China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Gavin Feng]

6.5/10 for Venom 2 right now. 
 

up 0.6 in just one day as nearly 2,000 users or robots were hired for great comments. 

[Issac Newton]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Different release period. Why are y'all still comparing it with Hi, Mom.

 

That said 64% of gross was online yday compared to 78% of My Country, My Parents. 

 

Yep this is pushed to over WW2.

Me still thinking ¥6000M+. In two hours it's very likely to surpassed my range of ¥150M - ¥180M or after. Can we target ¥200M+?

 

Already over ¥130M at 17:00 CST.

Edited October 16, 2021 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

30 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

6.5/10 for Venom 2 right now. 
 

up 0.6 in just one day as nearly 2,000 users or robots were hired for great comments. 

Hey, are they targetting 7 or 7.5 by the end of the day?

[Gavin Feng]

7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Hey, are they targetting 7 or 7.5 by the end of the day?

I think they don't have a specific target but will try to make it as high as possible. It's probably a sign that a local release date would be given soon.

[Issac Newton]

1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said:

I think they don't have a specific target but will try to make it as high as possible. It's probably a sign that a local release date would be given soon.

So, they are basically trying to balance the ratings/reviews until the release date. So, that they can overall increase the movie anticipation and also the OW. (greater than F9 as I think)

[Issac Newton]

Saturday Estimates:

The Battle At Lake Changjin : ¥205M (~$31.8M) / ¥4773M (~$741.6M) 17D

My Parents, My Homeland : ¥42.1M (~$6.5M) / ¥1311M (~$203.7M) 17D

Saturday Fiction : ¥6.8M (~$1.1M) / ¥10.9M (~$1.7M) 2D

Turandot : ¥5.2M (~$810K) / ¥12.4M (~$1.9M) 2D

Knock Knock : ¥3.5M (~$540K) / ¥4.6M (~$710K) 🅿️ (Open at 10/22)

 

TBALC has easily surpassed my range/projection (¥150M-¥180M). By the end of the Sunday, the cumulative total is expected to reach ¥5000M (~$776.9M). 

 

MPMH is expected to overtake both Chinese Doctor (¥1328M /~$206.3M) and Raging Fire (¥1329M /~$206.5M) between 10:00 - 13:00 CST.

 

Edited October 16, 2021 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

2021 in Mainland China

1️⃣ Hi Mom : ¥5413M

2️⃣ The Battle at Lake Changjin : ¥4773M ↗️

3️⃣ Detective Chinatown 3 : ¥4522M

4️⃣ Fast and Furious 9 : ¥1392M (Imported /🇺🇲 US)

5️⃣ Raging Fire : ¥1329M (🇭🇰 Hong Kong/ 🇨🇳 China co-production)

6️⃣ Chinese Doctor : ¥1328M

7️⃣ My Parents, My Homeland : ¥1311M ↗️

8️⃣ Godzilla vs Kong : ¥1233M (Imported /🇺🇲 US)

9️⃣ A Little Red Flower : ¥1196M /¥1432M (2020/12/31)

🔟 Cloudy Mountain : ¥1190M

 

Top 5 Imported Film

1️⃣ Fast and Furious 9 : ¥1392M (🇺🇲 US)

2️⃣ Godzilla vs Kong : ¥1233M (🇺🇲 US)

3️⃣ Free Guy : ¥612M (🇺🇲 US)

4️⃣ Avatar : ¥376M (🇺🇲 US /Re-release)

5️⃣ — NC —

 

Statistics

¥5000M+ : 1 film

¥4000M+ : 2 films

¥3000M+ : N/A

¥2000M+ : N/A

¥1000M+ : 8 films

¥500M+   : 9 films

Edited October 16, 2021 by Issac Newton

[charlie Jatinder]

Less than 2/3rd of tickets are now purchased organically online in China compared to usual 80-90%+. Almost certain it will be pumped enough to not miss #WolfWarrior2 by inorganic bookings. Now just around ¥900M below the summit.

[Issac Newton]

On 10/13/2021 at 2:48 PM, Issac Newton said:

Personally, What I am expecting 🤔

By 10/17: TBALC : ¥4900M-¥5000M

By 10/24: TBALC : ¥5500M-¥5600M

By 10/31: TBALC : ¥5800M-¥5900M

Complete Run: ¥6000M-¥6200M

Everything is on the range. 

[Olive]

21 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Less than 2/3rd of tickets are now purchased organically online in China compared to usual 80-90%+. Almost certain it will be pumped enough to not miss #WolfWarrior2 by inorganic bookings. Now just around ¥900M below the summit.

Saturday online share 73.5%

[charlie Jatinder]

32 minutes ago, Olive said:

Saturday online share 73.5%

Maoyan has 64%.

[The GOAT]

sub 40 drop 

[Momori]

Does China like Batman? If so, I can see this upcoming Batman movie doing good numbers there. 

Edited October 16, 2021 by Momori

[Issac Newton]

5 hours ago, Momori said:

Does China like Batman? If so, I can see this upcoming Batman movie doing good numbers there. 

Anticipation fans of The Batman : ~8300 (so far in Maoyan)

I am thinking of $100M+ projection and $150M at best.

[The GOAT]

Dune has 211k Want to See, but Gavin projects only $10mil OW

This just can't be. 

 

[Issac Newton]

16 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

Dune has 211k Want to See, but Gavin projects only $10mil OW

This just can't be. 

 

Need more 2D screening as explained in his tweet. 

Edited October 17, 2021 by Issac Newton

[Gavin Feng]

Venom 2 back to 5.9/10 on Douban after the film site purged thousands of good comments by hired users and robots.

[Issac Newton]

Just a question, does screening in Festival like Beijing Winter Film Festival need to review by the board?

[TigerPaw]

30 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Anticipation fans of The Batman : ~8300 (so far in Maoyan)

I am thinking of $100M+ projection and $150M at best.

Let's wait till some reception comes out and release date / competition

 

Warner bros is an extremely strong distributor in China but if WoM was like WW2 then it will be tough. China audiences love ZSJL though.

[Gavin Feng]

5 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Just a question, does screening in Festival like Beijing Winter Film Festival need to review by the board?

it's hard to say. Years ago, local film festival show uncensored movie just like foreign. But in recent days, it got censored sometimes. Some movies still keep nude scenes, like Mulholland Road I recently watched, but some like Parasite, Call Me By Your Name had to cancel the screening with reasons like "technical reasons".