China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[keysersoze123]

3 hours ago, john2000 said:

there is nothing new in the article, even if eternals releases in china, we probably wont know till late oct ,early nov

I am willing to bet money that Eternals has 0% chance of release. Chloe has been scrubbed from china's internet and even her oscar win was not covered. no way china forgets or forgives. 

 

Let us see if Venom 2 gets a date and then Spidey. I would not be surprised if they decide entire Marvel is western propaganda or some other stuff. There is no logic at times. 

[Gavin Feng]

Venom 2 is already get approval.

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Venom 2 is already get approval.

Awesome. At last some good news. Is it 1st week of November?

[Gavin Feng]

10 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Awesome. At last some good news. Is it 1st week of November?

 

Suspicious Propaganda Department guy say so.

On 10/7/2021 at 6:48 AM, grim22 said:

They will probably release it on Nov 5 to fill the Eternals release date hole.

 

[TigerPaw]

40 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am willing to bet money that Eternals has 0% chance of release. Chloe has been scrubbed from china's internet and even her oscar win was not covered. no way china forgets or forgives. 

 

Let us see if Venom 2 gets a date and then Spidey. I would not be surprised if they decide entire Marvel is western propaganda or some other stuff. There is no logic at times. 

Black Widow was Disney's silly decision to push it back in China, could have released it in China earlier than rest of the world and get USD200m.

 

Shang Chi and Eternals got their own issues which we all know.

 

Venom and NWH will be released i don't see any resson why not; there is no reason at all to think China is against Marvel just because of specific reasons surrounding some films.

[Gavin Feng]

¥102.8M / ¥4,218.6M(12-day total, THU debut) for TBALK. 

 

¥119.4M / ¥4,293.3M(12-day total, FRI debut) for Hi, Mom at the same point.

 

Unless 3rd weekend hold well, it's unlikely for TBALK to be NO.2 or NO.1 of all time.

[charlie Jatinder]

different release time. 103M is good enough for 5.7B so far unless late legs really stinks.

[titanic2187]

2 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

¥102.8M / ¥4,218.6M(12-day total, THU debut) for TBALK. 

 

¥119.4M / ¥4,293.3M(12-day total, FRI debut) for Hi, Mom at the same point.

 

Unless 3rd weekend hold well, it's unlikely for TBALK to be NO.2 or NO.1 of all time.

Hi Mom 3rd weekend was buoyed by LANTERN day, an advantage that Lake won't have. 

[Momori]

Hello,

I'm new here and this is my first post so I don't know If this has been asked before or not but, how well are we expecting Spider-Man: No Way Home to perform in China? Very early predictions if you will. 

[LPLC]

9 minutes ago, Momori said:

Hello,

I'm new here and this is my first post so I don't know If this has been asked before or not but, how well are we expecting Spider-Man: No Way Home to perform in China? Very early predictions if you will. 

if i had to give a long margin i would say $250M-$450M maybe even more.

[Gavin Feng]

douban score after oversea opening

 

NTTD - 7.1

Dune - 8.0

 

for recent 007 movies

CR - 7.6

QoS - 6.6

Skyfall - 7.1

Spectre - 6.4

 

for DV's works

BR2049 - 8.3

Arrival - 7.8

Sicario - 7.6

Enemy - 7.0

Prisoners - 8.1

Incendies - 8.6

[The GOAT]

22 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

douban score after oversea opening

 

NTTD - 7.1

Dune - 8.0

 

for recent 007 movies

CR - 7.6

QoS - 6.6

Skyfall - 7.1

Spectre - 6.4

 

for DV's works

BR2049 - 8.3

Arrival - 7.8

Sicario - 7.6

Enemy - 7.0

Prisoners - 8.1

Incendies - 8.6

After having seen No Time to Die, I think it's going to tank in the 2nd weekend.

[Gavin Feng]

2 hours ago, The GOAT said:

After having seen No Time to Die, I think it's going to tank in the 2nd weekend.

if opening is good, one week is enough. Craig’s series is not what general audience want here. Brosnan’s works are what most of us think Hollywood blockbusters should ever be, even though ridiculous.

[Issac Newton]

Bond can easily make $90-$110M if WOM is better than Spectre. However, I think a total over $150M is possible if Daniel Craig's Last Bond Film Effect workout but still what matter here is WOM especially in Douban not on Maoyon.

[Momori]

Venom 2 has 418K 'Most Anticipated' on Maoyan. I guess people over there in China really want to see this movie. 

[keysersoze123]

15 hours ago, The GOAT said:

After having seen No Time to Die, I think it's going to tank in the 2nd weekend.

China is not leggy plus if Venom 2 releases in its 2nd weekend, it will tank irrespective of WOM. But looking at leggy markets, it has done well so far. It has had great 2nd week holds in many markets. 

 

Plus I liked the movie. There are universal bad WOM here for sure. 

[LPLC]

TBALC is falling like a rock. I imagine a final over $750M is likely but something over $800M seems unlikely now. 

 

#1 : WW2 = $854M

#2 : Hi, mom = $821M

#3 : TBALC = $750M-$800M

 

 

[ThomasNicole]

Anyone know Dune possible prospects on China? I'm curious if there's hype now that it's close to release, i doubt this will be a big hit but 50M would be nice.

[charlie Jatinder]

5 hours ago, LPLC said:

TBALC is falling like a rock. I imagine a final over $750M is likely but something over $800M seems unlikely now

Nope. Normal drop so far. Expecting ¥400M+ next weekend, let's see.

 

Edited October 13, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Issac Newton]

Personally, What I am expecting 🤔

By 10/17: TBALC : ¥4900M-¥5000M

By 10/24: TBALC : ¥5500M-¥5600M

By 10/31: TBALC : ¥5800M-¥5900M

Complete Run: ¥6000M-¥6200M