China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[druv10]

2 hours ago, fmpro said:

 

My best guess today is 70-75. Its down around 22% atm compared to yesterday

It's headed for another heavy drop. At 51M, I've same range as you. Another 20%+ drop, it's going to need 50% jump on Friday or drop will be around

75%+ for the weekend. 

[POTUS 2020]

The weekend now looking like 95/152/110     357m -72%  2135m total.

2300m going into may day weekend after a 520m week. Should hold -40% for may day week for another 300m, 2600m total when GotG opens.2700-2800m. $392-405m.

Removing service charge FF8  will be up 10% in yuan. Not bad considering FF7 was a phenom that more than doubled expectations, and the market is flat since then with no other HLWD movie clearing 1.5b.

I thought it was going to drop 20% before PS started.  It's going to drop 30%+ in dom

Edited April 20, 2017 by POTUS

[Gavin Feng]

THU Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  70.6m / 1,686m(highest gross of 2017, TOP.5 of all time)

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  11.9m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.32m / 127.9m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.61m / 1,094m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.49m / 187.5m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  75m / 1,809m

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  12.8m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.8m / 140.8m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.65m / 1,158m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.53m / 199.3m

[Somoset]

1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said:

THU Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  70.6m / 1,686m(highest gross of 2017, TOP.5 of all time)

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  11.9m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.32m / 127.9m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.61m / 1,094m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.49m / 187.5m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  75m / 1,809m

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  12.8m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.8m / 140.8m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.65m / 1,158m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.53m / 199.3m

 

 

After 7 days Furious 7 was right around ¥1,568m

 

Putting Fate of the Furious up around 7% before service charges and 14% after service charges.

[Olive]

FF8 OW numbers 

Midnight - 62.6M

OD - 418.54M/481.15M

Sat - 499.28M/980.43M +19%

Sun - 381.48M/1361.91M -24%

Edited April 20, 2017 by Olive

[druv10]

18 minutes ago, Olive said:

FF8 OW numbers 

Midnight - 62.6M

OD - 418.54M/481.15M

Sat - 499.28M/980.43M +19%

Sun - 381.48M/1361.91M -24%

Thanks, so F8 did beat JW's opening Saturday record.

[seduh]

and in terms of admissions it sold over 30 million tickets on it's OW (a record as TFA sold near 24 million)

[fmpro]

17 hours ago, POTUS said:

The weekend now looking like 95/152/110     357m -72%  2135m total.

2300m going into may day weekend after a 520m week. Should hold -40% for may day week for another 300m, 2600m total when GotG opens.2700-2800m. $392-405m.

Removing service charge FF8  will be up 10% in yuan. Not bad considering FF7 was a phenom that more than doubled expectations, and the market is flat since then with no other HLWD movie clearing 1.5b.

I thought it was going to drop 20% before PS started.  It's going to drop 30%+ in dom

 

That friday number looks possible atm. 

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

 

That friday number looks possible atm. 

Yup. 5m per hour. To 1730 makes 50m which I think is the midpoint. 95m-102m +30%~

[POTUS 2020]

3 hours ago, seduh said:

and in terms of admissions it sold over 30 million tickets on it's OW (a record as TFA sold near 24 million)

Almost 38m tickets. It had about twice the seats available for true FSS. SW7 sold 4m tix before Thursday midnight.

[fmpro]

20 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Yup. 5m per hour. To 1730 makes 50m which I think is the midpoint. 95m-102m +30%~

 

Yep. 70-72% drop is coming up unless its a weekend movie and it explodes on sat/sun..

 

[POTUS 2020]

FF8						FF7
Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot
Fri	418			481	70
Sat	500	19.6%		981	143	50
Sun	382	-23.6%		1363	198	348			398	64
Mon	160	-58.1%		1523	221	185	-46.8%		583	94
Tues	119	-25.6%		1642	239	167	-9.7%		750	121
Wed	93	-22.3%		1734	252	137	-18.0%		887	143
Thur	75	-18.5%		1809	263	115	-16.1%		1002	162
Fri	98	30.0%	-76.6%	1907	277	142	23.8%		1144	185
Sat	157	60.2%	-68.6%	2064	300	226	59.0%		1371	221
Sun	117	-25.5%	-69.4%	2181	317	185	-18.1%	-46.7%	1556	251
Mon						73	-60.6%	-60.5%	1629	263
Tue						65	-11.0%	-61.1%	1694	273
Wed						52	-19.4%	-61.8%	1747	282
Thu						45	-14.1%	-60.9%	1792	289
Fri						59	31.1%	-58.6%	1851	298
Sat						92	55.1%	-59.6%	1942	313
Sun						69	-24.2%	-62.6%	2012	324
Mon						27	-61.4%	-63.3%	2038	329
Tue						26	-1.5%	-59.4%	2065	333
Wed						24	-10.2%	-54.8%	2088	337
Thu						31	32.5%	-30.2%	2120	342
.
Fri						67	114.6%	14.2%	2187	353
Sat						67	-0.6%	-26.8%	2254	364
Sun						39	-41.8%	-43.8%	2293	370
									2426	390.7

[Olive]

4 hours ago, seduh said:

and in terms of admissions it sold over 30 million tickets on it's OW (a record as TFA sold near 24 million)

Around 37M

[fmpro]

Pretty good friday increase. Looks like 100 mill will happen. Maybe a bit more if lucky

[titanic2187]

friday drop from last weekend was a bit harsh

[Mrstickball]

friday drop from last weekend was a bit harsh

That is going to happen when its the biggest opening in Chinese history. Even many US movies have horiffic 2nd Friday drops when demand is burned off.

Sent from my SM-N910T3 using Tapatalk

[juni78ukr]

Friday estimates?

[Gavin Feng]

FRI Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  92.1m / 1,802m

The Smurfs 3  -  12.87m

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  12.1m / 23.2m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  4.81m / 134.5m

The Mysteries Family  -  4.25m

The Blood Hound  -  3.15m

Snow in Midsummer  -  1.26m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.4m / 1,094m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.3m / 188.8m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  98m / 1,909m

The Smurfs 3  -  13.84m

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  13.2m / 25.3m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.25m / 146.4m

The Mysteries Family  -  4.67m

The Blood Hound  -  3.46m

Snow in Midsummer  -  1.38m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.43m / 1,158m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.32m / 199.5m

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, juni78ukr said:

Friday estimates?

 

Maoyan is 100,33 mill for FF8

[POTUS 2020]

10m p/h run rate. Heading to 160m +/-5 up 60%~. Weekend is in line with FF7 bumps. 

4 releases next weekend. They will probably take 70% of shows living FF7 with 15-18% down from 49% today.  May be down 70% Friday WoW but will get a bump from the holiday on sun/Mon. 

Edited April 22, 2017 by POTUS