China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, jiangsen said:

I don't know of any other market which includes ticketing surcharges in its official grosses, and even if they did, the amount would pale in comparison to China where 80% of tickets are bought online now. Indeed it is rather alarming as a way to pad stats, yet local media have caught on and usually report both 综合 (including) and 分账 (not including) grosses. Unsurprisingly, Hollywood studios and western trades, excluding China Film Insider, report the 综合 grosses since it makes the numbers look larger for their films.

 

Alarming ? I doubt anyone is taking any decision based on those numbers.

 

It not like they ever report studio rental in modern days, they are always reporting how much customer spent on tickets I think, I don't think they remove the 10.72% special tax in France on movie ticket either.

 

How much customers spent on a movie is also a valid metric to have when talking box office I imagine, as long as both are easily accessible.

[movieboner]

In the US/Canada, they report the official gross with the service fees. China just started reporting it this year. I don't know about the other film markets.

[Gavin Feng]

TUE Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  34.2m / 2,149m

This Is Not What I Expected  -  13m(previews)
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  8.06m / 80.9m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.61m / 79.1m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  2.27m / 154.9m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  34.5m / 2,277m

This Is Not What I Expected  -  13.9m(previews)
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  8.8m / 87.8m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.8m / 83.5m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  2.5m / 168.7m

[Gavin Feng]

WED Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  30.2m / 2,180m
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  8.7m / 90m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.81m / 82.1m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  2.58m / 158.3m
 
after service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  32m / 2,310m
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  9.4m / 97.6m
The Smurfs 3  -  3m / 86.8m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  2.8m / 174.3m

[jiangsen]

Friday Showtimes

Battle of Memories - 28%

Shock Wave - 24%

This Is Not What I Expected - 17%

Love Off The Cuff - 15%

Furious 8 - 11%

[Gavin Feng]

THU Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  28.1m / 2,208m

This Is Not What I Expected  -  16.1m / 29.1m
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  8.05m / 98.4m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.1m / 84.2m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  1.72m / 162.2m
 
after service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  29.5m / 2,343m

This Is Not What I Expected  -  17.5m / 31.3m
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  8.6m / 106.5m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.2m / 89.1m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  1.85m / 176.3m

[titanic2187]

fast 8 will stlll drop 70% even with labor day holiday given that sharp drop in showtimes

[fmpro]

400 mill in danger?

[Gavin Feng]

6 hours ago, fmpro said:

400 mill in danger?

under $380m

[MattW]

3 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

under $380m

+1, I'm coming up with just under 2600 at this point.  Still a comfortable #2 all time tho

[Barnack]

6 minutes ago, MattW said:

+1, I'm coming up with just under 2600 at this point.  Still a comfortable #2 all time tho

 

Mermaid, F7, Monster hunt, all did over 380m in China I think.

[MattW]

4 minutes ago, Barnack said:

 

Mermaid, F7, Monster hunt, all did over 380m in China I think.

Monster Hunter and FF7 are both under Y2450m, fast 8 should pass that on Sunday.

[Barnack]

Just now, MattW said:

Monster Hunter and FF7 are both under Y2450m, fast 8 should pass that on Sunday.

 

I see, different exchange rate.

[Gavin Feng]

FRI Estimates
 
before service charges

Shock Wave  -  45.2m

Battle of Memories  -  43.4m
Fate of the Furious  -  27.6m / 2,236m

Love off the cuff  -  27.1m / 34.1m
This Is Not What I Expected  -  26.5m / 55.1m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.65m / 87m
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  1.31m / 99.6m
 
after service charges

Shock Wave  -  49.1m

Battle of Memories  -  46.4m

Love off the cuff  -  29.5m / 36.8m
Fate of the Furious  -  28.8m / 2,372m
This Is Not What I Expected  -  27.8m / 58m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.75m / 91.9m
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  1.38m / 107.6m

[titanic2187]

1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said:

FRI Estimates
 
before service charges

Shock Wave  -  45.2m

Battle of Memories  -  43.4m
Fate of the Furious  -  27.6m / 2,236m

Love off the cuff  -  27.1m / 34.1m
This Is Not What I Expected  -  26.5m / 55.1m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.65m / 87m
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  1.31m / 99.6m
 
after service charges

Shock Wave  -  49.1m

Battle of Memories  -  46.4m

Love off the cuff  -  29.5m / 36.8m
Fate of the Furious  -  28.8m / 2,372m
This Is Not What I Expected  -  27.8m / 58m
The Smurfs 3  -  2.75m / 91.9m
Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  1.38m / 107.6m

massive 70%+ drop for F8 from last friday 

[Mrstickball]

About expected, given the theater count. 

[Ravi]

Olive and Potus. How is buzz of bollywood movie Dangal? As far as i know last amir khan movie in china made100m. is this movie surpass that record for bolllywood movie?

[POTUS 2020]

On Friday, April 28, 2017 at 4:46 AM, Barnack said:

 

I see, different exchange rate.

Was 6.21 for FF7 & MH. now 6.89

12 hours ago, Ravi said:

Olive and Potus. How is buzz of bollywood movie Dangal? As far as i know last amir khan movie in china made100m. is this movie surpass that record for bolllywood movie?

@Olive knows buzz. I'm clueless on that.

 

FF8 might win the holiday weekend as the new releases won't bump as much. It's neck n neck with shock wave and battle of memories today.

Friday is usually the worst WoW drop with a recovery on Saturday,-65%, and with holiday help will drop less than 60% for FSS. The week maybe closer to -50% with Mondays boost.

Should get to 2560m when GOTG2 opens. Another 70% hit will get it into the low 2600s. $380m~

That will be almost dead even with FF7 in yuan after removing service charge. The CBO is flat since FF7 and considering FF8 is dropping in nearly all markets, flat is quite impressive.  Will anyone complain if SW8 does $940m in Dom?

 

Edited April 29, 2017 by POTUS

[Gavin Feng]

Damn, F8 will top the weekend.

[Mrstickball]

Damn, F8 will top the weekend.

Total reversal from what i anticipated... It may win Saturday and is already beating everyone else in Sunday PS

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