9.90%	$1,899,354,000	$1,655,201,000
Mar	¥2,503,584,200	¥4,160,692,800	-39.83%	$385,760,000	$619,151,000
Apr	¥2,496,937,600	¥4,723,836,800	-47.14%	$382,379,000	$701,907,000
May	¥4,865,973,000	¥3,716,825,300	30.92%	$754,414,000	$546,592,000
Jun	¥2,102,445,500	¥4,186,114,000	-49.78%	$328,507,000	$608,447,000
Jul	¥3,227,959,600	¥5,756,227,600	-43.92%	$498,142,000	$836,661,000
Aug	¥2,050,278,900	¥7,835,175,000	-73.83%	$316,401,000	$1,101,994,000
Sept		¥3,596,174,800			$502,962,000
Oct		¥8,315,947,500			$1,167,970,000
Nov		¥3,237,066,200			$459,811,000
Dec		¥4,078,357,000			$582,622,000
Total	¥32,846,857,700	¥64,149,724,200	-26.88%	$5,077,242,000	$9,280,226,000

 

 

2020 grossed ¥14B in final 4 months. Will need film board to not finger NWH, Venom 2 and Eternals.

Edited September 3, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

AUG even down from 2020.

 

[Legion Again]

Mar+April+Jun+Jul+Aug were extremely close to losing to Feb. 

[charlie Jatinder]

This was funny

"This summer vacation has been so dull that many people have forgotten that there is a summer vacation. In the past few years, the movies released during the summer vacation have always caused some social controversy and even negative voices. We were worried about this, but now I think about it. But it’s a different taste. Even if it’s scolded by the audience, it’s better than being forgotten.” A senior film distribution manager told a reporter from Securities Daily that on the whole, the epidemic repeated during the summer vacation and the tide of “film shortage” was superimposed. The entire film industry chain is still in a state of slow restoration.

 

https://news.stcn.com/news/202109/t20210902_3644578.html

[poweranimals]

So how badly is the Tomorrow War doing?

[Legion Again]

12 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

So how badly is the Tomorrow War doing?

Maybe like 1/3 of Free Guy 2nd weekend, finish with $12M or something. It’s what she deserves.

[charlie Jatinder]

52-55M 2nd SAT for Free Guy. (-5-10% LW)